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RE: NAVAL SLAUGHTER - 11/18/2011 1:09:48 PM   
GreyJoy


Posts: 6750
Joined: 3/18/2011
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: Miller

Looks like he lost around 40-50% of his total KB a/c that turn.

The real achillies heel for the IJN is trying to train up fighter pilots, there are simply not enough training sqds to support the kind of losses he has been taking. However saying that, the Zero is so inferior to everything at this stage of the game that it is perhaps not worth the effort.......


Yes, consider that i am concerned in sending the Hellcats to the arena by now...i do that only because i need Hellcat's numbers to be able to mount a decent defence...but against the top line jap fighters the Hellcats are clearly inferior...but, comparing to the zero, the hellcat is a jet fighter :-)

Anyway...now he has to lick his wounds...he has lost two major battles in the last 10 days...one on the seas and one in the air...a good month for the Allies

(in reply to Miller)
Post #: 3571
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/18/2011 1:12:42 PM   
Crackaces


Posts: 3858
Joined: 7/9/2011
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: GreyJoy


quote:

ORIGINAL: CT Grognard

That was brutal.

Makes a JFB like me feeling very queasy.

The supply cost merely for replacing those losses to the front-end units is almost 8000 supplies, never mind the industry cost of producing those 578 replacements!

The HI cost of replacing over 500 pilots for the Japanese player is also immense!

I don't think Rader can recover from this.


If you scroll back you'll see that Rader has recovered from more than 20 battles of these proportions in the last 2 years... and he seems to be never out of planes... the only think i can notice is that his sweeps, despite the numbers (some sweeps came in with 150 planes togheder!!), have been really less effective than what they were few months back...which may demonstrate a decreasing quality of his pilots...
The KB is showing the same problems... his bomber groups, even when they get through, aren't able to place many ordinances even on slow and harmless xAKs... which may mean that his pilots are really in the low 60s for what concerns NavT skills...

My mutual covering multi base system has worked wonders in the solomons in this circumnstance... sweeps weren't able to displace my CAP and my pilot losses have been so low that some airgroups didn't suffer a single WIA or KIA (my 2 Spit VIII groups, for example, haven't lost a single plane in these 2 days battle!!!!)





There is one small difference GreyJoy, and I invite the experts in this group to comment ... but you are taking the industrial might of India away from the IJ player. Now Rader is having to support his operational losses with less industrial base. More in line with what readers expect. He might have recovered 20 times with his previous industrial base, but now his focus on the immediate operations will impact his future strategy. Given the differences in the situation I described above -- this might in fact be the equivalent of the "Marianas Shootout"

It will be interesting how this unfolds but I can sense that a point will be reached where the IJ simply fades away if that point has not been alreaady reached. However, The "Taming the Bear" thread has similar aspects in my opinion in that Rader remains very agressive until suddenly the Russian's breakout. Then his spirit was broken .... I sense readers are encouraging you to do something like this ...some sort of bold move that breaks Rader's spirit ..

(in reply to GreyJoy)
Post #: 3572
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/18/2011 1:52:19 PM   
GreyJoy


Posts: 6750
Joined: 3/18/2011
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: Crackaces


quote:

ORIGINAL: GreyJoy


quote:

ORIGINAL: CT Grognard

That was brutal.

Makes a JFB like me feeling very queasy.

The supply cost merely for replacing those losses to the front-end units is almost 8000 supplies, never mind the industry cost of producing those 578 replacements!

The HI cost of replacing over 500 pilots for the Japanese player is also immense!

I don't think Rader can recover from this.


If you scroll back you'll see that Rader has recovered from more than 20 battles of these proportions in the last 2 years... and he seems to be never out of planes... the only think i can notice is that his sweeps, despite the numbers (some sweeps came in with 150 planes togheder!!), have been really less effective than what they were few months back...which may demonstrate a decreasing quality of his pilots...
The KB is showing the same problems... his bomber groups, even when they get through, aren't able to place many ordinances even on slow and harmless xAKs... which may mean that his pilots are really in the low 60s for what concerns NavT skills...

My mutual covering multi base system has worked wonders in the solomons in this circumnstance... sweeps weren't able to displace my CAP and my pilot losses have been so low that some airgroups didn't suffer a single WIA or KIA (my 2 Spit VIII groups, for example, haven't lost a single plane in these 2 days battle!!!!)





