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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/6/2018 3:41:48 PM   
BillBrown


Posts: 2335
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Status: offline 		I am waiting on the edge of my seat, wondering what will happen.

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Post #: 1951
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/6/2018 3:47:09 PM   
Lovejoy


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Status: offline 		Looking forward to seeing this play out!

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Post #: 1952
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/6/2018 7:28:31 PM   
BBfanboy


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

Wakkanai has a CD unit that I assume is still there (it may be static). Erik might've brought more CD units in. His garrison is 52k and forts will be at least six. The terrain is 2x.

In contrast, Uruppu might've been the tougher nut to crack (I'm hoping so) with 65k men, six forts, 3x terrain, and at least one CD unit.

I think the Uruppu ops has taken about six weeks. I'm hoping that I can slow or stymie Erik's efforts to bring in reinforcements and supply to Wakkanai. There's a chance, perhaps only a slight one, that the Allies can reduce and take the base before meaningful reinforcments arrive. If not it will be a long, tough campaign. Since there are no stacking limits, he could ram in 200k troops or more. If things turn into a real quagmire, I would consider withdrawing the invasion force to pivot elsewhere. I hope that doesn't happen, but the bottom line is that the main objective is to compel Erik to attack and fight, and for the Allies to prevail by defending capably.


Wakkanai has a static Coastal Fort, but in stock it has only something like 4 x 152mm guns. A few embedded CAs or BBs should keep it down.

When you announced the attack on Wakkanai your map boxes said in early November there were 42K troops at Wakkanai and now you say 52K. Could the difference be FOW or do you think he reinforced? Perhaps extra Air Support to handle his recent surges in the air campaign?

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Post #: 1953
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/6/2018 7:44:22 PM   
Canoerebel


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Status: offline 		I'm suspecting he added a mixed brigade or possibly troops withdrawn from Paramushiro by air transport.

Erik had well over half a million men in the Kuriles. The garrison at Ketoi was destroyed. The garrison at Uruppu is about to be destroyed. Over the past few weeks, I've suspected (but not confirmed, due to erratic recon and reports) that he's been drawing down some of the garrisons by air transport, mostly likely Para and Onnekotan. I was getting the feeling that the imminent fall of Uruppu and the vulnerability of his strong garrisons worried him, so that he was beginning to attend to Hokkaido's defenses.

I triggered the invasion as soon as Uruppu's fate seem sealed. My forces are prepped from the low 50s to the high 70s, a bit less than I wanted. The amphibious force HQ is prepped at about 75%. SWPAC HQ is prepped about 85% and is posted at Toyohara.

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Post #: 1954
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/6/2018 7:47:37 PM   
Lokasenna


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Status: offline 		Your prep levels worry me but only slightly. With enough bombardment/embedded big guns (8"+) you should be fine. I am taking the under on 10K troops disabled on the beach (assuming you're landing about 40K).

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Post #: 1955
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/6/2018 7:49:12 PM   
Canoerebel


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Status: offline 		I'm landing 5 infantry division, armor, artillery, combat engineers - what's that, something on the order of 100k? 125k?

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Post #: 1956
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 12:28:58 AM   
Canoerebel


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L-Day: The situation at the beginning of the turn on which the Allies will invade the Home Islands.






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Post #: 1957
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 12:34:22 AM   
Canoerebel


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L-Day: The invasion opens with a clash between the Allied amphibious HQ TF and a flock of MTBs. Gulp. Fortunately, the Allies win a one-sided action.

Enemy MTBs were a big worry. During the Uruppu invasion, an MTB TF got into the midst of my main amphibious TF, resulting in a series of very damaging collisions to APAs and AKAs.

This invasion TF includes a main TF of 100 ships, including scores of APA and AKA plus BB Richelieu. I loaded it up with combat ships and decided, after much thought, not to break the TF up to spread the risk.




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Post #: 1958
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 12:37:48 AM   
Canoerebel


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L-Day: The first of two big bombardment TFs arrives at Wakkanai to find a midget sub.

THere will be a series of skirmishes like this, with the SSXs scoring one hit on an AM and the Allies probably sinking three or four midgets.
t





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Post #: 1959
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 12:44:43 AM   
Canoerebel


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L-Day: Enemy defenses begin scoring hits.




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Post #: 1960
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 12:47:31 AM   
Canoerebel


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L-Day: An SSX sinks a shoregun-crippled AM, the first Allied ship to go under.






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Post #: 1961
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 12:50:20 AM   
Canoerebel


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L-Day: The most powerful Allied bombardment TF arrives on location and deals with the kind of threat that could ruin somebody's day.




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Post #: 1962
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 1:00:31 AM   
Canoerebel


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L-Day: Allied bombardments do modest damage but give the first information about what enemy ground units are stationed at Wakkanai.

Shore gun fire doesn't seem overwhelming.




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Post #: 1963
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 1:05:56 AM   
Canoerebel


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L-Day: Heavy disablements as the main amphibious TF (100 ships!) disgorges five divisions on the beach. That's pretty stout. This is a morning phase, so I hope most of the ships are empty now. IE, I hope Allied infantry doesn't take more losses in the p.m. phase.






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Post #: 1964
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 1:09:16 AM   
Canoerebel


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L-Day: Hurrah! As ordered, and without enemy opposition, Allied forces are landing in the vacant hex south of Wakkanai. Enemy LOC severed, at least for a bit.




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Post #: 1965
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 1:20:31 AM   
Canoerebel


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L-Day: Allied sweepers find no opposition over Wakkanai. Then comes the first Allied air strike - naval strike aircraft based at Shikuka. They don't do much damage, but neither do they take heavy AA fire. That will be beneficial to the coming bombing campaign.

