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RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/9/2014 7:46:24 PM   
MrLink

 

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Hi,

Thanks for the game. Sorry for digging this thread up, but I would like to confirm what the OP said, that there is something indeed fishy with the Irbis-E radar performance. Both latest generation Su-27SM and Su-35S seem to have terrible radar performance not only when compared to foreign fighters but also to previous generations of the Su-27 family. Aircraft I have tested along side them are Russian Su-30 and its export counterparts Su-30MKI and Su-30MKK also the Su-34 and the single seat export Su-27SKM. All of these had better radar performance detecting similar targets than the latest Su-27SM and Su-35S (IRST performance also seemed to be much better). It seemed that those last generation aircraft had only slightly better radar performance than the vintage 1980s Su-27S and were somewhat comparable to a MiG-25PD!

It is easy to test that in the editor. Just place those aircraft together and see who can detect similar targets better and at what distance. All above mentioned aircraft were detecting F-15C sized targets at 90+ nm whereas the Su-27SM and SU-35S could only do so at around 65 nm.

I am using V.1.02 build 480

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Post #: 31
RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/10/2014 3:43:26 AM   
Blu3wolf


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picking up fighter sized targets at 90 miles is _very_ good radar performance...

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Post #: 32
RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/10/2014 9:49:17 PM   
Wiz33

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: thewood1

This is an interesting and sobering read on radar missile reality, especially long range missile shots...

http://pogoarchives.org/labyrinth/11/09.pdf


A bit narrowly focused. It did not go into the effect of being under BVR missile. Any fighter under BVR fire will still have to honor the threat. Which can break up an incoming strike, put those unit on the defensive and disrupt unit cohesion. Which in turn would enable the attacker to gain the advantage and allow any follow up attack with short range missile to be more effective. In game term. It should decrease the aircraft agility rating for every missile evaded for short time which will make follow up attack more effective (unfortunately it's not implemented in game yet).

So, despite the low kill rates. The ability to detect and fire first is still every important.

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Post #: 33
RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/10/2014 11:52:18 PM   
thewood1

 

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I don't think anyone doubts that, but it is specifically addressed in the report. The point is that AAW BVR kills were and are not common. Any one who comes in and claims differently is just conjecturing.

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Post #: 34
RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/11/2014 1:30:37 PM   
Tomcat84

 

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It's an almost nine year old unclassified report though that barely addresses anything post desert storm. I just realized the other day, the time between desert storm and present day is bigger than the gap between linebacker II and desert storm. Yet in my mind desert storm still feels fairly recent while linebacker II and desert storm appear to be miles apart. But it's been a long time since desert storm with a lot of technological and tactical improvements, plenty of them classified. There just hasn't been any real air to air warfare to put it into reality. He certainly makes a number of valid points, but also a bunch that are outdated, narrow minded or seems to be skewed due to a non pilot's perspective. And of course the fulcrum picture thing I mentioned earlier doesn't help for me lol

A lot depends on the type and the politics of the conflict.

< Message edited by Tomcat84 -- 1/11/2014 2:32:02 PM >


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RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/11/2014 3:42:29 PM   
Blu3wolf


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Tomcat84

It's an almost nine year old unclassified report though that barely addresses anything post desert storm. I just realized the other day, the time between desert storm and present day is bigger than the gap between linebacker II and desert storm. Yet in my mind desert storm still feels fairly recent while linebacker II and desert storm appear to be miles apart. But it's been a long time since desert storm with a lot of technological and tactical improvements, plenty of them classified. There just hasn't been any real air to air warfare to put it into reality. He certainly makes a number of valid points, but also a bunch that are outdated, narrow minded or seems to be skewed due to a non pilot's perspective. And of course the fulcrum picture thing I mentioned earlier doesn't help for me lol

A lot depends on the type and the politics of the conflict.


could you be more specific on what you think is outdated, narrow minded or skewed?

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Post #: 36
RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/11/2014 4:06:25 PM   
mikmykWS

 

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Kurt Plummer? Are you out there?

