Canoerebel
Posts: 21100
Joined: 12/14/2002 From: Northwestern Georgia, USA Status: offline
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The eve of what may well be the Second Battle of Assam. The most dangerous IJ attack (and therefore the one I'm preparing for) would be three prong: 1. Combat TFs come in to hit the Akyab airfield and also to do maximum possible damage to the Allied navy. If so, John will be bringing a huge naval force including many of his best BBs (I'm guessing Musashi and/or Yamato to lead). 2. Maximum Tojo sweeps of Akyab to overcome the CAP. 3. Bombing raids by LBA and carrier air to hit Allied ships. There are a couple of other IJ tactics - John might have posted his ships to draw my attention (fighters and bombers) and will now withdraw them, hoping that leaves his bombers and fighters free to hit my ground troops. But I can only prepare for one strategy, and the first is the one I think is most likely and most dangerous. The Allies, in turn, could do a variety of things. One would be to evacuate the ships (and perhaps the aircraft) from Akyab, hoping that John's attack would "drill a dry hole." But I'd rather give battle on the odds that the Allies could win and, even if they don't, these are acceptable odds to try to attrit the cream of the Japanese navy. After all, the Allies have the closer air power and major ports, plus mines to provide an added measure of protection. With that in mind, all Allied combat TFs to gather at Akyab. There will be six. The biggest three will be (1) Ching Lee with two CA; (2) CA Qunicy; and (3) BB Resolution. The other three are smaller - two are CL/DD TFs and one is CA Australia with a few DDs. Most - but not all - of the Allied fighters in the theater will work Ayab. 180 fighters there, plus more from Chittagong providing LRCAP and sweeps. Total fighters to be committed to this base should be roughly 300. All 4EB, 2EB, 1EB and two torpedo squadrons set to naval attack. If the Allies lose this battle, they do have a strategic reserve to call on. CA New Orleans at Colombo (and five other CA/CL in the yards there), plus BB Valiant and several Fletcher-class DDs currently inbound from Capetown. Finally, the majestic CVL Hermes TF can respond if needed. John knows what I have and he's been repulsed badly once, so if he's coming, he's bringing way, way more than I have. So I'd guess a very bloody battle with the Japanese prevailing, but hopefully seeing her main battle line further attrited.
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