IdahoNYer
Posts: 2616
Joined: 9/6/2009 From: NYer living in Boise, ID Status: offline
|
Surprisingly, April came and went without another new major Japanese offensive - just continuation of ongoing operations. And for a change, the month didn’t end with the KB clobbering a convoy in SOPAC - although, the KB did apparently make the sortie to try! L_S_T seemed content to continue to pursue his ongoing offensives - securing Java in the DEI, pushing up through Burma, attacking toward Sian in China, and what appears to be his primary objective, securing NW Australia. I truly expected another front to open up - either in the Indian Ocean (Akyab or Ceylon), or landings in SOPAC, but the only other expedition the IJN undertook was some minor landings in CENPAC - likely to lure US CVs into an engagement with the KB which was lurking just off to the west. From the Allied standpoint, holding on to Port Hedland - resulting in the first CV battle of the Pacific War - and successfully building up Noumea in SOPAC, and Adak in NOPAC were the highlights of the Allied effort. Naval losses for the month weren’t excessive for either side; IJN reported losses for the month were 1CA, 2CL, 3DD and 7SS as compared to the Allies losing 3CL, 5DD and 2SS. Air losses were also in the Allies favor, but not by much, 412 for Jpn to 352 Allied. Screenshot shows Allied Forces disposition - Notes: 1)Ships are in service, not under refit or stood down. 2) a/c shown are combat available, not trainers or deployed on CVs. 3) CENPAC and Ceylon subs are those against IJN shipping, other Theater subs shown are “in close” for defense of that Theater. 4) Eng are Construction or Port Maint Bns, not BFs. As with April - the question remains, “What is the Jpn next objective?” As best as I can tell, he’s got 3, perhaps 4 divisions currently engaged in NW Australia. 3 just finished clearing Java, and should be available. Another is still laying siege to Bataan. Figure he’ll clean out Bataan with the Java forces (just a guess), before committing them elsewhere. Still that should allow for at least 5 divisions available. With no new major invasions in April when I expected him to execute, I’m at a loss as to where he may go now. I don’t think he’s ready to concede the initiative, but with the other likely objectives (Noumea, Suva, Ceylon, Diamond Harbor) all at fort level 4 with relatively robust defenses, I’m not sure he’ll risk a maximum effort which the risk may not be worth the gain. I am confident he’ll pursue Darwin until complete - which may involve a direct invasion of the base. Other than that, no clue. West Coast/USA/Rear Areas: The 4/42 naval upgrades are winding down - most ships complete, and the majority of the remaining ships should complete in the next 10 days or so. I’ll have a few stragglers to get into the yards (mainly DDs), but, by and large, was able to get the upgrades done without needing the ships at sea. Two significant issue on the admin side - while I have plenty of trained pilots, I’m short of airframes. No surprise to any Allied player there. That won’t change until ’43. Due to that, I’m keeping many squadrons employed as training squadrons rather than pushing them to the front - I just don’t have the planes to replace losses. Second issue is a severe fuel shortage in Australia. Although I pushing fuel from both West Coast and Cape Town with all avail tankers, the tempo of sustaining operations off Port Hedland with significant naval forces has drained the stocks considerable. Will attempt to push more fuel, but I don’t see the situation improving for the next few months - I’ve even shut down Sydney’s heavy industry, and may shut down more. NOPAC. Naval forces here have been more effected by the 4/42 upgrades, reducing the effective DD strength to only BBs and 5 DDs. With the cruisers completing upgrades, and more DDs avail, will look to put more troops on Amchitka and increase pressure on Attu. By Jun, perhaps we’ll be ready to land troops on Attu. Of course, SIGINT is still showing Jpn interest in Amchitka. This remains a backwater theater for reinforcement. CENPAC. Losing Baker Island was expected, just figured it would have happened earlier. The US CV raid to Wake in April managed a bonus of catching a small convoy there, and follow on raid at the end of April and into May