rustysi
Posts: 7472
Joined: 2/21/2012 From: LI, NY Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: PaxMondo Well, I crunch the numbers on plane production like this. Scen 1 End game 9/45 onwards: Allies get ~1000/month top line fighters from production (P51,P47,F4U,Spit,Yak9). They get another 500/month in 2nd line fighters (older p51/p47/p38 types). Double that to account for all the new groups that come in fully stocked. At best, I have to plan for 1.5:1 loss rate. So, 3000 fighters/month losses. Minimum. Assuming I have not let the allies build pools, or that I have built pools to match. IJ top end fighters are a mix of: Ki84/94, Shinden, A7M, Ki83, Ki201. Assuming 85/15 split between the 1E/2E that means 3450 (let's round it to 3500) 1E equivalents or ~130,000 HI/month. Also means that I had to expend 6M supply to have built the factories. These are the numbers that haunt all of my early and mid-game plans. Given that the amount of supply and HI that IJ will have between 12/7/41 and 9/1/45 is finite and calculable, if your strategy is to outlast historical IJ efforts and push the game to 46, then the player has to temper their expenditures in the early/mid game (which historically IJ did). Arriving at 6/44 (my target date for keeping DEI whole at a minimum, I need to have 6M supply in the bank just for AC factory builds (less whatever I have already spent on final factories which will be some) and at least 2M HI in the bank with full ARM/VEH pools (minus whatever final engine pools) to be able to build out my AC plan. That's it in a nutshell. This is why I have long believed and espoused the Major Solli methods of economic expansion: slowly, carefully, and only the minimum needed. It is so hard not to build 1000/month Ki44 in the mid game and just dominate easily. But if you do, then you are going to have to fight endgame Stangs with Tojos … I prefer Shindens for that, but that's just me. I mean the whole thing... The whole thing. Mind boggling, how in the H$ll do I do that.
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