JD Walter
Posts: 235
Joined: 6/20/2003 From: Out of the Silent Planet Status: offline
|
Sushi, I'm remembering a little bit about the logic my opponent & I had for our conclusions about Leader Randomization. I don't recall the entire argument, but basically it was this: The most important leaders for the Union, are those with infantry ratings of 3 & 4. This is because it usually takes 4mp's to move into an enemy occupied region and fight. (So you need +3 to the infantry's movement factor.) There is a very limited number of Union leaders that have this high an infantry bonus. Naturally, most that do are also highly rated on attack & defense, i.e., 3 or 4 on those skills as well. If using Semi-Random ratings(18.1.1), there is (overall) a 33% chance he will be better, a 33% chance he will be worse, and a 33% chance he will stay the same. So Semi-Random is a wash. But Full Random (18.1.2) is different. Here, one has a 72.5% chance the leader will be rated a 1 or a 2. The leader only has a 27.5% chance of being rated 3 or 4. This means that, if a leader is rated in the basic (un-randomized) game a 3, there is almost a 3/4ths chance he will be downgraded, a 1/4th chance that he will stay the same, and a minor (2.5%) chance he will increase. If he's rated a 4, unless he's exempted by 18.1.4, he's almost certain to lose it (97.5%). For the Union, many of whose 3's start off-board with less than 11 command and must be upgraded over time in combat, this is deleterious. A large portion of their 3 infantry specialization leaders will end up as mediocre 1's or 2's on attack & defense. Over the course of a full campaign, the effect is pronounced. By 1864, an average Union Army has worse command when randomized, than when playing historical. Ergo, my opponent and I concluded (each one of us playing both sides) the rule overall favors the South. Anyways, that's just my 200,000 Greek drachma's on the subject. I'd certainly be interested in hearing from more experienced players on the subject!
< Message edited by Def Zep -- 5/12/2015 3:50:00 PM >
|