Just prior to this raid, enemy Ki-83 in modest numbers swept Toyohara, finding a sizeable Allied CAP. The enemy prevailed at about a 2:1 ratio, but numbers downed were small.




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Post #: 1966
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 1:26:15 AM   
Canoerebel


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L-Day: The first raid by 4EB does good work against the enemy level-6 airfield.

A handful of other 1EB and 2EB preceded this one, scoring minimally and encountering meager flak.





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Post #: 1967
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 1:33:35 AM   
Canoerebel


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L-Day: Following additional small raids, another big one comes in. To this point, I've counted 16 supply hits by the air force (the Navy took out a couple).

I have no idea how much supply Wakkanai holds. Erik might've ratcheted up the supply draw, but more likely it has modest supply of 60k to 80k. If that's true, supply should be an issue under repeated bombing and bombarding.

These series of raids indicate there is the division, two brigades, one regiment, and Soya Fortress at Wakkanai. That's a decent garrison but better than I might have expected for such a key hex.





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Post #: 1968
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 1:58:49 AM   
Canoerebel


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L-Day: Japanese auto-bombardment reveals a pretty encouraging picture. The enemy garrison is strong but definitely vulnerable. The Allied divisions are banged up too.

Overall, Erik should perceive that Wakkanai is under imminent threat. I feel sure he will conclude he must throw everything into the fray, which was the overriding objective of this mission.

His air force is so strong that it's a scary prospect to take it on at close range. His navy is stout (especially in BBs) and can sting hard, but may be a one-shot wonder. It's take so many beatings that anything else will be magnified several times by scarcity.

L-Day was superb.





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Post #: 1969
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 1:59:44 AM   
Canoerebel


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Status: offline 		No enemy arty.

No enemy armor.

No enemy AA.

Wow.

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Post #: 1970
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 2:01:04 AM   
Canoerebel


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Status: offline 		During the day, Allied bombers scored 3 hits on Wakkanai Resources, probably eliminating what few were left.

That's a feature of the grand Allied strategy - to take enemy bases only after all possible strategic bombing points have been harvested.

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Post #: 1971
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 2:03:28 AM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
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Uruppu: To cap off the day, this.

So an intricate plan involving lots of timing - the ingressing herd, Uruppu's downfall, L-Day at Wakkanai - came together seamlessly.

This has been a day to celebrate, knowing full well that coming days won't be nearly so rosy.




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Post #: 1972
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 2:14:43 AM   
Canoerebel


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L-Day: This situation in the blocking hex is far better than expected.




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Post #: 1973
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 2:19:31 AM   
Canoerebel


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L-Day: Allied army is more battered than I had hoped. Fatigue is about 40, disruption in single digits. While the units rest and recover (and close on 100% prep), Allied air force and navy will batter the base.

Allied combat engineering unit looks puny, drat it.




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Post #: 1974
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 2:26:35 AM   
Lovejoy


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Status: offline 		Well done taking both Uruppu and getting your forces ashore on Wakkanai!

Now that you've taken Uruppu, you'll hopefully be able to send the Filipino regiment back to Hawaii or some other nice and warm place for garrison duty. They must be about ready to mutiny on account of the weather!

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Post #: 1975
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 2:29:15 AM   
Canoerebel


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Status: offline 		Hiccups: I left the Amphibious Force HQ TF on Retire, so it's possible it wasn't even in the hex when all the troops unloaded. Augh!

Bonus: A big LST TF with lots of arty is at Wakkanai but didn't start unloading today. So the Allied support units should increase significantly tomorrow.

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Post #: 1976
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 2:31:29 AM   
Canoerebel


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Lovejoy

Well done taking both Uruppu and getting your forces ashore on Wakkanai!

Now that you've taken Uruppu, you'll hopefully be able to send the Filipino regiment back to Hawaii or some other nice and warm place for garrison duty. They must be about ready to mutiny on account of the weather!


They just wanna kill Japs. :)

The Uruppu troops will change prep very soon - perhaps even next turn, balancing the need to get a headstart on Wakkanai reinforcements (mostly) plus one other near-term target.

At Shikuka is the reinforcing division that just arrived via the ingressing herd. It was highly prepping for Uruppu and will change to Wakkanai today.

(in reply to Lovejoy)
Post #: 1977
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 2:51:11 AM   
Canoerebel


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Status: offline 		11th Airborne Division is at Toyohara. I plan on using it tomorrow to feel out enemy fort level at Wakkanai, which will help me plan when to first attack and how to ultimately reduce the base. I think a major Allied invasion would have a good feel for the extent of enemy fortifications at this point - a feature not well-modeled in the game - so that a para assault for this purpose is fine. Do any of you feel differently?

Also, tomorrow, two more parachute regiments will land (via seaborne invasion) at the paired hexes two hexes south of Wakkanai (if their ships make it that far). This could slow down any enemy advance just a bit, forcing units to move only to those hexes first and having to pause one turn to attack. Both hexes remain empty per failure of an SBD squadron to accept bombing assignments for either (a form of intel native to the game).

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Post #: 1978
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 3:35:53 AM   
RangerJoe


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Status: offline 		Congratulations on both Uruppu and your invasion.

Of course the Cavalry comes ashore fairly intact. The Cavalry is used to being someplace first, ready to fight.

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Seek peace but keep your gun handy.

I'm not a complete idiot, some parts are missing!

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Post #: 1979
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2018 3:40:30 AM   
Canoerebel


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Status: offline 		Look closely at 112th Cavalry Regiment - it appears to have eight forts!

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Post #: 1980
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