Ambassador
Posts: 1674
Joined: 1/11/2008 From: Brussels, Belgium Status: offline
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This far in the campaign, I don't know what they get as reinforcements, but in December 1941, the IJA has no more than twelve divisions available for its invasions, plus some brigades and many naval guards, NLF's and SNLF's. Chandpur got eight of the twelve divisions - two-thirds. Nine brigades is a lot too, and if he used a bunch of the smaller regiment/batallion-sized units, this surely means he could not/wished not to afford using the other four divisions. Does he have any other big ground operation somewhere else (Java, Philippines, New Guinea...) ? Do you have any Intel on their location ? This could give you vast insight in his capabilities. When you know what your opponent is capable of doing, you can more adequately decide on your course of action. In addition to the twelve assault divisions, he could maybe have "bought" two with PPs, or three max, but certainly nothing more. And maybe even not that. He probably keeps a few around Rabaul, Wake or Kwajalein, to be ready in case of a US-Australian offensive, unless you've lost most of your US CV's. What's the situation in this front ? Did your opponent stop at the historical high water mark, or did he press forward ? Are any big fleet CV lost, on either side ? If you've lost your US CV's, he does not have to fear an early offensive in the South Pacific, even if a few of his CV's are damaged (which ones in fact ? KB or only CVL's ?), so he might have two or three additional divisions ready to use... if he's willing to take some risks. My bet is "no". ** Another thing. Just look at your LCU's, their load cost specifically. See how much it is ? Look at the list of sunken ships. What do you think it did at his sealift capacity ? He neither has the ground forces to launch a second massive invasion, nor the ships to transport them, and he might even start running out of escorts. Especially as the locations he might invade are obvious : - he could make a second invasion in the Calcutta area, at Diamond Harbour maybe. But all the RAF is nearby, so he'll lose even more ships, and you'll have many ground forces to run forward, as the Chandpur situation is ok for now. - he could land at or around Madras, or Ceylon. But you have several airfields there, and could move the RAF in quickly. He would need many troops to present a meaningful threat, and you still could bring more of yours faster, by the Indian railways. And he would need to resupply his troops, across the Indian Ocean : a far more dangerous place for transports than cruising along the Malayan coast under an air-ASW umbrella. So, if he invades, he'll have to bring KB to provide air cover : both places are beyond LBA range. This means pitting a CVTF against LBA - always a losing move for the CV's. If not, that's much more naval losses for him, for fewer achievements on ground. In short, I don't believe he could nor would make a second invasion. ** A couple of other thoughts. - Closest land base is Rangoon (just noticed it) ? Do you mean you still hold Mandalay ? and he sent most of his ground forces to India ? This would be dangerous, as you could drive down the road to Rangoon, and take back his rear-area base. - do you still hold Akyab ? Place a few patrol planes there, to act as sentries, and ASW planes. EDIT: I missed the last two posts. "With whose army", you ask ? Australians and Americans. Southwest Pacific, South Pacific, even Central or North Pacific units, unless you have a house rule preventing the use of troops outside of their assigned theater HQ. Make a list of your available assets : you'll see it's much longer than the Japanese's list.
< Message edited by Ambassador -- 3/10/2009 1:05:10 PM >
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