Mike

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Post #: 37
RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/11/2014 4:11:35 PM   
Blu3wolf


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I don't get it... is that a reference to something?

EDIT: So, I just googled Kurt Plummer... that guy does not have a good rep, it seems. I found a post where he bashed the Super Hornet on a modelling forum... which is bad enough for me!

however, I don't appreciate the implication that my posts are pseudo-intellectual BS - which, insofar as I could tell, his all were.

< Message edited by Blu3wolf -- 1/11/2014 5:26:56 PM >


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RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/11/2014 8:34:26 PM   
thewood1

 

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So how many wars have been fought with BVR kills since Desert Storm. So no one brings ANY real data...and then when someone brings it, complaints about it. Let's see some data on the other side, not opinions or wishful thinking about fancy technology.

Can any one dispute any data in that report. How about bringing something that refutes that?

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Post #: 39
RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/12/2014 1:15:30 AM   
jdkbph


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I don't know that we have any solid data to suggest the performance is poor either. Short of a full scale, no holds barred conflict - where ROE is primarily operational rather than political - we may never have.

JD

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Post #: 40
RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/12/2014 1:46:14 AM   
thewood1

 

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There is actually more BVR than most people think. Even only looking at the data without the editorial, it points to BVR not living up to its hype. I have yet to see anyone bring any data supporting making BVR have a higher Pk.

I would also imagine in a highly dense air battle ROE would be even tighter than in some previous conflicts. With no reliable ROE, there is going to be a lot of reluctance to turn BVR loose outside certain circumstances.

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RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/12/2014 1:59:22 AM   
mikmykWS

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Blu3wolf

I don't get it... is that a reference to something?

EDIT: So, I just googled Kurt Plummer... that guy does not have a good rep, it seems. I found a post where he bashed the Super Hornet on a modelling forum... which is bad enough for me!

however, I don't appreciate the implication that my posts are pseudo-intellectual BS - which, insofar as I could tell, his all were.


Actually I'm a huge fan of his and so are the rest of us. If you google anything about us you'll find us talking about him.

I wouldn't regard your BS and pseudo intellectual at all

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RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/12/2014 2:10:03 AM   
mikmykWS

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: jdkbph

I don't know that we have any solid data to suggest the performance is poor either. Short of a full scale, no holds barred conflict - where ROE is primarily operational rather than political - we may never have.

JD


Exactly.

The other catch is that the cost of BVR missiles has risen along with their sophistication and the numbers purchased show that. In a massive Central Front type engagement the A+ BVR models might be expended quickly leaving less capable and then visual ranged weapons which were available in much greater numbers.

Back in the day Rag and D started work on a large Central Front type of scenario. Would be useful in at least getting a sense of how quick things run out.

Mike

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Post #: 43
RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/12/2014 2:49:07 AM   
Blu3wolf


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quote:

ORIGINAL: mikmyk


quote:

ORIGINAL: Blu3wolf

I don't get it... is that a reference to something?

EDIT: So, I just googled Kurt Plummer... that guy does not have a good rep, it seems. I found a post where he bashed the Super Hornet on a modelling forum... which is bad enough for me!

however, I don't appreciate the implication that my posts are pseudo-intellectual BS - which, insofar as I could tell, his all were.


Actually I'm a huge fan of his and so are the rest of us. If you google anything about us you'll find us talking about him.

I wouldn't regard your BS and pseudo intellectual at all


okay... well, taking that into consideration, Im not Kurt Plummer, and Im hardly able to jduge much on his posting... as I only found one post actually attributed to him. seems Im getting a little off topic though, and I apologize for jumping to conclusions RE psuedo intellectual BS and RE your comment.

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Post #: 44
RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/12/2014 3:46:48 PM   
MrLink

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Blu3wolf

picking up fighter sized targets at 90 miles is _very_ good radar performance...