north of the Ellice Islands is designed to signal that US CVs are in CENPAC - at which time will pull them to SOPAC. Focus in CENPAC is maintaining defenses of Midway and Canton. Don’t see any enemy intent to grab them at the moment in any case. All are at Fort Level 4 and defended toward maximum stacking limits. SOPAC. After the Jpn seized Tanna, not much enemy activity in SOPAC, other than the recent KB raid west of New Caledonia - which was limited in effectiveness to hitting Koumac. Koumac and Noumea in New Caledonia are now at fort level 4 (LaFoe is almost there!) and AFs at Koumac and Noumea are supporting offensive strikes on Luganville, Efate and Tanna. The goal is to look toward retaking Efate as soon as the KB is confirmed elsewhere. If that hasn’t worked by June, we may look to support a landing there with the US CVs. I’d rather not do that just yet. For May, will continue to build combat power up in New Caledonia and put pressure on Jpn holdings. SWPAC. I’ve realized in April that Darwin can’t be supplied overland; I should have put more focus in building up the interior bases. Without that, the supplies just don’t flow. Without supplies, all those Bdes I have up there just won’t hold, so its time to pull back. First the support troops, then the combat troops. Of course, the IJA - with tanks in the lead - are trying to upset those plans. We’ll leave a Bde in Darwin and try to keep some supplies flowing with subs, but that’s it. I’ll try and save most everything else. Elsewhere, on the NE coast, the focus is to bring Portland Roads on line as an airbase. Progress here has been slow as resources have been diverted to the west coast. On the ground, the NE is fairly secure - just barely. Bdes or better in most bases in case the IJN decides to land, and the US 41st Div as a reserve in Sydney. 32nd Div is enroute as well. The main Allied focus is Port Hedland. With a Bde and engineers already there, they will be reinforced by another Bde and additional engineers - supported by a multi-national fleet. While I suspect L_S_T will anticipate the 2 British CVs sailing in support, I’m hoping he won’t suspect Halsey’s 2CVs and the Illustrious also supporting the landings. With some luck, perhaps we can not only land the reinforcements, but catch the Mini-KB and surface forces with 5 CVs! DEI. Well, the DEI campaign lasted a whole lot longer than I thought it would - with Batavia falling on 30 April. Bataan. Still holding in Bataan as April changes to May, but we’re not accomplishing anything but tying down some troops. With Java falling, sub supply runs will have to originate in Australia - that more than doubles the distance. I’ve got one xAK trying to sneak in from PH, but I don’t give that much chance. Will continue the sub supply effort, and just hope the IJA attacks a bit too soon and suffers some losses before the inevitable end. Burma/India. Not really sure what to make of the situation in here. I fully expected more effort to take Akyab by sea, but it looks like he’s making a very slow approach overland. I’d like to think the naval raid at Rangoon thwarted his amphibious inclinations, but I’m not that lucky. I’m moving some Indian Bdes up to counter that, but I’m still hoping he’ll go by sea to where the Royal Navy with HMS Warspite could do some damage. Inland, after taking Shwebo, IJA forces have been attempting cut off withdrawing Allied troops - so far, unsuccessfully. I’ve written the Burma units off in any case, and have built up a line from Ledo to Imphal. I really don’t expect a major assault overland here, but I can’t rule it out either. As long as his CVs aren’t in the Indian Ocean, I’m not concerned of landings at Diamond Harbor or Ceylon. China. Things have slowed down after Yenan fell. I figured a major quick thrust to Sian, but so far that hasn’t developed. Instead, a more deliberate approach, including attacking far to the south, has developed. IJA is also very focused once again at Wenchow, including using Naval units in the bombardment role. The highlight of the month though was the Chinese pushing the IJA from Pakhoi to Kwangchowan where the Chinese were stalemated by the intervention of the IJN bombardments. Anytime the Chinese theater diverts the IJN, it’s a win!
Attachment (1)
< Message edited by IdahoNYer -- 3/16/2015 2:50:00 AM >
|