Red Prince
Posts: 3686
Joined: 4/8/2011 From: Bangor, Maine, USA Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: Orm I would use up all the USSR land moves (5) by moving the unitd Communist China has. It is time to withdraw to stop the Japanese from outflanking. I would move them something like this. First of all, you have 6 moves planned, and the USSR only gets 5 moves. Second, if the Shanghai MIL moves out of Ankang, it will end up OOS. Third, evacuating that mountain hex probably will let the Japanese get a fair to good odds attack on Sian; if not, it doesn't do much more than delay the CAV for a single impulse. And, finally, the moves in the north that you have planned would allow the Japanese 4-3 INF to get into position to take Yenan and eventually outflank from the other side. Also, it is probably now time for the Soviets to consider two things: 1. Grab the Baltic States, though I'd still like to try to wait for the USA to Gear Up Production before doing that. 2. Consider making a bid for the Finnish Borderlands. Now that Bessarabia is secure, one of two things can happen: A: The claim is allowed, and they actually gain Garrison Value against Germany (7.5 for Germany coming in over 2 turns vs. 3.5 already in positions in Murmansk and Leningrad for the USSR -- which doubles to 7, which requires 14 more German Garrison Value points to break the pact. That's a net gain of 6.5 points. B: The claim is denied, which means a DOW (and US Entry consequences), but if the Soviets move enough units into the region, this might not be a bad thing. Germany would have to evaluate the situation very carefully before deciding if it should allow the claim or not. Can it defend Finland or not? Will it be too much of a distraction from its current primary goal? How much would it like to see the US lose an Entry chit? It now knows that things aren't quite as bad as they seemed earlier -- if Entry were terribly high (rather than just crazy-high), the USA would definitely have chosen to Gear Up Production after the last turn. So, what to do, what to do . . . with both sides. Back to China, though. With the 2 good units coming in over the next 2 turns, I'm not sure Communist China needs to do quite so much retreating just yet. With their current positions, there is only so much that the Japanese can do to outflank them -- this is limited by the stretching supply range provided by HQ-I Terauchi. One bad weather impulse during the next several turns, and the entire front could end up OOS. Also, the Communists don't suffer from Attack Weakness, so the Japanese have to be careful here in stretching the lines. They are already getting thin as it is. ----- Edit: Corrected the Garrison Value figures. I told you have trouble with that stuff.
< Message edited by Red Prince -- 12/11/2011 2:59:22 PM >
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Always listen to experts. They'll tell you what can't be done and why. Then do it! -Lazarus Long, RAH
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