It is very good indeed. I did not expect that from some of the older fighters on the list. However, that still does not explain why the Su-35 is preforming worse than its older siblings.

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Post #: 45
RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/13/2014 1:45:52 AM   
Stevechase

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Sunburn

quote:

ORIGINAL: TMP95
Upon further playtesting. I'm starting to wonder some if AIM-9M is not accurate / successful enough. Ditto that for later version AIM-7s

I've set up and number of computer AI VS AI scenarios - I'm seeing F-14Ds firing 10-12 shots off and maybe scoring 2 hits. Be it 4 AIM-54s, 4 AIM-7s and 2 AIM-9Ms. The late addition AIM-7s seem to miss much more than I suspect they should. Understand earlier 1970s, 80s AIM-7s had a low 25% hit rate. But I believe the lateer 90s updated AIM-7s should have a better success rate.

What does the message log say? Why do the missiles miss? Are the decoyed? Are they jammed? Are they outmaneuvered? Do they run out of energy?

Remember guys, this is not Harpoon. There are multiple discrete steps in the missile endgame. Before getting to the "sexy" manouvering part, the missile first has to run the electronic warfare gauntlet - not sexy, but often much more important than pulling Gs. We hoped that the message log was making this abundantly clear but we begin to suspect that people read the message log about as much as they read the manual.

quote:


I'm play testing with "ACE" US. and "Averge" Opfor units. In 2 Vs 3 engagements (computer AI both). Basically losing 2 Tomcats for 2 Mig-29s. Starting out coming head on at 70NM + .


If you think there is a problem, please post a save.

quote:


I've also noticed. The AI does not seem to to a good job of datalinking a target so that it will be fired upon. Via that datalink. It seems the F-14Ds will not fire upon Migs until they have their OWN radar turned on. Yet the E2C in the air has them (MIGs) spotted and is showing them on the map. F-14s will not fire until their radar is turned on and locked up on them. Which should not be the case. Now if you manually take over, I can have them Fire via the Datalink. But they don't seem to on their own. Plan to test this further.

This is a popular misconception. F-14s cannot fire the Phoenix silently. They must illuminate the target at launch, and they must also provide illumination during mid-course at very regular intervals or else the missile will lose guidance. Only at the terminal phase, when the missile goes active, can the F-14 break off.

Sunburn I totally agree. I have payed close attention to the message log and there is a lot more stuff going on than simply outmaneuvering a missile.
Guys, Harpoon was a good -dare I say great sim but it pales in comparison to what Command has going on under the hood. You do not need to limit your thinking to: "what it was like in Harpoon".

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Post #: 46
RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/13/2014 10:10:13 AM   
Dimitris

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Blu3wolf


quote:

ORIGINAL: mikmyk


quote:

ORIGINAL: Blu3wolf

I don't get it... is that a reference to something?

EDIT: So, I just googled Kurt Plummer... that guy does not have a good rep, it seems. I found a post where he bashed the Super Hornet on a modelling forum... which is bad enough for me!

however, I don't appreciate the implication that my posts are pseudo-intellectual BS - which, insofar as I could tell, his all were.


Actually I'm a huge fan of his and so are the rest of us. If you google anything about us you'll find us talking about him.

I wouldn't regard your BS and pseudo intellectual at all


okay... well, taking that into consideration, Im not Kurt Plummer, and Im hardly able to jduge much on his posting... as I only found one post actually attributed to him. seems Im getting a little off topic though, and I apologize for jumping to conclusions RE psuedo intellectual BS and RE your comment.


As an example of why we follow Kurt's writings very carefully:

quote:


Which brings me to the AIM-54. Called the Phoenix but known as the Buffalo,
despite a 'Mach 4 class' (Mach 3.8, AIM-54A Rocketdyne Mk.47 motor) and even
'Mach 5 class' (Mach 4.5, AIM-54C, Aerojet Mk.60 motor) what you have in
this weapon is a 'trainwreck' (or a thundering herd of buffalo, driven off a
cliff) mechanic in which a very slow start and midcourse also employs
terminal dive attacks that (though greatly complicating endgame intercept
geometry for the missile) reenergize it's final approach.

