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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent

 
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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/7/2016 4:35:12 PM   
Canoerebel


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quote:

ORIGINAL: poodlebrain

What morale and experience levels do your defenders have at Langsa and Sabang? What sort of leaders do you have? These might be difference makers between holding out for 40 days and 90 days.


The US Army divisions have decent experience, low fatigue, good morale and excellent leaders. There are four divisions - Americal (currently broken into RCT), 27th, 32 and 36th (the latter two numbers going from memory).

There is 1st US Marines with Archer Vandergrift in command. An excellent unit with '43 squads now, though really badly roughed up in earlier combat. AV is back to about 250 now.

There is an Indian unit of decent experience and good leadership.

There is 18th UK Division, but it was divided up to help garrison various islands and is now pretty weak.

Right now, I think John has at least six divisions committed in Sumatra with at least two more inbound and perhaps four to six up in Burma. I think with good terrain and supply and good prep, the Allies might tie up a fair number of enemy divisions in Sumatra for a long time to come. If the enemy troops are badly disrupted in amphibious landings, all the better.

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/7/2016 4:41:08 PM   
JocMeister

 

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Any plans to reinforce on the ground in the near future? Anything available?

Any chance you can switch the 18th for any of the weaker US divisions? Its a shame having them on garrison. Its a really good division.

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/7/2016 4:54:26 PM   
witpqs


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

There is 1st US Marines with Archer Vandergrift in command. An excellent unit with '43 squads now, though really badly roughed up in earlier combat. AV is back to about 250 now.

If they are at Sabang with all that supply, their recovery will be even quicker.

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/7/2016 6:23:57 PM   
Canoerebel


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1st Marines were in Sabang for weeks, recovering nicely. But I moved them out on the road to an intermediary hex between Sabang and Langsa. They were to dig in to create a strong roadblock in the event of a setback at Langsa, but they're also an emergency response unit for Sabang.

As for 18th Division, that horse left the barn a long time ago. Elements were parceled out to a variety of islands. Most of those elements have since been wiped out by John's counterattack. The last outpost on an island near Phuket will go soon. 18th Div. won't be a major player.

One interesting aspect to this is John's "body language" - primarily his rate of flipping turns and making posts to his AAR. His body language suggests that nothing major is up short term. Ordinarily, he'd be fully engaged if he had a major operation underway. So I'm curious to see what's going to happen here.

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/7/2016 6:53:47 PM   
Encircled


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In good terrain, with excellent supply and very good forts, he's going to need a lot more than he can afford to kick you out.

Let him come, it just accelerates his defeat.

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/7/2016 11:06:56 PM   
Canoerebel


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3/7/43

Another day in the rocks by the wagon trail without a sign of settlers or troopers. Pronghorn antelope had come near - so close that he pulled his pistol from his belt. He'd never heard of anyone using a pistol to bring down an antelope, but he was thought it might be possible if one came close enough. The big question was whether he could afford to chance the sound of a pistol shot traveling across the prairie to the ears of those who wanted to kill him.

Battle of Sumatra: The clouds are still gathering, but the storm hasn't broken loose yet. No sign of immediate invasion, though SigInt again reports 2nd Tank Div. aboard marus bound for Langsa.

Enemy bombers concentrate fully on Langsa, as they have for the past three or four days. I wonder if John will bring the Kongos this way to coincide with the invasion (I would). He has the balancing act of needing to keep Sabang suppressed, so perhaps he won't feel like he has the luxury of dealing with Langsa in that way. I hope that's the case.

Enemy minesweepers did a big work at Sabang today, clearing nearly 150 mines. The field is down in the lower 700s now. At this rate, the port will be clear in a week. Nothing I can do about that now, and the field has served very well already.

One division of KB is NE of Sabang, towards Port Blair. The other isn't sighted today but should be nearby.

SWPac: Peanut One, Peanut Two and Peanut Three look good. Peanut One, in fact, has already achieved Check One Status and is closing on Check Two.

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/8/2016 12:02:05 AM   
Lowpe


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Encircled
Let him come, it just accelerates his defeat.


I doubt that logic. Not doing anything here will accelerate his defeat.

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/8/2016 1:19:13 AM   
Canoerebel


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3/8/43

Battle of Sumatra: No sign of enemy amphibious ships approaching Langsa. And suddenly SigInt is quiet. John may be running a ruse with the intention of targeting Sabang.