There is one small difference GreyJoy, and I invite the experts in this group to comment ... but you are taking the industrial might of India away from the IJ player. Now Rader is having to support his operational losses with less industrial base. More in line with what readers expect. He might have recovered 20 times with his previous industrial base, but now his focus on the immediate operations will impact his future strategy. Given the differences in the situation I described above -- this might in fact be the equivalent of the "Marianas Shootout"

It will be interesting how this unfolds but I can sense that a point will be reached where the IJ simply fades away if that point has not been alreaady reached. However, The "Taming the Bear" thread has similar aspects in my opinion in that Rader remains very agressive until suddenly the Russian's breakout. Then his spirit was broken .... I sense readers are encouraging you to do something like this ...some sort of bold move that breaks Rader's spirit ..


I truly think Rader has made his calculations here... i think he abbandoned India cause he felt he didn't need it anymore so there was no point, other than keep me away from SRA, to hold the whole India with 500k men.
He learnt a lot in his other match for sure. And i bet he also learnt how to maximise his HI usage...i expect to see mid 45 planes appearing somewhere i late 44...so be sure that Rader knows what he's doing...

I won't change my plans. Reinforcement of Norther OZ (Darwin) and follow up invasion of East-Southern DEI/Western NG... don't know if this will break Rader's spirit...but for sure i'll give him some headhaces

(in reply to Crackaces)
Post #: 3573
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/18/2011 2:06:12 PM   
USSAmerica


Posts: 18715
Joined: 10/28/2002
From: Graham, NC, USA
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Having held the Indian industry for so long, I'll bet Rader is sitting on a very nice stockpile of HI points that will last for a long time.  Someone above mentioned the supply costs to just draw replacements into those squadrons at their forward bases.  I'd be willing to bet, with very little knowledge of running the Japanese economy, that supplies will become an issue for Rader long before running short of HI points. 


_____________________________

Mike

"Good times will set you free" - Jimmy Buffett

"They need more rum punch" - Me


Artwork by The Amazing Dixie

(in reply to GreyJoy)
Post #: 3574
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/18/2011 2:23:12 PM   
princep01

 

Posts: 943
Joined: 8/7/2006
From: Texas
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Reek, String makes a very telling point regarding the timing of a counterattack after a slaughter like this. In addition, crackerace makes a good observation about the loss of India's industry and the possible effect it has on Rader's ability to replace losses. You should think very carefully on both these points. As to String's point, it is unacceptable to say that Rader preserves the KB by running immediately into the shelter of LBA. Your job as Fleet Admiral is to find a method of overcoming this tactic and engaging those CVs when their CAGs are depleted and to do so on reasonable terms. Or, of course, you may also return to the dungeon at Dreadfort if you wish. You'll find a plethora of rat and roach playmates. They have thrived in your absence.

Another observation. When Rader sent in pure fighter sweeps, his losses were about the same as yours. This might suggest that he used his better pilots this turn for the fighter sweeps. When he sent in attack planes with escorts (no matter how large the escort), the LYBs were anahilated. This might suggest he is using the cannonfodder pilots to escort. That is where you scored the lopsided victories. You put a real hickey on his attack AC.

Suggestion: Do you have enough heavy bombers in range to render inoperable the main bomber bases on Bouganville and New Britain in a turn? If so, then a counterattack by your CVs (under your own LBA CAP as well as that internal to the CVs) could set up the opportunity to sink most of his CVs even when they are under a strong LBA fighter CAP. get rid of those hulls. he cannot easily replace those.

No more excuses, Reek. String is right. Following these types of (failed) air offensives, you should be ready to counter punch immediately. No more Jack (I'm always refueling) Fletcher excuses. At the enemy and engage. Go forth!

PrincepBolton

(in reply to GreyJoy)
Post #: 3575
RE: NAVAL SLAUGHTER - 11/18/2011 2:24:22 PM   
FatR

 

Posts: 2522
Joined: 10/23/2009
From: St.Petersburg, Russia
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: Miller

Looks like he lost around 40-50% of his total KB a/c that turn.

The real achillies heel for the IJN is trying to train up fighter pilots, there are simply not enough training sqds to support the kind of losses he has been taking. However saying that, the Zero is so inferior to everything at this stage of the game that it is perhaps not worth the effort.......

I think it is worth the effort. Zeros won't achieve much on sweeps at this stage, and as escorts they are dead meat, but Zeros with good pilots stand much better chances of quickly dealing with superior Allied fighters when the latter fly escort. A noticeable gap in skill can really matter in a carrier battle.

Well, also there are Georges and Jacks that still can compete with the Allied fighters, to an extent.

_____________________________

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Take a look at the latest released version of the Reluctant Admiral mod:
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(in reply to Miller)
Post #: 3576
RE: NAVAL SLAUGHTER - 11/18/2011 2:31:13 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
Joined: 12/14/2002
From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
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I think GJ is doing the right thing.  Trying to coordinate a complicated carrier and land-based air attack against Rabual and the KB would be very risky.  If the 4EBs don't fly due to weather, or if they otherwise fail to shut down the bases, the Allied carriers could get clobbered.