As an example of how bad this 'getting there' deficit can be- In April 1973,
a single Tomcat, flying a standard loiter at about Mach .67 and 25,000ft
(i.e. a preplaced FORCAP orbit), with one AIM-54 Phoenix aboard (minimum
weight and drag) was turned to intercept a BQM-34E which was _itself_
closing at Mach 1.5 and 50,000ft. Starting from initial detection at 132nm,
the F-14 flew an additional 20nm (1 minute) to achieve firing parameters of
Mach 1.5 and 44,000ft. The missile then flew for 2.62 minutes or 157
seconds. To achieve a downrange intercept at a mere 72.5nm. DURING THIS
TIME, average /missile/ velocity, including the parent boost and a specially
tailored (engineers spent all night tweaking the analogue autopilot gains,
something which would never happen in the fleet) profile of 103,500ft
altitude (as near zero-drag vacuum as you can get) was no more than 1,656
knots. Or roughly Mach 2.93.

What happens if, the target turns away? If the target is going slower? If
the target performs a beaming or 'notch' maneuver? If the target postholes
down into the clutter where the Hi-PRF looses it in the clutter? The missile
misses that's what.

In another 'miracle mile' event, an F-14, firing at a BQM-34A with an
initial setup of 10,000ft and Mach .72 vs 50ft and Mach .75 at 22nm
separation showed the weapon intercepted at around 16nm in 54 seconds.
DESPITE being a SARH-PDSTT all the way (no firing lag to account for time
share TWS on multiple missiles) in nominally 'snap down' assisted conditions
for acceleration, where there was no time spent climbing to the loft.
DESPITE the fact that the missile was indeed /powered throughout the
flight/. Average Missile Mach was only 1.88.

In the 'so impressive' 6v.6 engagement, the aircraft _could not_ achieve
'maximum kinetic assist' because, with six Phoenix aboard, it didn't have
the gusto to do more than about Mach 1.2 and could not achieve even this _in
the time available_ to initiate TWS tracking on 'fighter sized' (3-5m
augmented drones) targets. And the crew were pressed so hard already (in
retaining adequate radar scan volume overlay) that, instead of a wall or
conventional shelf, the UT-33 and BQM-34 were arranged in an 'extended card'
type formation with azimuth spacings on the order of 5nm in frontage (three
sets of two for 15nm) and with upwards of 35nm in trail (83 vs. 110nm) yet
only 5,000ft of altitude separation. What this allowed the F-14 to do was
generate a maximum X minimum scan of 120` X 2 bars in a giant pie-slice
sectoring of sky that kept everybody visible with missiles in the air and
with no AWS-27 (E-2) uplink.

Even so, at the outset of engagement, a completely bogus 'orchestration' of
formation behaviors had to occur so that none of the targets drifted out of
the scan volume or steamed right through it so that the initial drones flew
at Mach .6 and the trailing aircraft at Mach .8 while the last was a
'sprinter' coming in at about Mach 1.2 to play catchup. The F-14 initiated
firing at a mere 31nm and continued to do so over a steady-flight period of
38 seconds, opening up on the closest targets /last/ (exposing itself to
their weapons systems) to ensure that 'all missiles impacted within a few
seconds of each other' for a virtual simultaneous seeming engagement. As a
part of this exercise in idiocy, it 'maxxed the dot' (ASE starboard) so that
it could bias it's TWS volume into the target lane while setting the
geometry physically to engage the final AQM-37 (sprint) target coming up the
far right side of the engagement.

/Conveniently/, not only did the drones all arrive at co-pole distance with
the missiles due to their careful range distribution, but they actually
/curved inwards/ to follow the Tomcat (like a drunk crossing lanes into
oncoming traffic) so as to better stay in-volume.

