Shannon V. OKeets
Posts: 22095
Joined: 5/19/2005 From: Honolulu, Hawaii Status: offline
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I would be delighted to hear your ideas on the USA strategic plan. It is the one major power whose strateigc options are quite diverse for which nothing has been posted here (yet). You mentioned US Entry Choices which I have made a preliminary pass at. Here is what I have so far. Any and all comments, criticism, and suggestions are welcome. ========================= 1.2 Make all decisions regarding US entry actions and choices; s. 9.4, 13.3 (3) Only the AIO for the USA player needs to decide about US entry choices. US Entry choices are grouped here into 7 categories. The first four of these are handled by the USA Foreign Liaison, the next two by the USA Commander in Chief, and the seventh by the USA Manufacturing Council. The categories are: (1) China: US Entry options 1, 9, 17, and 24 - FL (2) Commonwealth and France: 4, 15, 16, 25, and 27 - FL (3) Atlantic convoys: 7, 11, 20, 29, 32, 38, 44, and 50 - FL (4) USSR: 19 and 30 - FL (5) Japan: 13, 23, 26, 31, 36, 40, 41, and 43 - CC (6) Americas: 33 and 48 - CC (7) Production: 22, 28, 34, and 46 - MC. The assignment of most of these US Entry options to their respective categories are pretty obvious. The only odd ducks are # 4 (the Bearn) and the two for the Americas. I do not see a lot of use for options # 33 (closing the Panama canal) and # 48 (declaring war on minors). I guess they might be important if countries in Central or South America were to align with the Axis or if the US entry in one of the theaters of war were delayed a long time. The USA Foreign Liaison needs to perform an assessment of how well the war is going for the other major powers: China versus Japan, USSR versus Japan, France and Commonwealth versus Japan, France & Commonwealth versus Germany and/or Italy, and USSR versus Germany/Italy. In some cases the respective major powers will not be at war yet, so the assessment will be hypothetical (if war is declared). In either case the Foreign Liaison needs to measure the value (in CVs for the Allies) of providing assistance, choosing a US entry option in the corresponding category. Note that for most categories the options need to be taken in ascending numerical order. The measured value of taking the entry choice and the criticality of the allied major power’s need are passed to the Grand Strategist which makes the trade off decision between helping an ally (or allies) versus increasing production versus entering the war earlier. The last is usually expedited by taking as few US entry options as possible. The value of increased production is determined by the Manufacturing Council with input from the Joint Chiefs of Staff. It is measured in CVs by multiplying the increase in build points by the average CVs per build point and that product by any delay (in turns). In some cases the delay has a ripple effect for the out lying years. As an example, if China were being hammered by Japan, then the US might want to choose option # 1 (Chinese build aircraft) and follow that as soon as possible with # 9 (resources to China). If things are still going badly for China, then more help might be provided indirectly by hindering Japan with # 13 (embargo on strategic materials). Of course, some of these options cannot be taken if the US Entry Pool level is too low, which brings up the point that helping China might mean not choosing other options which could potentially decrease the US Entry Pool level. This is all very tricky stuff but the AIO should be able to quantify it and make a more reasoned decision than most players do over the board. It is primarily a decision tree problem whose goal is to maximize an outcome using expected payoffs for the various choices (decision branches). 3.5.2 Manufacturing Council Strategic 2.1 Evaluate and recommend US Entry options regarding production; s. 13.3.2 (1) Any of these options may be chosen to increase the tension level. They should never be chosen such that they endanger the USA being denied the ability to declare war on any of the axis major powers. The US should push strongly for achieving 11 in both the tension pools, so option #22 can be chosen to double US production. The same applies to achieving 17 for option #34. The other production options, #28 (Strategic bombers) and #46 (Advance build units) should only be taken towards achieving the goal of taking options #22 and #34. 3.5.3 Commander in Chief Strategic 3.1 Evaluate and recommend US entry options regarding Japan and Americas Any of these options may be chosen to increase the tension level. They should never be chosen such that they endanger the USA being denied the ability to declare war on any of the axis major powers. The options #13, (Embargo on strategic materials, -1 RP), #23, (Freeze Japanese assets, -1 RP), and #31, (Oil embargo, -2 oil and -NEI oil ) are taken as soon as reasonably possible. Option #26, (Relocate fleet to Pearl Harbor), should be taken but only after the choices #13, #23, and #31 have been made. #26 can be delayed until 1941 Jul/Aug. The options #36, (Commonwealth reinforces the Pacific), #40, (US reinforces Guam), #41, (US reinforces the Philippines), and #43, (Commonwealth reinforces NEI), can be taken if the entry pool level permits. These can be delayed and are much less important than the Manufacturing Council’s options. The America’s options #33, (Close the Panama Canal), and #48, (US may declare war on minors), should only be taken if more tension is needed. Though #48 might be needed if the USA’s entry into the European conflict is delayed overly long. 3.5.4 Foreign Liaison Strategic 4.1 Evaluate and recommend US entry options regarding China, the Commonwealth and France, the USSR, and Atlantic convoys Any of these options may be chosen to increase the tension level. They should never be chosen such that they endanger the USA being denied the ability to declare war on any of the axis major powers. All of the Chinese options (#1, #9, #17, and #24) should be chosen, in order, if China is losing CVs, resources, or territory to the Japanese. They can also be used to increase the Japanese tension pool. Option #4, (Intern French Carrier Bearn), is chosen when the first hex of France is taken by Germany. The unit is converted to a TRS because that is an immediately useful unit that costs nothing extra to build and because the USA carriers are vastly superior to the Bearn. Option #15, (Resources to the western allies), is only chosen if the Commonwealth needs resources and convoys are available for shipping them. This increases in importance if the Commonwealth is transporting resources to the USSR and the USA has to replenish them for the Commonwealth factories to remain at maximum production. Option #16, (Gift of destroyers to the Commonwealth), is taken as soon as reasonably possible. Option #25, (Repair western Allies ships), is only taken if the Commonwealth or France is suffering horrendous damage to ships. Option #27, (Lend lease to western Allies), is taken if (1) the Commonwealth is in danger of being invaded, (2) is unable to maintain respectable production levels, or (3) is losing control of the Mediterranean. If France is looking like it might not be conquered, this option becomes very attractive for building all the French non-naval units. Option #19, (Resources to the USSR), is only chosen after: (1) Germany and the USSR are at war, and (2) the USSR needs resources, and (3) resources and convoys to transport them are available. Option #30, Lend lease to the USSR, is similar to option #19. It is much more attractive if optional rule #49 (which lets the USSR save markers as build points) is being used. Option #7, (Occupy Greenland and Iceland), is taken to increase the tension level. Option #11, (US east coast escorts), is taken if the Commonwealth is having trouble protecting its convoys. It is a good option for increasing the tension level. The same is true for options: #20, (US land-based air escorts), #29, (North Atlantic escorts), #32, (US refutes Naval War Zones), #38, (Arm merchantmen), and #50, (Unrestricted naval warfare). Option #44, (US occupies Northern Ireland), is used in preparation for invading Europe, or retaking Great Britain. Until then, this entry choice is of little value.
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Steve Perfection is an elusive goal.
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