GJ is seriously attriting Japanese firepower, thanks in part to an opponent who remains willing to commit his forces in an unfavorable (to him) environment.  Let the enemy keep falling on its sword.

Meanwhile, GJ knows when and where he wants to use his carrier in an important offensive mission (Darwin, etc).  So, he has a well-conceived plan and probably just needs to trust to his instincts at this point.  No need to take a pretty long chance in the enemy's backyard at this time.

(in reply to FatR)
Post #: 3577
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/18/2011 6:02:24 PM   
crsutton


Posts: 9590
Joined: 12/6/2002
From: Maryland
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: GreyJoy


quote:

ORIGINAL: CT Grognard

That was brutal.

Makes a JFB like me feeling very queasy.

The supply cost merely for replacing those losses to the front-end units is almost 8000 supplies, never mind the industry cost of producing those 578 replacements!

The HI cost of replacing over 500 pilots for the Japanese player is also immense!

I don't think Rader can recover from this.


If you scroll back you'll see that Rader has recovered from more than 20 battles of these proportions in the last 2 years... and he seems to be never out of planes... the only think i can notice is that his sweeps, despite the numbers (some sweeps came in with 150 planes togheder!!), have been really less effective than what they were few months back...which may demonstrate a decreasing quality of his pilots...
The KB is showing the same problems... his bomber groups, even when they get through, aren't able to place many ordinances even on slow and harmless xAKs... which may mean that his pilots are really in the low 60s for what concerns NavT skills...

My mutual covering multi base system has worked wonders in the solomons in this circumnstance... sweeps weren't able to displace my CAP and my pilot losses have been so low that some airgroups didn't suffer a single WIA or KIA (my 2 Spit VIII groups, for example, haven't lost a single plane in these 2 days battle!!!!)





GJ, take out your calculator and do the math. Adding up the numbers I got 450 George fighters total and did not even bother to count the zeros which had to number well over 1,000. Then count the tonys, franks, tojos, etc. There are just too many of them flying to make any sense other than LRCAP.

This pretty much backs up my theory. He is placing the bulk of his fighters on Long Range CAP over the target hex while sweeping and escorting with a few. There is no other way he can get this kind of totals over your bases. The Japanese player just does not have the aviation support or bases to support this number of fighter. He would be grossly overstacked and suffer all sorts of coordination penalties. Rader is not a "sweep genius", he is just using this simple but efective tactic. This is the beauty of Long Range CAP over the target. It is constantly there as support for multiple battles. He is using a lot of fighters for sure but multiplying their effectivness by using Long range CAP over the target.

Of course, he is taking a butt whipping but that is another issue.

< Message edited by crsutton -- 11/18/2011 6:12:49 PM >


_____________________________

I am the Holy Roman Emperor and am above grammar.

Sigismund of Luxemburg

(in reply to GreyJoy)
Post #: 3578
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/18/2011 6:06:50 PM   
crsutton


Posts: 9590
Joined: 12/6/2002
From: Maryland
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: CT Grognard

That was brutal.

Makes a JFB like me feeling very queasy.

The supply cost merely for replacing those losses to the front-end units is almost 8000 supplies, never mind the industry cost of producing those 578 replacements!

The HI cost of replacing over 500 pilots for the Japanese player is also immense!

I don't think Rader can recover from this.



He pretty much owns every factory and resource point on the map that it is possible for Japan to own. It is a JFB dream. He is playing a production game and I don't doubt for a minute that he has not done the math. He is not going to have a trouble replacing those planes until GJ hits his production somewhere. Rader may be crazy, but he is "crazy good" in my book..

_____________________________

I am the Holy Roman Emperor and am above grammar.

Sigismund of Luxemburg

(in reply to CT Grognard)
Post #: 3579
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/18/2011 6:19:46 PM   
GreyJoy


Posts: 6750
Joined: 3/18/2011
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: crsutton

quote:

ORIGINAL: GreyJoy


quote:

ORIGINAL: CT Grognard

That was brutal.

Makes a JFB like me feeling very queasy.

The supply cost merely for replacing those losses to the front-end units is almost 8000 supplies, never mind the industry cost of producing those 578 replacements!

The HI cost of replacing over 500 pilots for the Japanese player is also immense!

I don't think Rader can recover from this.


If you scroll back you'll see that Rader has recovered from more than 20 battles of these proportions in the last 2 years... and he seems to be never out of planes... the only think i can notice is that his sweeps, despite the numbers (some sweeps came in with 150 planes togheder!!), have been really less effective than what they were few months back...which may demonstrate a decreasing quality of his pilots...
The KB is showing the same problems... his bomber groups, even when they get through, aren't able to place many ordinances even on slow and harmless xAKs... which may mean that his pilots are really in the low 60s for what concerns NavT skills...