'And So', over a total period of 3.92 minutes (235 seconds, 33 miles at Mach
.9, 55 miles at Mach 1.5, a /veritable eternity/ in fighter vs. fighter ops)
the Tomcat killed all but the furthest-out (lefthand biased) 2 targets,
thereby proving that multi-on-multi _did not_ work. Because even with all
this grooming of the engagement variables, the AWG could not keep everybody
under track long enough to get a missile out to each of them, dumping one
target completely before the AIM-54 could hand off. While the other drone
had its FQ augmentation now so far out of field that the AIM-54 itself could
not maintain the target track at the severe crossing angle.

Keep in mind that NONE of these were 'valid kills' because despite the
nominally /enormous/ LAR or 'Launch Acceptability Region' of the Phoenix
itself, the combination of scan lag and limited PRF ability to handle
various low closure/high crossing angle targets through the Hi/Lo interleave
ensured that TWS was unavailable until a point (roughly 50nm) at which the
structured missile flyout sequencing necessary to get all six targets
challenged the assumption of killing before being killed. And so, regardless
of supposed simultaneity, the entire raid behavior was suspect, not only for
being designed to bring the targets into the Phoenix envelope ONLY as the
weapons came to bear. But rather for what it did NOT require the Tomcat crew
to do so as to avoid threat bypass or direct engagement of the F-14 itself.

This is something which no halfway competent (threat) fighter pilot would
'step into' as he:

1. Doubled the altitude separation so as to force the F-14 RIO to compress
his azimuth scan field to deepen the bar search.
2. Transited the combat area at a MINIMUM 550 knots or Mach .95 to compress
the flyout vs. SARH timeshare problem even more.
3. Maximized his formation frontage densities to make sure the Tomcat had to
open fire at closer to maximum (TWS interleave) of 50-60nm to have a hope of
killing all targets in a very tight separation of missile guidance updates.
For which sudden, drastic, formation changes would leave little or no
ability to adjust final missile update steering into handoff conditions.

All of which leads to the generalized sarcasm of "Ignoring the Phoenix
shots..." among those AF pilots in particular who sparred with the USN
Tomcat community off Rota Spain during the late 70's and early 80's when the
AIM-54/AWG-9 was at the height of its 'mystical' powers (achievement is the
inverse of expectation, the Pentagon Paradox).

Indeed, the saddest element of this story is that no Tomcat has ever flown a
Fleet Defense Bravo loadout of six missiles in active (cruise) service. They
cannot safely recover or (single engine ROC) launch with that much weight.
And further they cannot themselves maintain adequate smash to aggressively
maneuver at altitude to set the geometry vs. fighter targets without going
supersonic which both eats fuel and instantly compresses the fight. Indeed,
most of the squadrons did even not deploy (before 1988 anyway) with the
outboard horn rails because they were draggy as hell and a pain to
mount/dismount in trade for the more common Sparrow or even Sidewinder (6X2
or 4X4) alternate loadouts. Lastly, the USN only produced about 5,000
AIM-54s and of those, only about half were the AIM-54C+ 'ECCM/Sealed'
(either as new or by conversion) which had the seeker, warhead fuzing and
autopilot upgrades to be any good against more than the dumbest threats. The
/total/ number is only sufficient to allow every Tomcat a Fleet Defense
Alpha loadout of 4 missiles. One time. And the actual magazine count during
cruise was never more than a fraction of even this (back when there were
actually two squadrons of 12 Tomcats on every deck).


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RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/13/2014 1:08:38 PM   
MR_BURNS2


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....more, MORE!

In what forum can more of that kind of info be found?

Btw he mentions a 2 sidewinder and 6 Sparrow wartime loadout at the end.

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RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/13/2014 6:30:48 PM   
jdkbph


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I wonder, is there any taking into account target illumination from an external source... such as E2C?

JD

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Post #: 49
RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/13/2014 9:28:56 PM   
Dimitris

 

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The E-2 cannot provide terminal illumination. It can only act as a CEC datalink node.