At Sabang, enemy minesweepers work overtime. Mine numbers down to 400+. The field will be clear in just three days at this rate. The mines did claim a MSW.

No sign of Kongos. Bombers target only Langsa. The IJA stack of three divisions a hex south of Langsa bombard, doing self-inflicted damage. John's trying to get a feel for what's there.

SWPac: SigInt and base levels continue to show that the arc from Java to New Britain has lots of holes and weaknesses. The Allies have been prepping and moving ships and troops for many weeks now. The biggest bottleneck is PP. I need at about 60 days to accumulate enough to buy out two or three restricted divisions in Oz. Also, the unrestricted Aussie divisions in India (the ones roughed up in the Burma campaign) are probably 60 days from Oz, perhaps longer. Ideally, I wouldn't want to move until around July to maximize new carriers and bought-out troops. But it's equally important to move while John is still focusing on Sumatra. I don't know if the two needs/opportunities will overlap enough to allow the moves I'm planning. We'll see. Probably the soonest I could move would be about 75 days out. Late May. And I don't know if that's realistic really.

But it is March 8. The clock is ticking.

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/8/2016 2:47:57 AM   
Canoerebel


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3/9/43

Battle of Sumatra: While most red-blooded American males are watching the Super Bowl, John and I have been flipping turns.

I remain uncertain as to which port John is going to attack. No invasion activity this turn. SigInt does show a maru with part of 2nd Tank Div. inbound to Langsa. Bombers are still focusing on that base. But minesweepers are still focusing on Sabang and have reduced that field to just 100 mines now (another MSW took a hit). The field should be clear tomorrow. Stricken DD Cushing safely made it out of port and looks to be in the clear on the trip to Colombo. The ground troops in Sumatra look good. Supply looks good at least for the balance of the month. KB is between Sabang and Victoria Point - why? I dunno.

No Kongos today. John's changed up the cycle. Here to, I don't know why.

The ball is entirely in John's court since it's this early in March. But the days are ticking by. The day when the Allies can renew activity in Sumatra is drawing closer though still at least three weeks off (sooner, though, if the KB pulls out to refuel).

Very tense. I really don't know whether John will try for Langsa or Sabang. I hope it's the former.

< Message edited by Canoerebel -- 2/8/2016 3:50:20 AM >

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/8/2016 6:53:54 AM   
JeffroK


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Got any subs at Colombo which can drop a few mines at Sabang?

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/8/2016 7:10:34 AM   
Encircled


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quote:

I doubt that logic. Not doing anything here will accelerate his defeat.


John has to try to kick him out, but its not going to be done overnight, and the time taken I'm sure will be used very productively by CR!

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/8/2016 1:42:18 PM   
Canoerebel


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quote:

ORIGINAL: JeffK

Got any subs at Colombo which can drop a few mines at Sabang?


Sure, but it won't do any good. John's MSWs are sweeping 100+ mines every turn.

I can drop mines when I again have ships at Sabang. I can insert ships when I can again have air cover. I can have air cover when the KB retires.

...and the irony is that I want the KB to remain in place for a long time to come.

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/8/2016 1:56:41 PM   
Canoerebel


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3/10/43

Battle of Sumatra: Dark days in some ways; not so dark in others. Today is D + 120. The three Kongos return and hammer the airfield, essentially shutting it down. Japanese minesweepers eliminate the field at Sabang. The KB is posted between Sabang and Victoria Point. No sign of imminent invasion, though SigIn again reveals lots of marus with 2nd Tank Div. heading for Langsa (plus 14th Div. prepping for Sabang).

I don't know if the move will come sooner or later. The later the better. But I'm thinking in terms of weeks. John may be acting in days.

Supply and infantry condition remain good. I think the Allies can fight for weeks. But I need them to fight for months.

SWPac: Frantic activity behind the scenes (as has been the case since we resumed the game) as I try to get troops and ships in place to move while Sumatra still has John's undivided attention. It won't do any good to open a second front if the first front is vanquished in the meantime. It would be excellent to open a second front today since the full KB and most of John's army is tied down in Sumatra (and Burma). But I can't open a second front until I have multiple divisions bought out. That takes PP. And PP take time to accumulate. So I bid my time while looking anxiously at Sumatra and prepositioning ships, troops, and supply as best I can.