My mutual covering multi base system has worked wonders in the solomons in this circumnstance... sweeps weren't able to displace my CAP and my pilot losses have been so low that some airgroups didn't suffer a single WIA or KIA (my 2 Spit VIII groups, for example, haven't lost a single plane in these 2 days battle!!!!)





GJ, take out your calculator and do the math. Adding up the numbers I got 450 George fighters total and did not even bother to count the zeros which had to number well over 1,000. Then count the tonys, franks, tojos, etc. There are just too many of them flying to make any sense other than LRCAP.

This pretty much backs up my theory. He is placing the bulk of his fighters on Long Range CAP over the target hex while sweeping and escorting with a few. There is no other way he can get this kind of totals over your bases. The Japanese player just does not have the aviation support or bases to support this number of fighter. He would be grossly overstacked and suffer all sorts of coordination penalties. Rader is not a "sweep genius", he is just using this simple but efective tactic. This is the beauty of Long Range CAP over the target. It is constantly there as support for multiple battles. He is using a lot of fighters for sure but multiplying their effectivness by using Long range CAP over the target.

Of course, he is taking a butt whipping but that is another issue.


Sorry mate but i have to disagree....

Look at the following report (having problem cutting and pasting in the reply mode...)

< Message edited by GreyJoy -- 11/18/2011 6:21:03 PM >

(in reply to crsutton)
Post #: 3580
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/18/2011 6:22:46 PM   
GreyJoy


Posts: 6750
Joined: 3/18/2011
Status: offline
Morning Air attack on Tulagi , at 114,137

Weather in hex: Clear sky

Raid detected at 200 NM, estimated altitude 37,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 60 minutes

Japanese aircraft
     A6M3a Zero x 39
     A6M5 Zero x 24
     N1K1-J George x 134



Allied aircraft
     P-38G Lightning x 25
     P-38H Lightning x 1
     P-38J Lightning x 25
     P-40K Warhawk x 5
     P-40N5 Warhawk x 7
     F6F-3 Hellcat x 110


Japanese aircraft losses
     N1K1-J George: 1 destroyed

Allied aircraft losses
     P-40N5 Warhawk: 1 destroyed
     F6F-3 Hellcat: 1 destroyed



Aircraft Attacking:
     39 x A6M3a Zero sweeping at 31000 feet
     35 x N1K1-J George sweeping at 31000 feet
     37 x N1K1-J George sweeping at 31000 feet
     38 x N1K1-J George sweeping at 31000 feet
     23 x A6M5 Zero sweeping at 31000 feet
     20 x N1K1-J George sweeping at 31000 feet

The way i see it, all those planes were sweeping, not just LRCAPPING...and there no way he can have those numbers on LRCAP from Shortland, Torokina and Buka over Tulagi....consider the distance!... and if you look carefully you'll see that the composition in the single sweep missions, varies a lot! which should, imho, mean that there wasn't a constant presence of LRCAP seldom supported by sweep fighters...

What do you think?

(in reply to GreyJoy)
Post #: 3581
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/18/2011 6:25:01 PM   
GreyJoy


Posts: 6750
Joined: 3/18/2011
Status: offline
Guys, the good news is that our Air Force is growing stronger and stronger at every battle we fight...my front line squadrons have the morale up to Heavens and, despite the losses, our pools are in a decent shape...and our ace rooster...well...it's amazing

(in reply to GreyJoy)
Post #: 3582
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/18/2011 6:30:06 PM   
crsutton


Posts: 9590
Joined: 12/6/2002
From: Maryland
Status: offline
GJ,

One other thing might just help you. If you can spare a good sized carrier raid on an outlying oil point, you will do two things. You will cause some serious damage and force Rader to remove a good bulk of his fighters and aviation support from the front lines to protect these points-thus dispersing his airforce. I can almost promise you that Soerajaba, Palambang, Medan are all weakly defended and vulnerable to a big raid.

Even if you never do another raid, he will never be able to ignore these bases as, without oil he can't sustain his economy and his biggest oil bases are the most exposed. I found that unless KB is around it is almost impossible for the Japanese player to defend these bases with LBA. A ten carrier Allied TF can just pound away with little to fear. Go in quick, pound an oil point or two to dust and he will never be able to mass his airforce at one or two points. Rader's game depends on his economy and he can't ingnore the defense of his oil points. It is very possible that if you use enough carriers and catch him unprepared, that you can take out most all of his exterior DEI oil points in one massive series of raids.