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RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/14/2014 1:33:49 AM   
Dannyp19

 

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The more I keep reading the more I'm convinced that BVR radar guided AA missile capability is a product of DOD/MIC propaganda bull manure. Millions have been spent on a system that can't even produce a PK of 15%. Don't even get me going about stealth. . . That's even more $$$$ down the drain.

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RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/14/2014 2:34:07 AM   
Blu3wolf


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Sunburn

As an example of why we follow Kurt's writings very carefully:

quote:

ORIGINAL: Kurt Plummer
LOTS OF WORDS



well... I am less familiar with the tomcat and its loadouts, but its nice to have ones views vindicated by someone else. By about halfway through, I am finding phrases where I have no clue what he is referring to, and am relying on context...

Either he is making stuff up, or I have more to learn than I thought... and given my young age, I think it might be the latter :/


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Post #: 52
RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/14/2014 3:35:13 PM   
jdkbph


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Speaking of context, I'm wondering if we're covering all the bases. Let's say for a minute that BVR vs high speed, maneuvering targets is a waste of time. OK, what might it be good for?

Would it be effective against heavily laden bomber formations? eg, Backfires, Blinders, Badgers, etc, before they launch their ASuW cruise missiles? That's what the AIM54 was designed for after all.

Or how about those cruise missiles themselves? If you could achieve a 50% pk using AIM120s against a wave of Vampires, would that be a waste of time? I think not. Is that realistic? I don't know. Does anybody?

JD

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Post #: 53
RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/15/2014 11:13:02 PM   
Tomcat84

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Blu3wolf

could you be more specific on what you think is outdated, narrow minded or skewed?


I can give it a shot but of course I cant pen down all my thoughts.

The paper notes "IFF is still not considered reliable today" and for that refers to sources from 1993 and 1985. Even in 2005 that seems a bit dated but it's now 2014! Is IFF easy, no. But there have been and continue to be improvements. Then it also says that evidence to support this is that other systems like AWACS need to be present for IDing. I do not understand why it is a problem to have AWACS and others around for improved ID capability. This is highly likely in a modern air war. And even in a severely contested environment without AWACS there are still various ways.

I also don't like the assumption that an enemy is always going to be aware that he's being targeted, and if not it's training failure or equipment failure. Very easy to say at 1G.
I dont see why it is an issue that AWACS and NCTR were not in original BVR theory. I guess he's trying to say that original BVR theory was not feasible at the time. I dont disagree with that at all but I dont think it's relevant for a present day BVR debate.

Post desert storm engagements, there is no info on range or the situation of shots (especially the Southern watch ones) that may have influenced the situation, so I think it is stretching to try and draw a conclusion (yes he says "would appear" but still it's reads like a conclusion) that there is a continuing dismal BVR track record, even though there is no real info about the shots. They might have been very long range with a known low pk but taken for specific reason, we dont know, and as such i think it is a stretch to draw conclusions based on it. In fact, even for the Desert Storm shots there is still not all that much info. Aspect wise, tail on shots are always tricky. How many of the misses are low PK shots against fighters running full burner towards the Iranian border? I don't know. I still need to get the book "Debrief", it might help.

Counterarguments and responses. The first one I'm really not sure what he is trying to express.
Second one: Let me be clear, I completely agree that the "initial BVR promise" made before Vietnam etc was stupid and completely not met. I'm just talking about how I dont necessarily think everything still applies today. Again: I don't see the problem with having AWACS and NCTR and I think the "requiring an incompetent enemy" line is an overly quick conclusion.
Third counterargument and response about trashed shots being useful to gain initiative: Assumptions again being made about IFF. Big part of BVR lack of opportunities is the lack of full up BVR-able wars.
Assumptions being made about Home on Radar missiles. He seems to assume that these will materialize as a credible threat with a greater range than radar guided missiles. But of course, being able to remain silent is great, ARMs or not.. And perhaps possible but again the paper is almost ten years old and development doesn't stop.

