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RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 6:03:29 PM   
MakeeLearn


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Meanwhile in Florida...


"This is a reminder that during COVID 19, please remember to keep at least 1 large alligator between you and everyone else at all times,"

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/04/04/us/social-distancing-florida-alligator-trnd/index.html?utm_source=wnd&utm_medium=wnd&utm_campaign=syndicated






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RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 6:09:51 PM   
MakeeLearn


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Mom: "I don't care, put your mask back on!!!"




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< Message edited by MakeeLearn -- 4/7/2020 6:10:45 PM >


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RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 6:13:30 PM   
Zorch

 

Posts: 7087
Joined: 3/7/2010
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quote:

ORIGINAL: MakeeLearn

Meanwhile in Florida...


"This is a reminder that during COVID 19, please remember to keep at least 1 large alligator between you and everyone else at all times,"

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/04/04/us/social-distancing-florida-alligator-trnd/index.html?utm_source=wnd&utm_medium=wnd&utm_campaign=syndicated






If we don't have an alli, will 2 large dogs suffice? Or one large dog and 3 cats? I know - a bike!

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Post #: 3783
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 6:14:55 PM   
witpqs


Posts: 26087
Joined: 10/4/2004
From: Argleton
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: obvert

quote:

ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake

Can we change the name of the thread to China Virus?


"Hall monitor"


Words matter. This isn't funny.

I see the intended humour, but you may not realise that for people of any asian decent that has dire consequences. You're a reasonable person (mostly) and can understand that the government of China is the issue, not the people. Using this phrase though, for people who already have some bias or overt racism, enforces those beliefs and is causing them to act on them.

Here in Britain and from reports around the world, East Asians, whether Chinese or not, have been verbally abused, ostracised and physically attacked after the Corona Virus began moving out from China.

This is from yesterday in NYC
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/asian-america/woman-needs-stitches-after-anti-asian-hate-crime-attack-city-n1177146

Here is another. The anxiety of moving through an environment that is turning against you is also damaging.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/23/us/chinese-coronavirus-racist-attacks.html

As bigots blame them for the coronavirus and President Trump labels it the “Chinese virus,” many Chinese-Americans say they are terrified of what could come next.

Yuanyuan Zhu was walking to her gym in San Francisco on March 9, thinking the workout could be her last for a while, when she noticed that a man was shouting at her. He was yelling an expletive about China. Then a bus passed, she recalled, and he screamed after it, “Run them over.”

She tried to keep her distance, but when the light changed, she was stuck waiting with him at the crosswalk. She could feel him staring at her. And then, suddenly, she felt it: his saliva hitting her face and her favorite sweater.


In London a student from Singapore was beaten so badly by thugs in the middle of the biggest shopping area in London, Oxford St, in the middle of the afternoon, that he may require facial reconstruction.

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/03/03/uk/coronavirus-assault-student-london-scli-intl-gbr/index.html

None of this is funny.


Sadly, there is nothing new about this. I've heard stories about racists assaults on Chinese going way back. Coupling Trump striking back at the communist government's propaganda (that the US military gave COVID-19 to civilians in China) and for Trump seeking to hold the government of China accountable for what it has done (withholding and faking information, among other actions) is wrong on the part of those media outlets, but politically consistent.

Did any of those reports mention that the Chinese government's handling of the crisis has helped inflame the behavior of those horrible bigots? Probably not.


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Post #: 3784
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 6:17:49 PM   
witpqs


Posts: 26087
Joined: 10/4/2004
From: Argleton
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake


quote:

ORIGINAL: mind_messing


quote:

ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake

MacArthur went behind Truman's back to the Press and got his Hero of Inchon ass fired...with good reason.


Not quite the same circumstances in any way, shape or form, is it?


No, MacArthur needed to be removed. He was veering toward a messianic state. I think the Captain of Roosevelt felt compassion toward his crew and knew he would get sacked but did it anyway. It is noble in a way and understandable..but still wrong. You can't have officers disobeying orders because it is a difficult ask. He essentially declared to the world that an entire USN carrier battle group was out of action. Suppose the CCP decides THIS is the time to invade Taiwan based on that information (not likely of course)? Or the mullahs of Iran decide to stir up **** right now (more likely) and they miscalculate badly?



+ 10.

I saw a short video interview with the chairman of the joint chiefs, and he said (paraphrasing) there were many things in motion before the carrier got to port, it takes a lot to move 3,000 people. It's pretty clear things were being done in response to the situation.

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Post #: 3785
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 6:18:04 PM   
witpqs


Posts: 26087
Joined: 10/4/2004
From: Argleton
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake


quote:

ORIGINAL: mind_messing


quote:

ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake

Sometimes the "quants" are wrong. Half of them have Asperger's syndrome and can't understand human behavior of emotions. It is possible to be incandescently smart and utterly clueless at the same time.

