Admiral DadMan
Posts: 3627
Joined: 2/22/2002 From: A Lion uses all its might to catch a Rabbit Status: offline
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[QUOTE]Originally posted by Diealtekoenig [B]"How many hexes they should get to move with immunity from air attacks" That is the $64 question. The LBA/Airbase side has to: Spot the ships and communicate their location and heading (or spot them early in the day, and shadow them). That time for communication takes an extremely variable period of time - probably the biggest variable in the whole sequence. If you have bombers on the base at Lunga set to Naval Attack with 20% on search those bombers will communicate to the airbase fairly promptly. If the search plane is a PBY flying out of Port Moresby and attached to MacArthur's command, not Ghormley's it will take longer to communicate with Lunga. Call the communication delay "X hours" Get the crews in the planes, launch and form up a strike (bigger the strike longer to form up if you want to add that as a detail) (a pretty fixed time- say 45 minutes?) Fly out to the suspected location. (a pretty fixed time based on the distance to the ships). If the ships are maybe 6 hexes out = 180 miles that is maybe an hour. Search for the ships (a variable time but probably between a few minutes and an hour tops because they can't just search for hours out there). Call it 15 mnutes to make things come out even. So the time for the strike will take about 2 hours + the time to communicate the ship location/heading to the airbase (possibly through a long chain of intermediaries. So just to pick a number make X, the communication delay another hour and you get 3 hours between spotting the ships and attacking them. And to search right up to 6 PM/sunset you will be flying back and landing in the dark. To search starting at 6 AM/sunrise you will have to launch in the predawn darkenss (and I gather search planes actually waited to dawn to launch at least from Henderson. Does anyone have data on that? Did Mavis and Emilies launch at 2 AM to be on station at first light or launch at dawn?). To simplify things let's just consider catching the ships as they leave Lunga (not calculate what it takes to hit them at dusk as they approach) _If_ the seach planes will search right at sunrise the ships still get about 9 hours (not 6) to run away. If the search planes take an hour to get on station (longer for long range seaplanes coming from very distant bases) you are getting up to 10 hours or longer, pretty close to the "12 hours in and 12 hours out" What data do we really have? Well, the ships usually could run in, bombard Henderson and get away but if they were slowed by damage they would usually get caught by the planes. And sometimes they would be caught even with no damage (they just mistimed things a little), so the distance the ships could move is just a tiny bit longer than typical bomber range - the ships haven't got a lot of leeway. And very importantly remember all this is for SBDs at Henderson. Trying a "Tokyo Express" vs a base with longer range bombers (high experience skip bombing B25s and B26s) probably won't work. So if the Airbase has longer range bombers those planes should have a very good chance of catching the ships. If the ships usually get "immunity" from the A/C if a) the ships are not damaged enough to drop their speed significantly and b) the A/C are SBDs or similar (not longer range bombers) then the game is working about right IMO. [/B][/QUOTE] I agree with all that. That's about how I was figuring it. The only way that the "Tokyo Express" would get slowed down would be to get caught by an Allied TF. That could happen if the US either got word that a group was forming up to make a run, or if the US just happened to have a TF patrolling in the area when the warnings came. My strategy to combat these night runs has been to park a SurCom TF within about 5 hexes travel from Lunga (or wherever I expect a run) and pray I could get a reaction move. If I wasn't getting the kind of reaction move I wanted (like what would happpen to me at Port Moresby), I'd park a TF at the base itself. Either of those strategies worked out as well as I could expect if I were a commander. I think the thing we all tend to forget is that this was fought in 1942, not 2002, and communications were NOT what they are today. Even if you go back to our last big conflict, the Gulf War in 90-91, things still took TIME - Search, Locate, Report, Disseminate, React, Plan, Respond/Move, Search, Locate, ATTACK ATTACK ATTACK!
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