Long ago the decision was made to open the second front in either Java or in the New Britain/Admiralties/North coast New Guinea areas. SigInt and base building activity (non-activity) show lots of gaps and weaknesses. My preference is Java: (1) mutually supporting with Sumatra for transferring air back and forth; (2) right in the enemy's vitals; (3) close to major bases in SW Oz that have been built large now with vast amounts of supply; (4) able to shift ships back and forth from India area quickly; (5) if necessary, can shift to New Britain relatively quickly.

To invade Java, I need six divisions at a minimum; preferably eight (or more). Currently in Oz I have 2nd Marine Div., a US Army Div. and three restricted Oz divisions (I have enough PP to buy out one). Three unrestricted Oz divsiions are enroute from recent activity in Burma, but it will be at least 60 days before they can arrive; maybe more depending on whether I chance sending them by transport along the south edge of the map (which John hasn't patroled) or if I take a safer course and send them to Oz via Capetown). So, by the time they arrive, I should have accumulated enough PP to buy out two more restricted USA divisions.

Whether I have the luxury of that much time is highly debatable.

If Sumatra collapses to soon, the fallback will be to wait until late summer or autumn proceed with the next big move, allowing time to accumulate a massive ground force, the ships to carry them, and alot more carriers. But here's hoping Sumatra doesn't collapse.

< Message edited by Canoerebel -- 2/8/2016 3:00:09 PM >

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/8/2016 2:32:24 PM   
Bullwinkle58


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The best way to keep the KB local is to feed him a steady diet of low-mix merchants so he can yell "Banzai!" and reap 7 VP per. In a pinch 10VP.

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/8/2016 2:38:20 PM   
Canoerebel


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That's a most Nemo-like approach!

It's a good idea and worthy of consideration if things get too "dry" for too long to keep John's attention. Right now, I'm using xAK and other ships to probe the periphery of John's NavSearch from Ceylon all the way to Cocos Island and Christmas Island (IO). The point being to keep him on his toes and wary and wondering what I'm going to do.

But this involves yet another of the balancing acts involved in this monster game. I have lost alot (ALOT) of merchants and combat ships in this campaign. I look at what I have left and it makes me grimmace. (Of course, John has lost alot of combat ships too - but I'll be fighting an offensive war eventually and have nearly stripped the cupboard bare.)

I think KB's current role is 90% suppression of Allies submarines so that the Kongos can bombard at lower risk...and possibly to also provide cover for amphibious ships if John ever decides to pull the trigger (he will - I'm guessing it'll be within the week).

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/8/2016 2:52:10 PM   
Lowpe


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Too bad you can't race some carriers in and hit him while he is attacking your subs. You might butcher his Nells in the process.

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/8/2016 3:29:05 PM   
Canoerebel


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The American carrier fighters were sacrificed on the alter of defending Sabang. Those squadrons will be rebuilt when the Hellcats come online (beginning in three weeks!).

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/8/2016 3:52:38 PM   
Lowpe


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

The American carrier fighters were sacrificed on the alter of defending Sabang. Those squadrons will be rebuilt when the Hellcats come online (beginning in three weeks!).


I recall, which is why it is too bad you can't pull off a stunt like that.

It seems to me that his carriers are in a precarious position.

You are playing excellently, and I look forward to whatever happens next.

Very exciting.

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/8/2016 5:02:13 PM   
poodlebrain

 

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Waiting to amass an overwhelming force for your second front is probably unnecessary. Landing with what you have now will be sufficient to overtax the resources he has available to respond decisively without stripping forces from the battle for Sumatra. You can reinforce for a breakout as the political points allow. All you must wait for is the F6Fs on your CVs.

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/8/2016 8:10:20 PM   
Canoerebel


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That might be true against an inexperienced player, but not one with time under his belt. Right now, I can put together 2+ divisions. If I landed with that force on, say, Java, John wouldn't like it and it would pose a problem, but it would be too small to represent a long-term, lasting threat, and he'd know it. So he'd focus on extinquishing Sumatra and then he'd turn his attention fully to the newer threat.

Or, if I used those divisions to attack the Marshalls, John would just laugh. He'd know that he had plenty of time to attend to a threat in a non-critical area at his leisure.

