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OT-War cycles

 
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OT-War cycles - 5/13/2013 3:22:21 PM   
bigred


Posts: 3599
Joined: 12/27/2007
Status: offline 		Got this jpeg from a solicitor...




Attachment (1)

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Post #: 1
RE: OT-War cycles - 5/13/2013 5:07:34 PM   
dcpollay


Posts: 532
Joined: 11/22/2012
From: Upstate New York USA
Status: offline 		Ahh, predictive modelling. I love how it takes a big downturn right around 2002.

Wait....I think that chart is my stock portfolio! Big things are coming my way soon!

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Formerly known as Colonel Mustard, before I got Slitherine Syndrome.

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RE: OT-War cycles - 5/13/2013 8:27:52 PM   
czert2

 

Posts: 508
Joined: 2/10/2013
Status: offline 		time to invest in weapons and ammo companyies.

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Post #: 3
RE: OT-War cycles - 5/14/2013 1:04:09 PM   
Hiltibrant

 

Posts: 28
Joined: 1/5/2012
Status: offline 		Why is the value on the y-Axis mostly running in the negative? Or is that a graphical representation of the war deficit, i.e. there not being enough wars?

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Post #: 4
RE: OT-War cycles - 5/14/2013 2:55:15 PM   
Chickenboy


Posts: 24520
Joined: 6/29/2002
From: San Antonio, TX
Status: offline 		Patent rubbish. No really. Your friend should patent this algorithm for its rubbishness.

Given about 3 minutes on MS Excel, I could also draw up some oddball formula and graph it over fictitious years. That would hardly constitute any circulable 'truth'.

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RE: OT-War cycles - 5/14/2013 4:40:56 PM   
Lokasenna


Posts: 9297
Joined: 3/3/2012
From: Iowan in MD/DC
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Chickenboy

Patent rubbish. No really. Your friend should patent this algorithm for its rubbishness.

Given about 3 minutes on MS Excel, I could also draw up some oddball formula and graph it over fictitious years. That would hardly constitute any circulable 'truth'.


I've been thinking of it as a joke . It's so far from serious that it can't be anything but!

Although when I first opened the thread, I thought maybe it would be something about historical world systems/cycles, which would've been interesting. I heard somebody speculate the other day about major societal changes/shifts occurring every 80 years or so, at least for the past couple of centuries. It was interesting to think about.

< Message edited by Lokasenna -- 5/14/2013 4:42:26 PM >

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Post #: 6
RE: OT-War cycles - 5/14/2013 5:17:33 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
Joined: 12/14/2002
From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline 		There have been some interesting correlations between weather and wars - many wars seem to coincide with "the coldest winter in xx-umpteen years." (Or perhaps it's a matter of perspective - the footsoldier huddled in a foxhole at Bastogne or in a tent at Harper's Ferry isn't likely to feel a warm glow.)

(in reply to Lokasenna)
Post #: 7
RE: OT-War cycles - 5/14/2013 6:07:40 PM   
dazoline II


Posts: 400
Joined: 11/5/2007
Status: offline 		The original posting: http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/wwiii-has-already-started-51841

Trying not to be the pot calling the kettle black the guy that wrote that in my opinion has no understanding of a real shooting war. Although he maybe on to somthing with mesuring the interestingness in the world as defined by a certain Chinese curse.



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Post #: 8
RE: OT-War cycles - 5/14/2013 6:38:43 PM   
Chickenboy


Posts: 24520
Joined: 6/29/2002
From: San Antonio, TX
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Lokasenna

quote:

ORIGINAL: Chickenboy

Patent rubbish. No really. Your friend should patent this algorithm for its rubbishness.

Given about 3 minutes on MS Excel, I could also draw up some oddball formula and graph it over fictitious years. That would hardly constitute any circulable 'truth'.


I've been thinking of it as a joke . It's so far from serious that it can't be anything but!

Although when I first opened the thread, I thought maybe it would be something about historical world systems/cycles, which would've been interesting. I heard somebody speculate the other day about major societal changes/shifts occurring every 80 years or so, at least for the past couple of centuries. It was interesting to think about.

Got it. That makes more sense. Sorry if I was snippish.

I think the trend for warfare amongst mankind would be decidely lowering toward the right. Never-ending warfare is increasingly uncommon. People (in general) are very unlikely to die as a result of warfare or terrorism. Sure, there are exceptions, but this is moving in the right direction.

I agree with Plato that "only the dead have seen the end of war". Still, less war killing less people over the next two centuries (forward-looking)? I'll take it as progress.

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Post #: 9
RE: OT-War cycles - 5/15/2013 3:05:05 AM   
Lokasenna


Posts: 9297
Joined: 3/3/2012
From: Iowan in MD/DC
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: dazoline II

The original posting: http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/wwiii-has-already-started-51841

Trying not to be the pot calling the kettle black the guy that wrote that in my opinion has no understanding of a real shooting war. Although he maybe on to somthing with mesuring the interestingness in the world as defined by a certain Chinese curse.




Several (most?) of the things he "checks" on his list aren't actually "checked" at all . Citations needed.

(in reply to dazoline II)
Post #: 10
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