I know you are wary of LBA but I am finding that massed Allied carriers are pretty invulnerable to all but the biggest LBA attacks. Until the kamakazes come on line anyways..

_____________________________

I am the Holy Roman Emperor and am above grammar.

Sigismund of Luxemburg

(in reply to crsutton)
Post #: 3583
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/18/2011 6:33:26 PM   
GreyJoy


Posts: 6750
Joined: 3/18/2011
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: crsutton

GJ,

One other thing might just help you. If you can spare a good sized carrier raid on an outlying oil point, you will do two things. You will cause some serious damage and force Rader to remove a good bulk of his fighters and aviation support from the front lines to protect these points-thus dispersing his airforce. I can almost promise you that Soerajaba, Palambang, Medan are all weakly defended and vulnerable to a big raid.

Even if you never do another raid, he will never be able to ignore these bases as, without oil he can't sustain his economy and his biggest oil bases are the most exposed. I found that unless KB is around it is almost impossible for the Japanese player to defend these bases with LBA. A ten carrier Allied TF can just pound away with little to fear. Go in quick, pound an oil point or two to dust and he will never be able to mass his airforce at one or two points. Rader's game depends on his economy and he can't ingnore the defense of his oil points. It is very possible that if you use enough carriers and catch him unprepared, that you can take out most all of his exterior DEI oil points in one massive series of raids.

I know you are wary of LBA but I am finding that massed Allied carriers are pretty invulnerable to all but the biggest LBA attacks. Until the kamakazes come on line anyways..


Yup, you're right. Soon we'll redeploy our CVs in western Oz...and from there we'll be able to raid at least Sosarbaja in a touch and go kind of raid... I see that these are the kind of things i must start to do...now i only need to speed up the process of the advance over Darwin area and then our CVs will be free to roam...i just need them to re-open that theatre...then my LBA can pretty much do the trick there and leave the CVs to move freely

(in reply to crsutton)
Post #: 3584
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/18/2011 6:40:04 PM   
witpqs


Posts: 26087
Joined: 10/4/2004
From: Argleton
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: crsutton

GJ,

One other thing might just help you. If you can spare a good sized carrier raid on an outlying oil point, you will do two things. You will cause some serious damage and force Rader to remove a good bulk of his fighters and aviation support from the front lines to protect these points-thus dispersing his airforce. I can almost promise you that Soerajaba, Palambang, Medan are all weakly defended and vulnerable to a big raid.

Even if you never do another raid, he will never be able to ignore these bases as, without oil he can't sustain his economy and his biggest oil bases are the most exposed. I found that unless KB is around it is almost impossible for the Japanese player to defend these bases with LBA. A ten carrier Allied TF can just pound away with little to fear. Go in quick, pound an oil point or two to dust and he will never be able to mass his airforce at one or two points. Rader's game depends on his economy and he can't ingnore the defense of his oil points. It is very possible that if you use enough carriers and catch him unprepared, that you can take out most all of his exterior DEI oil points in one massive series of raids.

I know you are wary of LBA but I am finding that massed Allied carriers are pretty invulnerable to all but the biggest LBA attacks. Until the kamakazes come on line anyways..


Why? If he already has all the HI he will ever need, shouldn't he already have enough oil and fuel also? Need some geeky JFBs to comment!

(in reply to crsutton)
Post #: 3585
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/18/2011 6:45:17 PM   
USSAmerica


Posts: 18715
Joined: 10/28/2002
From: Graham, NC, USA
Status: offline
He may have a huge stockpile of HI from holding the India industry, but he is also burning through it at a much higher rate than the typical game we see.  He will still need the "normal" amounts of fuel/oil to keep the Home Island industry cranking away.  Also, fuel/oil is the one thing that Rader didn't gain much of by conquering India.  India normally needs fuel shipped in from Abadan by the Allies to keep it's industry running.

ETA: Oops, I'm not a geeky JFB, but I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express last night.

< Message edited by USS America -- 11/18/2011 6:46:35 PM >


_____________________________

Mike

"Good times will set you free" - Jimmy Buffett

"They need more rum punch" - Me


Artwork by The Amazing Dixie

(in reply to witpqs)
Post #: 3586
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/18/2011 6:56:14 PM   
witpqs


Posts: 26087
Joined: 10/4/2004
From: Argleton
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: USS America

ETA: Oops, I'm not a geeky JFB, but I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express last night.



(in reply to USSAmerica)
Post #: 3587
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/19/2011 4:16:07 AM   
jeffk3510


Posts: 4132
Joined: 12/3/2007
From: Kansas
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: GreyJoy


quote:

ORIGINAL: crsutton

GJ,

One other thing might just help you. If you can spare a good sized carrier raid on an outlying oil point, you will do two things. You will cause some serious damage and force Rader to remove a good bulk of his fighters and aviation support from the front lines to protect these points-thus dispersing his airforce. I can almost promise you that Soerajaba, Palambang, Medan are all weakly defended and vulnerable to a big raid.