The way to get John is to come at him with a big force right in the breadbasket. Java meets that criteria, but I'm going to need six or eight divisions to pose a credible (read: real) threat.

In that way the game has done a fine job. It should be VERY hard for the Allies to mount another huge invasion in this theater just four months after invading Sumatra. Think of Europe - the Allies engaged in five major amphibious operations in three years - North Africa, Sicily, Anzio, Normandy, Riviera. I recall Eisenhower commenting on how long it would take to cobble together another invasion if D-Day failed.

In the Pacific, the Allies invaded Guadalcanal. Next was Tarawa, the following year, and involving just a division or two, right?

From that perspective, mounting an invasion using 7+ infantry divisions in November of '42 represents a huge commitment and the Allies should by all rights be hampered in mounting another for quite some time.

So this feels right. And from my perspective, I'd rather do the next invasion right as opposed to trying to startle John with an undercapitalized effort in the near term.

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/8/2016 10:43:28 PM   
Canoerebel


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3/11/43

Battle of Sumatra: Still the quiet before the storm. No Kongos at Sabang. Bombers concentrating on Langsa. KB has moved west, back into the IO. Supplies at Sabang down to 231k with Langsa holding another 10k. In two weeks this might start being worrisome. Hopefully, though, John will commit first and get stymied. (So, I'm confused: do I want him to invade or not? I argue both ways with myself.)

SigInt continues to show 16th Div. and 2nd Tank Div. aboard marus bound for Langsa. This may be true, but I can't imagine now that he'd prefer Langsa, with 2x terrain, over Sabang with 1x and no minefield. So I'm moving a few units around to make sure Sabang isn't overwhelmed by sudden onslaught.

My Ships Lost screen shows that John has lost 81 DDs. I need to open the Mod from Japanese side and check to see if this is a significant number or not. The tally also shows 10 CAs gone, though I think it's just 9. It shows 4 BBs sunk including Musashi hit by a torp after we resumed the game. I have no memory of Musashi being hit. Unless it was during a sync bug episode, I entirely discount this listing (though it has been persistent for many weeks now).


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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/9/2016 3:28:04 PM   
Lecivius


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Also, keep an eye on his carrier build-out. This is his mod, and he loves the dang things. KB is here, but by now his next wave of carriers are coming off the slips, and your pilot pools took a beating. He also made sure to have escorts for them.

It's the one thing I disagree about with this game, the fact that the allies are predicated on The Miracle At Midway, and all that followed. I was also a bit disappointed that the HR's were not loosened a bit, considering the changes made in this mod since you guys started it. It really put you behind the curve. But the game is sure fun

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/9/2016 3:54:30 PM   
Canoerebel


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I'll have to take a look at the carrier build out. I'm not sure what he has coming online in this mod.

By the way, the Allied pilots are in fantastic shape. I lost alot of fighters in A-2-A over Sabang, but only a handful of pilots (while John probably lost alot since he was fighting over my base). The bombardments destroyed alot of fighters too, but didn't tough the pilot corps.

So, once I'm able to replace the air frames, the Allied air force will be as good as new.

< Message edited by Canoerebel -- 2/9/2016 4:56:20 PM >

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/9/2016 4:06:16 PM   
Canoerebel


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3/12/43

Battle of Sumatra: Sabang is open to enemy bombardments now, so John sends in six CAs that do modest additional damage to an already shut-down airfield. Supply and infantry aren't touched, as usual. I think this will be John's target, so I've arranged things to bump up the defense from 450 AV to about 900 AV, when the time comes, in just a turn or two. I think Langsa and the hex to the south will still be good unless John hits either of them in huge numbers (like five to six divisions).

Bombers are still concentrating only on Langsa. SigInt continues reporting an infantry division and a tank division inbound to this hex. But I think it's a ruse with them actually heading to Sabang. It doesn't matter much since the defenses are in place and contingencies thought out and operational either way.

KB combined an still just NW of Sabang.

I look at the calendar and smile that it's already this late in March...and then I grimmace at how long it's going to take to get my ducks ina row for future offensive action.

It looks like John gets roughly 250 DDs in this Mod. I'm guesstimating that he might've started and gotten replacements totaling about 150. If he's lost 80+, that's signficiant but not critical. I think the CAs are the more critical number. I think he's lost 9 and gets something like 20. So if he bombarded Sabang with six, that's nearly the entire Japanese cruiser force accounted for. Doesn't leave much for the Pacific at the moment, does it?