Recommendations: 1) yes training is important. I fully agree training needs enough money. But just training is not going to win it, you do need to stay on the technological leading edge.
2) agreed. Doesn't mean you shouldn't keep developing improved systems.
3) assumptions about IFF technoloy again
4) a crude remark I think. Some of those weapons still need an air platform, other threats still need/are air platforms. How does he propose to take it out. With AIM-9 armed F-16As? I do not agree with his implied assumption that the air to air ARM will necessarily be able to defeat the AIM-120 equipped Raptor.
5) I'll take one F-22 over 5 lightweight F-5s any day.
6) I think I have already mentioned my complete shock at this seriously being in there with these pictures. As far as the actual argument goes, targeting pods, IRSTs and other means are not in his equation here.

So what is my problem with this paper? (besides the MiG-29 pics lol) I am fine with the talk about how in Vietnam and Desert Storm etc it wasnt all that awesome. I agree. And that is almost 25 years+ ago.

But I do not agree with reading this paper and concluding that BVR today is useless and that these missiles are crap. The "problem" is that there hasn't been a full fangs out, gloves come off kind of air war for a long time. In Command we can simulate that though. BVR needs this kind of war to shine. It needs a clear cut enemy threat, that enables ROEs to be set and BVR to kick into action. Is that likely to happen? In a China v USA scenario yes those ROEs are likely imo. Have we seen anything like that? No (I'm glad btw). As said earlier in an excellent post by Showtime (nice name, makes me think of Red Flag, though I guess it refers to the Vietnam F-4 3 kill?), they really wouldnt keep doing this if it didnt work. Even though there hasnt been a BVR war, the US does plenty of Combat Archer action to have some idea of what these missiles can and cannot do (142 AIM-120 shots just in FY09). If they were truly crap they'd stop. But they havent. And neither have "the others". To seemingly suggest that the AIM-9 armed light weight fighter is the solution is pure madness and suggests to me that he has not been in the cockpit for a current day air to air (training) scenario. Be it a 2v2 or full up Red Flag DCA.

Again, some (not all) points not taken into account:
- AIM-120 abilities and developments vs legacy AIM-7. Active vs semi-active missiles is not even talked about.
- Assumptions about IFF abilities are not up to date.
- Datalinks are among other things an extremely SA enhancing tool and are not covered.
- Targeting Pods, Infrared Search and Track and other means may greatly aid SA, BDA and IFF.
- Assumptions are made about 100% effectiveness of target RWR at detecting tracking radar or missiles.
- Funnily enough nothing is said about jamming in the paper, that actually might make things trickier for BVR employment.

Do I think BVR is perfect and all missiles should hit? No. Do I think this paper is complete crap? No, it makes multiple good points. But I am not in favor of reading this paper and thinking: that's how BVR is today. I think it is more a paper about historical BVR development.

BVR needs a big war, with willing politicians, and not too many coalition countries, ideally USA only. Will it be perfect? no. Will it be a million times better than the alternative: you bet. (I'm not even sure what the alternative is actually, visual only AIM-9 merges?).

China, feel free to prove me wrong

Oh and about the software: do I think Command's PK is way off? No, it's pretty good. For some weapons it's better than others. The main weakness I think right now is that successive shots don't benefit from anything like energy degradation etc (yet), and that also for initial shots there is no difference based on configuration, speed, altitude and those sorts of things yet.


Hope that all makes some sense.

< Message edited by Tomcat84 -- 1/16/2014 12:15:34 AM >


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(in reply to Blu3wolf)
Post #: 54
RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/16/2014 12:54:19 AM   
Blu3wolf


Posts: 198
Joined: 9/30/2013
From: Western Australia
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wow! thanks for the reply Tomcat!

I have to say I agree fully with them about IFF's reliability - this based not on my own experiences but that of other pilots. In any event, IFF is not a primary ID source - you cannot shoot someone down for having a busted transponder.