Even if you never do another raid, he will never be able to ignore these bases as, without oil he can't sustain his economy and his biggest oil bases are the most exposed. I found that unless KB is around it is almost impossible for the Japanese player to defend these bases with LBA. A ten carrier Allied TF can just pound away with little to fear. Go in quick, pound an oil point or two to dust and he will never be able to mass his airforce at one or two points. Rader's game depends on his economy and he can't ingnore the defense of his oil points. It is very possible that if you use enough carriers and catch him unprepared, that you can take out most all of his exterior DEI oil points in one massive series of raids.

I know you are wary of LBA but I am finding that massed Allied carriers are pretty invulnerable to all but the biggest LBA attacks. Until the kamakazes come on line anyways..


Yup, you're right. Soon we'll redeploy our CVs in western Oz...and from there we'll be able to raid at least Sosarbaja in a touch and go kind of raid... I see that these are the kind of things i must start to do...now i only need to speed up the process of the advance over Darwin area and then our CVs will be free to roam...i just need them to re-open that theatre...then my LBA can pretty much do the trick there and leave the CVs to move freely



Sosarbaja--- Is that north or south of Baja California? I smell a court order...

_____________________________

Life is tough. The sooner you realize that, the easier it will be.

Currently chasing three kids around the Midwest.

(in reply to GreyJoy)
Post #: 3588
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/19/2011 5:14:59 AM   
crsutton


Posts: 9590
Joined: 12/6/2002
From: Maryland
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: GreyJoy

Morning Air attack on Tulagi , at 114,137

Weather in hex: Clear sky

Raid detected at 200 NM, estimated altitude 37,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 60 minutes

Japanese aircraft
     A6M3a Zero x 39
     A6M5 Zero x 24
     N1K1-J George x 134



Allied aircraft
     P-38G Lightning x 25
     P-38H Lightning x 1
     P-38J Lightning x 25
     P-40K Warhawk x 5
     P-40N5 Warhawk x 7
     F6F-3 Hellcat x 110


Japanese aircraft losses
     N1K1-J George: 1 destroyed

Allied aircraft losses
     P-40N5 Warhawk: 1 destroyed
     F6F-3 Hellcat: 1 destroyed



Aircraft Attacking:
     39 x A6M3a Zero sweeping at 31000 feet
     35 x N1K1-J George sweeping at 31000 feet
     37 x N1K1-J George sweeping at 31000 feet
     38 x N1K1-J George sweeping at 31000 feet
     23 x A6M5 Zero sweeping at 31000 feet
     20 x N1K1-J George sweeping at 31000 feet

The way i see it, all those planes were sweeping, not just LRCAPPING...and there no way he can have those numbers on LRCAP from Shortland, Torokina and Buka over Tulagi....consider the distance!... and if you look carefully you'll see that the composition in the single sweep missions, varies a lot! which should, imho, mean that there wasn't a constant presence of LRCAP seldom supported by sweep fighters...

What do you think?


I think you are right. I just went back over my old combat reports and when one unit sweeps and the rest are on LRCAP only the one sweeping unit shows up as sweeping in the combat report.

Now I am even more perplexed as I just can't figure out how he can coordinate his sweeps so well-something I have never been able to accomplish. He is no longer flying crack units but perhaps still has excellent leaders.

The real limiting factor for the Japanese is not air frames, but aviation support. He must have the bulk of his aviation support in the theater which means he must be very short in other places. Another reason for some oil raids.





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Post #: 3589
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/19/2011 5:45:21 AM   
crsutton


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quote:

ORIGINAL: witpqs

quote:

ORIGINAL: crsutton

GJ,

One other thing might just help you. If you can spare a good sized carrier raid on an outlying oil point, you will do two things. You will cause some serious damage and force Rader to remove a good bulk of his fighters and aviation support from the front lines to protect these points-thus dispersing his airforce. I can almost promise you that Soerajaba, Palambang, Medan are all weakly defended and vulnerable to a big raid.

Even if you never do another raid, he will never be able to ignore these bases as, without oil he can't sustain his economy and his biggest oil bases are the most exposed. I found that unless KB is around it is almost impossible for the Japanese player to defend these bases with LBA. A ten carrier Allied TF can just pound away with little to fear. Go in quick, pound an oil point or two to dust and he will never be able to mass his airforce at one or two points. Rader's game depends on his economy and he can't ingnore the defense of his oil points. It is very possible that if you use enough carriers and catch him unprepared, that you can take out most all of his exterior DEI oil points in one massive series of raids.