It would be like putting up a shark net on a beach and then taking it down a week later because the attacks stopped.

Let's not forget the "quants" told Lehman Bros. that mortgage backed securities were safe.


So I'm going to call that out right now as inappropriate, and highlights your complete ignorance of developmental disorders.


I THINK that is a Glaswegian joke but I'm not sure.


No, your remark was unfair to sharks.

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Post #: 3786
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 6:27:28 PM   
obvert


Posts: 14050
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From: PDX (and now) London, UK
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

[In Reply to Obvert, above:] Thanks for pointing out the date on that info, Erik.

Professor Ionnidis missed on his mortality projection of 10k or 12k but may well be in the same ballpark unlike most others in play at that time. Around March 17, many/most US projections were still well above the 100k to 200k that were so heavily discussed last week (late March).

Around the same time that Ioniddis made his projection, the governor of California estimated that more than half the population of the state could be infected (https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-03-20/newsom-california-25-million-coronavirus-cases-two-months). That would have resulted in tremendous mortality just in California in the range of 200k or more (using a 1% mortality rate; back then the consensus was more like 2x or 3x that).

Ioniddis is likely to be much closer to the actual mark than Governor Newsome and most others making projections around that time.


He is also using an estimate of 3.3million infected. There are 385,093 right now in the US. (We now there are more but not how many more). I don't think he's close at all considering he also stated he thought there was an overreaction to this disease. He miscalculated.

We all wan to stay positive, but the US is along way from getting through this. As is the world.

_____________________________

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Post #: 3787
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 6:28:18 PM   
MakeeLearn


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Dairy farms dump milk as coronavirus crisis spoils demand
April 6, 2020

https://nypost.com/2020/04/06/dairy-farms-dump-milk-as-coronavirus-crisis-spoils-demand/


"Dairy farmers are dumping giant loads of milk down the drain as the coronavirus crisis spoils demand for products like butter and cheese.

Farmers say they’ve been left with nowhere to send their raw milk now that widespread closures of schools, restaurants and other businesses have shut dairy processors out of some of their largest markets."

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Post #: 3788
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 6:32:34 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
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From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
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No doubt he was off in many respects but the point holds true that he may (probably will) end up being closer to the mark than most of his contemporaneous projectors. Not only in mortality but in death rate - that's going from some up-to-date projections discussed at length in here today.

The proof will be in the pudding.


quote:

ORIGINAL: obvert


quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

[In Reply to Obvert, above:] Thanks for pointing out the date on that info, Erik.

Professor Ionnidis missed on his mortality projection of 10k or 12k but may well be in the same ballpark unlike most others in play at that time. Around March 17, many/most US projections were still well above the 100k to 200k that were so heavily discussed last week (late March).

Around the same time that Ioniddis made his projection, the governor of California estimated that more than half the population of the state could be infected (https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-03-20/newsom-california-25-million-coronavirus-cases-two-months). That would have resulted in tremendous mortality just in California in the range of 200k or more (using a 1% mortality rate; back then the consensus was more like 2x or 3x that).

Ioniddis is likely to be much closer to the actual mark than Governor Newsome and most others making projections around that time.


He is also using an estimate of 3.3million infected. There are 385,093 right now in the US. (We now there are more but not how many more). I don't think he's close at all considering he also stated he thought there was an overreaction to this disease. He miscalculated.

We all wan to stay positive, but the US is along way from getting through this. As is the world.



< Message edited by Canoerebel -- 4/7/2020 6:39:28 PM >

(in reply to obvert)
Post #: 3789
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 6:35:58 PM   
obvert


Posts: 14050
Joined: 1/17/2011
From: PDX (and now) London, UK
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: witpqs


quote:

ORIGINAL: obvert

quote:

ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake

Can we change the name of the thread to China Virus?


"Hall monitor"


Words matter. This isn't funny.

I see the intended humour, but you may not realise that for people of any asian decent that has dire consequences. You're a reasonable person (mostly) and can understand that the government of China is the issue, not the people. Using this phrase though, for people who already have some bias or overt racism, enforces those beliefs and is causing them to act on them.

Here in Britain and from reports around the world, East Asians, whether Chinese or not, have been verbally abused, ostracised and physically attacked after the Corona Virus began moving out from China.

This is from yesterday in NYC
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/asian-america/woman-needs-stitches-after-anti-asian-hate-crime-attack-city-n1177146

Here is another. The anxiety of moving through an environment that is turning against you is also damaging.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/23/us/chinese-coronavirus-racist-attacks.html

As bigots blame them for the coronavirus and President Trump labels it the “Chinese virus,” many Chinese-Americans say they are terrified of what could come next.

