Canoerebel
Posts: 21100
Joined: 12/14/2002 From: Northwestern Georgia, USA Status: offline
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2/17/42 A bittersweet day! Eastern DEI: In the bitter department, a stout IJN bombardment force (Haruna, Kongo, Mogami, Maya, Atagi, Takao) leaps forward to bombard Koepang in preparation for an amphibious landing that is oddly small. It's bitter, because I'd jump all over that if my carriers were five days further north! But they aren't. Steve only brought a little company-sized unit, so he's trying to steal this on the cheap....but I hadn't withdrawn the garrison (probably the only intact garrison in the DEI outside Sumatra). I don't know if he has enough to take the base, though with bombing and bombardments he might be able to. Western DEI: The sweet aspect is that the invasion of Koepang suggests that Steve is focused on the eastern DEI (suggests, mind you, it doesn't prove). I really hope that's the case, because I want more time to attend to Sumatra. Steve has mentioned the buildup at Palembang in a recent email (and he's been reconning that base and Djambi for several weeks now). The Allies are already strongly in place, but that will increase materially over the next ten days...and I intend to reinforce as long as circumstances permit. Carriers: The American carriers should arrive at Perth tonight to top off with fuel. Indomitable and Hermes are moving east to be in a position to rendezvous should an opportunity arise. Thus far in the game, Steve has shows a couple of tendencies: (1) to leap forward into Indian Country with big assets even though he can't be certain Allied carriers aren't around; and (2) when carriers accompany invasion forces, he tends to keep the carriers several hexes behind the invasion forces, instead of out front. These tendencies may allow the Allies to orchestrate a strike. I'm hunting big game here - battleships, carriers, or, if absoltuely necessary, cruisers. Those are the Achillee's Heels of the Japanese militiary, becuase they come in finite numbers. China: I think Steve is trying to orchestrate a move where he'll consider crossing the river to attack Siangtan, the base between Changsha and Hengyang. I've been mulling over the potential that base represents for several games now, so I have about 2,000 AV prepping for it. Right now, about 1,500 AV are present. Steve only has one division that could cross right now, but I'm keeping my eye on the stack at Changsha to see if he tries something tricky. I think I can handle whatever he tries. The trickiest situation will be if he posts his stack in the hex adjacent to both Henyang and Siangtan. Then he could choose one of the two and I wouldn't know which was the target until he crossed the river. My counter would be to leave Changsha lightly guarded and to divide about 8,000 AV between the two at-risk bases. Both have three forts, so they would be strongly held. I could move my army back to Changsha before Steve could if he tried a double-cross. In general, this is what I think he's up to in China. But that's a move I've been expecting since before the game began. :)
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