xhoel
Posts: 3219
Joined: 6/24/2017 From: Germany Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: chaos45 I would have to see where you pulled the stats on 1941/42 german tank losses...I had only recently been studying the 1944 losses and so used those as an example...most my library is packed up in boxes like 3,000 miles from where im currently located but I found a long time ago the actual German production numbers and losses reported to OKW ever month of war online somewhere and printed them off and stuff them in my library as those are hard to find..but again not on hand and it was years ago I found the information online. By all means go ahead and provide another source. The German Institute for Military History at Potsdam places German losses at 2.839 (tanks+SPG) and most sources seem to agree that these are the losses taken in the Eastern Front for 1941. I am using the Operation Barbarossa: the Complete Organisational and Statistical Analysis by Nigel Askey. The numbers are taken from page 185. quote:
Also the game counts armored cars an such in AFV losses so make sure your source is also counting all the light armored vehicles in the loss reports. The game separates AC/SP losses from the totals but I did include them in the first answer I gave. However, since I cannot find a source that counts the ACs in the totals, I will just revise the numbers from the game to only show tank losses. Here are the revised numbers [Only AFVs (Stugs included), not SP/AC]: Xhoel vs Bitburgerdraft, T29 (1st of January 1942), AFV losses: 3.129 (Axis), 15.577 (Soviet). BrianG vs HLYA, T33 (T33, 29th of January 1942), AFV losses: 4.478 (Axis), 16.724 (Soviet). STEF78 vs Stelteck, (T32, 22nd of January 1942), AFV losses: 3.406 (Axis), 15.410 (Soviet). 2by3+ team game, (T29, 1st of January 1942), AFV losses: 2.580 (Axis), 15.124 (Soviet). Historical AFV losses for 1941: 2.839 (German), 20.500 (Soviet). So you can see that historically the Germans achieved a Kill loss ratio of 7.2 against the Soviets. This is stated in the book by Askey. Now let's check the K/L ratios in game shall we? Xhoel vs Bitburgerdraft, K/L ratio: 4,97 BrianG vs HLYA, K/L ratio: 3,73 STEF78 vs Stelteck, K/L ratio: 4,52 2by3+ team game, K/L ratio: 5,86 So it appears that not only isn't the game inflating Soviet tank losses (since they are lower than historical by a huge margin of around 5.000 tanks) but you can clearly see that the Axis/Germans take losses that are above historical losses in all the examples that were shown above. quote:
An honestly the soviet losses in you example are all easily within a couple percentage of margin of error...as they still all basically lost 20k tanks which is damn close to historical...so shows the Soviet player really has no way influence lower tank losses in the game. First of all that is not a margin of error, it is a difference between losses in game and historical losses. And secondly I see that you reverted to your old tactics again, of changing the point and ignoring what I said. Why do you ignore the fact that in all cases Axis losses are higher and the Soviet losses are lower? Please provide evidence or facts if you want to convince anyone with what you are saying. quote:
The issue is the game simulates Soviets taking massive Tank losses so its not an issue of soviet inflation. The issue is the game buys into the invincible German armor myth to much. This is what you said and what made me start this debate/argument with you. I have proven you wrong using evidence and facts. It appears that contrary to what you keep repeating, the Soviets not only aren't taking massive Tank losses but are taking way fewer losses than they did historically. See the revised numbers above. So it isn't as much that the game "buys into the German armor myth too much", it's that you for whatever reason want to show that the Soviets are very weak and want them to be better. At the same time you fail to make coherent arguments that are based on factual evidence and keep jumping from one point to another, drawing conclusions that you pulled out of thin air. And then you write a whole paragraph about you not being a Soviet fanboy. Sure. quote:
My initial point was at no point in 1 month will you destroy anywhere near the almost 4k reported German tank losses in July 1944 and 3k in AUG 1944....as well the Germans lost something like 25k and 20k trucks in both of those months. You won't destroy that number because no player would let the German Army in game be at the terrible state that it was in historically. Almost always the in game Armies will have better morale, exp, TOEs, C&C, better commanders, more trucks, better supply, better defensive positioning than the armies had historically because the players are taking care of all these variables with depth and are aware of what will happen. Try playing the 1944-45 campaign and see if you can reach those numbers. And can you provide a source for those numbers? Unless you address my points directly and provide proper sources and evidence for what you claim and have been claiming all this time I won't waste my time and reply to you. I am making this clear so you are aware of it. The readers, are free to make their own conclusions about which one of us is right. Best regards, Xhoel
< Message edited by xhoel -- 5/16/2019 2:46:02 PM >
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