Yuanyuan Zhu was walking to her gym in San Francisco on March 9, thinking the workout could be her last for a while, when she noticed that a man was shouting at her. He was yelling an expletive about China. Then a bus passed, she recalled, and he screamed after it, “Run them over.”

She tried to keep her distance, but when the light changed, she was stuck waiting with him at the crosswalk. She could feel him staring at her. And then, suddenly, she felt it: his saliva hitting her face and her favorite sweater.


In London a student from Singapore was beaten so badly by thugs in the middle of the biggest shopping area in London, Oxford St, in the middle of the afternoon, that he may require facial reconstruction.

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/03/03/uk/coronavirus-assault-student-london-scli-intl-gbr/index.html

None of this is funny.


Sadly, there is nothing new about this. I've heard stories about racists assaults on Chinese going way back. Coupling Trump striking back at the communist government's propaganda (that the US military gave COVID-19 to civilians in China) and for Trump seeking to hold the government of China accountable for what it has done (withholding and faking information, among other actions) is wrong on the part of those media outlets, but politically consistent.

Did any of those reports mention that the Chinese government's handling of the crisis has helped inflame the behavior of those horrible bigots? Probably not.



I'm not going to get political here. I will say that some of us do understand the difference between the Government of China and it's history of abuses and people who look to be from an East Asian country. There are a lot of people who don't and who equate the two things. They hear these comments and they act on them against real people.

We don't need to support the use of terminology that could be interpreted as biased against a nation and its people, in spite of its government's culpability in this crisis.

< Message edited by obvert -- 4/7/2020 6:36:47 PM >


_____________________________

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Post #: 3790
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 6:51:07 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
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From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
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The oft-used Univ. of Washington Covid-19 information and projections for the USA and each state have proven consistently reliable since I began using late last week. Most of the actual results come in under projection (that's preferable), some considerably under, a few over, but none considerably over. Overall I have a level of confidence in the US projections.

The European set that I've just started looking at today seems to have much more variability and unpredictability. In France, for instance, today's mortality is far great than that projected and almost went outside the pink-shaded area of possibility.

Meaning, until there's much more of a track record for the European models, I won't rely on them or post them regularly here.




Attachment (1)

< Message edited by Canoerebel -- 4/7/2020 6:52:22 PM >

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Post #: 3791
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 6:51:31 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
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bah, duplicate post

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Post #: 3792
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 6:57:44 PM   
Canoerebel


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Beginning of movement to eliminate disparaging term "veterinarian." Y'all keep this in mind when Chickenboy is around.




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RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 7:10:06 PM   
MakeeLearn


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During a Pandemic, an Unanticipated Problem: Out-of-Work Health Workers
Updated April 6, 2020

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/03/us/politics/coronavirus-health-care-workers-layoffs.html


"The job cuts, which stretch from Massachusetts to Nevada, are a new and possibly urgent problem for a business-oriented health care system whose hospitals must earn revenue even in a national crisis. Hospitals large and small have canceled many elective services — often under state government orders — as they prepare for the virus, sending revenues plummeting."





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Post #: 3794
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 7:18:24 PM   
witpqs


Posts: 26087
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From: Argleton
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quote:

ORIGINAL: obvert

I'm not going to get political here. I will say that some of us do understand the difference between the Government of China and it's history of abuses and people who look to be from an East Asian country. There are a lot of people who don't and who equate the two things. They hear these comments and they act on them against real people.

We don't need to support the use of terminology that could be interpreted as biased against a nation and its people, in spite of its government's culpability in this crisis.

I agree. I would have chosen a different way to call them on their BS.

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Post #: 3795
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 7:19:08 PM   
witpqs


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From: Argleton
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

Beginning of movement to eliminate disparaging term "veterinarian." Y'all keep this in mind when Chickenboy is around.


How is that term disparaging? (Disregard if your remark was tongue in cheek.)

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Post #: 3796
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 7:22:21 PM   
Canoerebel


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It was tongue in cheek, of course. The failure of the headline writer to use the obvious term "veterinarian" created some confusion when I first saw a link to the headline. It made me wonder if the story was about doctors staying at home to care for pets. Why not simply say "veterinarians"?

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RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 7:28:48 PM   
MakeeLearn


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Spain is moving to establish permanent basic income in the wake of the coronavirus pandemic

Apr 6, 2020,

https://www.businessinsider.com/spain-universal-basic-income-coronavirus-yang-ubi-permanent-first-europe-2020-4


"Spain is taking steps to implement a basic income to help citizens weather the economic fallout from the novel coronavirus.