The flip side is the Allied navy has been beaten up to. Numbers are slender enough that I can't afford to blunder into a Nettie nest or an IJN CVE force out in the mdidle of nowhere.

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/9/2016 4:27:51 PM   
ny59giants


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When this version of RA came out, it was the only mod John had been working on and completed. Since then Treaty, Between the Storm, and BTS Lite have come out. Also, RA was probably too much in Japan's favor and he dialed it back some while I advocated and got small ways to increase the Allied forces. Remember, these series of mods have been almost exclusively on the IJN side of things. The two BTS mods are a combination of RA with Treaty so there are many new toys for both sides. I still think John's losses in warships will hurt him more than what you have lost. Mr Fletcher should be coming out in greater and greater numbers in the months ahead.

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/9/2016 4:33:29 PM   
Canoerebel


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quote:

ORIGINAL: ny59giants

When this version of RA came out, it was the only mod John had been working on and completed. Since then Treaty, Between the Storm, and BTS Lite have come out. Also, RA was probably too much in Japan's favor and he dialed it back some while I advocated and got small ways to increase the Allied forces. Remember, these series of mods have been almost exclusively on the IJN side of things. The two BTS mods are a combination of RA with Treaty so there are many new toys for both sides. I still think John's losses in warships will hurt him more than what you have lost. Mr Fletcher should be coming out in greater and greater numbers in the months ahead.


I'm better familiar with the evolution of the mods now, Michael. This is in large thanks to your explanations.

I wish some of the changes had been retroactive - especially the bumps in the Allied fighter pools and the ability to buy additional fighters using PP. But I'm stuck with the early version and all its warts.

The drawback is that it has hobbled Allied efforts. The payoff is that there's more glory in beating John if I can manage that feat.

Fletchers are online in numbers. But I need more ships: here, there, everywhere!

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/9/2016 4:46:35 PM   
Lowpe


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Not one man more!


If we are mark'd to die, we are enow
To do our country loss; and if to live,
The fewer men, the greater share of honour.
God's will! I pray thee, wish not one man more.
By Jove, I am not covetous for gold,
Nor care I who doth feed upon my cost;
It yearns me not if men my garments wear;
Such outward things dwell not in my desires.
But if it be a sin to covet honour,
I am the most offending soul alive.
No, faith, my coz, wish not a man from England.
God's peace! I would not lose so great an honour

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/9/2016 5:21:54 PM   
Canoerebel


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Henry V!

You posted the soliloquy (right word?) at a good time. In my daytime job, at the moment I'm writing a story about the Battle of Kettle Creek, Georgia, February 14, 1779. It was 800 Loyalists against 450 Patriots. All of them were Americans. The number of Loyalists and their motivation and purposes have largely been lost to history (I was never taugth anything about it in high schoool or college - it's been through self study that I've delved into this subject).


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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/9/2016 5:26:15 PM   
Canoerebel


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3/13/43

Battle of Sumatra: The Kongos return to Sabang. Each day its a bombardment. The field is totally wrecked now. Cl Birmingham succumbs to its many wounds (actually a blessing as she was due to withdraw in a couple of weeks). The support troops are disrupted. But supply and combat troops remain in fine shape. The bombers focus on Langsa. No sign of imminent amphibious or overland campaign. SigInt turns completely quiet about Langsa on this day. But my spidey senses tell me something's going to shake loose (and probably at Sabang) soon.

No sign of the KB today. NavSearch is not performing well. First time I haven't known KB's position in weeks.

SWPac: Peanut 1, Peanut 2 and Peanut 3 will all reach 100 in short order. Peanut 3 is nearing Check 2. Peanut 1 and 2 are 10 days shy of Check 1. Airfield building is accelerating. Portland Roads field just went to level 2.

< Message edited by Canoerebel -- 2/9/2016 6:28:01 PM >

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RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent - 2/9/2016 6:27:43 PM   
Lowpe


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I would be interested in reading what you write about Kettle Creek. What is it going to cost me?

Some great Loyalist vs Patriot fights during the revolution...I just toured Cowpens recently which had plenty of loyalists there, too.

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