Combat odds : explanations needed

Matrix Games Forums

Forums Register Login Photo Gallery Member List Search Calendars FAQ

My Profile Inbox Address Book My Subscription My Forums Log Out

Combat odds : explanations needed

View related threads: (in this forum | in all forums)

Logged in as: Guest

Users viewing this topic: none

Printable Version

All Forums >> [New Releases from Matrix Games] >> World in Flames >> Tech Support >> Combat odds : explanations needed

Page: [1]

Message

<< Older Topic Newer Topic >>

Combat odds : explanations needed - 9/26/2014 6:32:25 PM

yvesp

Posts: 2083
Joined: 9/12/2008
Status: offline

I don't understand how the game computes this combat odds:

Weather is Blizzard.

You see the game count.

I'd count:
* base odds: +4
* city: -1
* factory: -1
* HQ attacking city: +1
* Blizzard: -6
* HQ support: +2
* Winterized units: +4 (unsure for mountain div)
* Fractional odds: +1
Final odds: +4

Also note that the game did not ask for using winterized units.

What do you make of it ?

Attachment (1)

Post #: 1

RE: Combat odds : explanations needed - 9/26/2014 6:58:11 PM

yvesp

Posts: 2083
Joined: 9/12/2008
Status: offline

Answering part of my own question: attacking bonus are affected by terrain halving etc...

There is one river+forteress hex east: bonus from one winterized + moutain div divided by 4.

There is a river on the other units: bonus from HQ attacking city and 3 winterized units halved.

My new count:
* base odds: +4.05 (precise fractional odd)
* city: -1
* factory: -1
* HQ attacking city: +1/2
* Blizzard: -6
* HQ support: +2
* Winterized units (3): +3/2
* Winterized units (1): +1/4
* Moutain div: +1/8 (?)
* Fractional odds: +1

Anyway, the final result is closed to what the panel shows... but not exactly. I wonder how the rounding is done for partial odds modifications (I'd say the fractional odds should apply, but who knows)

(in reply to yvesp)

Post #: 2

RE: Combat odds : explanations needed - 9/26/2014 11:41:07 PM

paulderynck

Posts: 8201
Joined: 3/24/2007
From: Canada
Status: offline

It's hard to see the rivers that are being attacked across. I make it 22.25 to 11 which is a DRM of 4.045. (You never round, just truncate everything after the third decimal place in MWiF.) I agree on all the boni, so it looks like a net DRM of zero with a fractional chance of .420 for a DRM of +1.

_____________________________

Paul

(in reply to yvesp)

Post #: 3

RE: Combat odds : explanations needed - 10/1/2014 1:00:56 AM

Shannon V. OKeets

Posts: 22095
Joined: 5/19/2005
From: Honolulu, Hawaii
Status: offline

All 3 hexsides have rivers. The eastward facing hexside has a fort (new construction). But I do not know which units are attacking across that fort hexside.

Calculating this stuff is really difficult. At this point I trust the program (having delved into the details of many reported bugs on calculating land combat odds).

---

Not being asked about using winterized units might still be an issue.

_____________________________

Steve

Perfection is an elusive goal.

(in reply to paulderynck)

Post #: 4