RE being targeted, that one is harder to say, I mean 90% of combat kills are gotten before the other side realises they are in a fight - but in the modern day, this has to have dropped somewhat, given all the modern equipment dedicated to missile defence and detection. If you pick up CW paints, its a fairly safe assumption something is targeting you.

Id agree with your proposal that the AIM-120 has superior abilities and developments vs the AIM-7. Of course, Id be disturbed if this was not the case...

ultimately, BVR today consists of taking very long range shots in order to respect MAR and then being concerned when those shots have only a low Pk. The problem with the concept of a LWF armed with AIM-9s is that to first get to that very lethal WVR position, first you have to fly through long range BVR, medium range BVR and short range BVR.... I do not think that a WVR fighter alone is a good concept, but I also think that the USAF doctrine of not merging with the enemy is flawed.

Id agree on that energy degradation point, and Id note that the 'flight model' currently appears to have no provisions for such. This would be a much appreciated feature for future revision.

(in reply to Tomcat84)
Post #: 55
RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/16/2014 1:00:08 PM   
dillonkbase

 

Posts: 177
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Good article, wanted to share. http://www.ausairpower.net/APA-Rus-BVR-AAM.html
The Russian Philosophy of Beyond Visual Range Air Combat, by some Australian Analyst

(in reply to Blu3wolf)
Post #: 56
RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/16/2014 6:38:33 PM   
jdkbph


Posts: 339
Joined: 2/11/2007
From: CT, USA
Status: offline
Oh! Woe... woe and great sorrow!

Am I reading some Australian Analyst correctly?...

The "other guys" are planning to jump ahead by proposed leaps and promising bounds with projected technologies at some prospective date... while the poor westerners are mired with their soon to be proven failures and technologies of the not so recent past?

Woe, I say!

Quickly... someone find a towel and toss it in!



Ahem.

Sorry, couldn't resist. No offense to dillonkbase or the article author... it's probably just me... but the way it was written it all sounded so ridiculous.

< Message edited by jdkbph -- 1/16/2014 7:45:45 PM >

(in reply to dillonkbase)
Post #: 57
RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/16/2014 10:27:24 PM   
IWS

 

Posts: 60
Joined: 12/28/2013
Status: offline

:-)

OTOH, we can't just dismiss the possibility out of hand, either.

Russia did steal a march on us in the 80s with the R73 (AA-11) short-range missile and its off-boresight capability.

We were kinda blindsided on that one.

It was a good idea, effective, didn't require revolutionary tech, and the Soviets thought of it first. So everyone else was left scrambling to catch up.

I think it is possible (though perhaps unlikely) we could be scooped on BVR at some point.


(in reply to jdkbph)
Post #: 58
RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/16/2014 10:51:02 PM   
jdkbph


Posts: 339
Joined: 2/11/2007
From: CT, USA
Status: offline
I agree... it's quite possible.

It's just the way the "argument" was presented... all hypothetical GEE-WHIZ on one side, and all history and projected failure on the other. I had just prior been reading another thread where the The Onion was mentioned... I started to wonder if maybe that's where this had come from.


(in reply to IWS)
Post #: 59
RE: Air To Air Combat - 1/17/2014 12:19:09 AM   
IWS

 

Posts: 60
Joined: 12/28/2013
Status: offline
Hehe. Yep.

"When someone loves an agenda Very Much...
...and that, Little Timmy, is how slanted analyses are born..."

But this one is quite a bit better than "Because I say so". There are valid points tucked in there, if you can get past the fear-mongering.

- The BVR capability gap is smaller than it used to be back in the good old days.

- IR seeker performance is still evolving, and Russia is experimenting with that.

- Against stealth (heck, against anything), using non-radar-homing missiles too is probably worth trying.

- More missiles give a better Pk than fewer, especially if the missiles use different homing methods.

- Kinematic performance matters. Quite a lot.

BTW, grid fins ("lattice tail controls" in the article) turn out to be a pretty good idea. We've started using those too for some weapons.

(in reply to jdkbph)
Post #: 60
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