Centuur
Posts: 8802
Joined: 6/3/2011 From: Hoorn (NED). Status: offline
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Calculations made. I can get a +8 attack against the hex east of the resource next to Lille (if I double two units for this attack) and throwing in von Bock for HQ support. This might become better if I can get some disorganised units in the hex, using the two Stuka's there for ground strikes... I can get a +12 attack against Metz if I double four units in that attack and throw in planes on ground support. I can only get these, if the French Leo451 doesn't get through on ground support. If the Leo is added to the hex east of the resource, the odds goes down to a +6. If it gets into Metz that attack goes down to a +7 at most... To get these odds, I have to put the whole Luftwaffe into action (including all FTR's). Worst case scenario: I don't get disorganised units in the hex east of the resource near Lille, the Leo get's flown to Metz and I lose 4 (!) units for no gain at all... Can the German Wehrmacht absorb these kind of losses? It will throw them back, but looking at the tight frontline, the answer is probably: yes. However, it sure is a blow to the German war effort if these attacks go wrong, since in that case the offensive chit is gone and this might mean that another one has to be used to crack the French line later... On the other hand, if I wait to have von Rundstedt to use the offensive chit, odds are better on the attack in Belgium, but not on the one at Metz and I probably won't have a double move available. Offensive chit or not. At the OKH the generals are divided in their opinions. Von Manstein, Guderian and von Bock are in favour, however von Brauchitz, Halder and von Leeb are against using the offensive chit. They are still arguing when the phone rings and the Führer makes the decision for the generals... What is the order the Führer will give? Gentlemen, lets take a vote here. Who wants to use the offensive chit in this situation and who doesn't want to... After carefull review, I think I'm, albeit reluctantly, on the side of the "Nicht Kleckern, Klotzen" faction. So count me in favour. High risk, high gain...
< Message edited by Centuur -- 2/2/2014 8:17:32 PM >
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Peter
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