I know you are wary of LBA but I am finding that massed Allied carriers are pretty invulnerable to all but the biggest LBA attacks. Until the kamakazes come on line anyways..


Why? If he already has all the HI he will ever need, shouldn't he already have enough oil and fuel also? Need some geeky JFBs to comment!


You have to have fuel to produce HI. Rader may be making hay with all of his many factories but the factories in India do not come with oil. So he will need to rely on his finite DEI oil to run all his machines. If he has pumped his HI it had to come at the expense of drawing down his oil. Not the mention the fuel his fleet has been burning up lately.

I don't think an AFB can ever go wrong hitting Japanese oil centers.

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Post #: 3590
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/19/2011 9:50:05 AM   
GreyJoy


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quote:

ORIGINAL: crsutton


quote:

ORIGINAL: GreyJoy

Morning Air attack on Tulagi , at 114,137

Weather in hex: Clear sky

Raid detected at 200 NM, estimated altitude 37,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 60 minutes

Japanese aircraft
     A6M3a Zero x 39
     A6M5 Zero x 24
     N1K1-J George x 134



Allied aircraft
     P-38G Lightning x 25
     P-38H Lightning x 1
     P-38J Lightning x 25
     P-40K Warhawk x 5
     P-40N5 Warhawk x 7
     F6F-3 Hellcat x 110


Japanese aircraft losses
     N1K1-J George: 1 destroyed

Allied aircraft losses
     P-40N5 Warhawk: 1 destroyed
     F6F-3 Hellcat: 1 destroyed



Aircraft Attacking:
     39 x A6M3a Zero sweeping at 31000 feet
     35 x N1K1-J George sweeping at 31000 feet
     37 x N1K1-J George sweeping at 31000 feet
     38 x N1K1-J George sweeping at 31000 feet
     23 x A6M5 Zero sweeping at 31000 feet
     20 x N1K1-J George sweeping at 31000 feet

The way i see it, all those planes were sweeping, not just LRCAPPING...and there no way he can have those numbers on LRCAP from Shortland, Torokina and Buka over Tulagi....consider the distance!... and if you look carefully you'll see that the composition in the single sweep missions, varies a lot! which should, imho, mean that there wasn't a constant presence of LRCAP seldom supported by sweep fighters...

What do you think?


I think you are right. I just went back over my old combat reports and when one unit sweeps and the rest are on LRCAP only the one sweeping unit shows up as sweeping in the combat report.

Now I am even more perplexed as I just can't figure out how he can coordinate his sweeps so well-something I have never been able to accomplish. He is no longer flying crack units but perhaps still has excellent leaders.

The real limiting factor for the Japanese is not air frames, but aviation support. He must have the bulk of his aviation support in the theater which means he must be very short in other places. Another reason for some oil raids.






Rader has moved every single air base unit out of China and Manchuria i think...he had been able to support several 9 AFs bases in India for a long time and he has done the same in SOPAC... i really think this game changed with the japanese conquest of China...that allowed him to extract so many units (AAs, Base forces, infantry, Tanks etc etc) that now every single place on his perimeter is guarded by overwhelming forces...

Consider that now, between Lae,Salamua, Wau and Nzareb he has a perimeter held by 180k troops...
More 140k are now placed between Shortland, Torokina and Buka...
more 80k are at Rabaul...
And i don't know how many troops are placed in northern New Guinea...

What bothers me about is sweeps is that i'm never able to achieve such a great coordination result...in the report i posted above (but during that battle you have seen that many missions had the same characteristics) he managed to have at least 8/9 daitais of 3 different aircraft types sweeping from 3 different bases at the same time!

(in reply to crsutton)
Post #: 3591
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/19/2011 10:57:43 AM   
ny59giants


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quote:

I don't think an AFB can ever go wrong hitting Japanese oil centers.


I take a minority position and would go after his refineries. He can stockpile all the oil he wants, if he cannot convert it to fuel then both his ships and heavy industry suffer.

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Post #: 3592
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/19/2011 6:54:10 PM   
crsutton


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From: Maryland
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Hmmmm....good point. But he has excess refinery capacity and some of those refineries are in Japan (are they not?) and not easily got at until late game. But I agree, it is more six of one, one half of the other. You won't do wrong bombing either. But there is not much need to bomb both.

And, if he is pushing his industry, the oil stocks will go down fast enough.

I think my biggest mistake in my own game was waiting before I conducted my raids. I should have hit my opponent's oil in mid 1942 or 43. There is a period in 1942 when the Allies have nine fleet carriers (three British). But it is short lived. This would have been a good time for a raid. Or around 6/43 when the Allied get a bunch of new Essex class. I allowed myself to get intimidated because unlike a base attack or naval attack, you cannot set city attack when your carrier aircraft are out of range. So you have to spend at least one turn in range of LBA. However, I worried too much about that. You can set your carrier bombers to airfield attack on the run in and pretty much nuke the base and then city attack at your leisure in the following turn. I am willing to bet the many Japanese players do not devote the time to building up the net of bases needed to defend against a carrier raid. They always are pressed to use the units needed elsewhere, and even a heavily defended Palembang can be overwhelmed by a big carrier force.

There is always the risk, he will get lucky and sink a carrier but it is small and 500 points of oil is probably well worth the trade.

< Message edited by crsutton -- 11/19/2011 7:06:03 PM >


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Post #: 3593
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/19/2011 7:15:19 PM   
Miller


Posts: 2226
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From: Ashington, England.
Status: offline
Just a couple of questions for you GJ, Did rader take Chungking? If so was he able to bomb it out of supply?

The reason I ask is I am looking to attack there soon in my game but I'm not sure if it can be taken........

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Post #: 3594
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/19/2011 7:40:29 PM   
LoBaron


Posts: 4776
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From: Vienna, Austria
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3 different plane types? Hm.

Sweeps do not coordinate, so theres another reason for ToT at the same time.

What looks like this?
230
230
230

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Post #: 3595
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/20/2011 6:11:31 AM   
crsutton


Posts: 9590
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From: Maryland
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Miller

Just a couple of questions for you GJ, Did rader take Chungking? If so was he able to bomb it out of supply?

The reason I ask is I am looking to attack there soon in my game but I'm not sure if it can be taken........


It can be taken, even if you have a HR against bombing LI. Depends on the Chinese units there but the more units the more stretched the supply gets-so really I suppose it depends on the Japanese units there. Viperpol took it from me. He just kept pounding away at my airbase with his plentiful bombers. It not only used up my supply but eventually eroded the Chinese morale. He took a few lumps but eventually my troops cracked and surrendered en mass. It took a few months but the city does not generate enough supply to last. You just have to bomb every day for a good while without letup.


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Post #: 3596
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/20/2011 4:24:14 PM   
Miller


Posts: 2226
Joined: 9/14/2004
From: Ashington, England.
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: crsutton


quote:

ORIGINAL: Miller

Just a couple of questions for you GJ, Did rader take Chungking? If so was he able to bomb it out of supply?

The reason I ask is I am looking to attack there soon in my game but I'm not sure if it can be taken........


It can be taken, even if you have a HR against bombing LI. Depends on the Chinese units there but the more units the more stretched the supply gets-so really I suppose it depends on the Japanese units there. Viperpol took it from me. He just kept pounding away at my airbase with his plentiful bombers. It not only used up my supply but eventually eroded the Chinese morale. He took a few lumps but eventually my troops cracked and surrendered en mass. It took a few months but the city does not generate enough supply to last. You just have to bomb every day for a good while without letup.



Thanks for the info!

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Post #: 3597
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/20/2011 7:12:25 PM   
GreyJoy


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No, Rader hasn't even tried to take Chunking...which is an enourmous POW camp with thousands of chinese without supply...it produces 400 supplies each day...not even enough to feed a combat Bde...

Ok, more turns have flowed...we're now at the 28th of Feb 1944...nothing much happened after the great air battle....The Kb has disappeared licking her wounds, while our TFs are refueling and reorganizing at Ndeni...we'll resupply and reinforce Panggoe very soon, in order to give a decent power to the II US Corp which is marching towards Rekata where 20,000 japs are waiting...

In India we're almost close to Calcutta where only 1800 men are present...our Base forces are strat moving to the front...soon we'll be able to recon Burma and see what he has there...

(in reply to Miller)
Post #: 3598
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/20/2011 7:49:23 PM   
JeffroK


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Is rader able to concentrate so many of his fighters in the Rabaul area because you have not been able to threaten him in other areas?

With interior lines and long ranged aircraft he can cycle aircraft in from other theatres.

IMHO, if you go into the DEI, you will be fighting similar numbers unless you put in credible threats on other fronts and keep up the threat in the Solomons.


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Post #: 3599
RE: AIR SLAUGHTER - 11/21/2011 12:07:38 AM   
GreyJoy


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Well Jeff, i think, being in scen 2, i gotta live with the idea that i will never be able to overwhelm Rader in terms of number a/c .... and if he's really putting everything in The Solomons or in DEi, consider that soon (and i mean in less than 1 month) i'll have estabilished a solid new front on the Burma frontier...so the air war will finally arrive in Burma...and he'll need lots of planes there!!


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Post #: 3600
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