"We're going to do it as soon as possible. So it can be useful, not just for this extraordinary situation, and that it remains forever," the minister of economic affairs said.

No specific date was unveiled, given the plan appears to be in its early stages."

------------------

Reaction from the wise?




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Post #: 3798
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 7:34:27 PM   
witpqs


Posts: 26087
Joined: 10/4/2004
From: Argleton
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

It was tongue in cheek, of course. The failure of the headline writer to use the obvious term "veterinarian" created some confusion when I first saw a link to the headline. It made me wonder if the story was about doctors staying at home to care for pets. Why not simply say "veterinarians"?

Blasphemer!





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Post #: 3799
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 7:35:42 PM   
Zorch

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: witpqs


quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

It was tongue in cheek, of course. The failure of the headline writer to use the obvious term "veterinarian" created some confusion when I first saw a link to the headline. It made me wonder if the story was about doctors staying at home to care for pets. Why not simply say "veterinarians"?

Blasphemer!





You're only making it worse for yourself.




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RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 7:36:24 PM   
witpqs


Posts: 26087
Joined: 10/4/2004
From: Argleton
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: witpqs


quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

It was tongue in cheek, of course. The failure of the headline writer to use the obvious term "veterinarian" created some confusion when I first saw a link to the headline. It made me wonder if the story was about doctors staying at home to care for pets. Why not simply say "veterinarians"?

Blasphemer!





"veterinarians, veterinarians, veterinarians!"




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RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 7:38:40 PM   
Canoerebel


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[To MakeeLearn:] Well, her character Mammy didn't receive an income during her years of servitude. After the war she probably got room and board and maybe some allowance or minimal pay.

That image will simply inflame things without any possible productive reason that I can think of (or did I simply miss it?). Similarly, any discussion of a minimum basic income, though arising from the present crisis, is sure to veer off into the political minefield we've just gotten through (sorta).

I'm not hall monitor but the good residents of the forum have done a pretty good job of self-regulating the past few days. I'd avoid the topic and redact the image if I could.


< Message edited by Canoerebel -- 4/7/2020 7:40:42 PM >

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RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 7:41:14 PM   
MakeeLearn


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

[To MakeeLearn:] Well, her character Mammy didn't receive an income during her years of servitude. After the war she probably got room and board and maybe some allowance or minimal pay.

That image will simply inflame things without any possible productive reason that I can think of (or did I simply miss it)? Similarly, any discussion of a minimum basic income, though arising from the present crisis, is sure to veer off into the political minefield we've just gotten through (sorta).

I'm not hall monitor but the good residents of the forum have done a pretty good job of self-regulating the past few days. I'd avoid the topic and redact the image from this site if it was in my power to do so.




She is the wisest character in the movie, and her looks says it all. That is all that needs to be said.

< Message edited by MakeeLearn -- 4/7/2020 7:42:33 PM >


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Post #: 3803
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 7:43:51 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
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From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
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She does speak with some wisdom in the movie but most folks here haven't seen it and, even if they have, the overarching issues would eclipse that.

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Post #: 3804
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 7:54:06 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
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From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
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[Not directed at anybody in particular, including recent posts, but rather on my just completed click-train to another site]

For the first time today, I ventured into the main page virus thread. It's locked, I think as of today. It seems to have veered into a permanent state of acrimony.

It was a rough weekend here, most certainly for me. But the community as a whole has rallied and done a remarkably good job of getting back on point and trying not to inflame things. Pretty cool to see. Here's hoping this thread stays open for business.

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Post #: 3805
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 8:21:21 PM   
warspite1


Posts: 41353
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

[Not directed at anybody in particular, including recent posts, but rather on my just completed click-train to another site]

For the first time today, I ventured into the main page virus thread. It's locked, I think as of today. It seems to have veered into a permanent state of acrimony.

It was a rough weekend here, most certainly for me. But the community as a whole has rallied and done a remarkably good job of getting back on point and trying not to inflame things. Pretty cool to see. Here's hoping this thread stays open for business.
warspite1

Permanent state? Not really, I think everything pretty much cooled down as the only real point of 'controversy' - the ridiculous 'death rate' was being pretty much just ignored. Then today it wasn't and things got a little heated despite most people trying to keep it light. But there wasn't the volume of name calling found here over the last few days.

Not really sure what actually got it locked, but it doesn't appear to have been the exchanges as such - here is the explanation:

I'm going to lock this up. It feels like it has outlived its usefulness, and then some...

Feel free to start a new thread if you like, but let's try and keep it a little less fractious, and avoid the non-science conspiracy bunkum.


It's good to see this thread back on track.

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Post #: 3806
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 8:27:05 PM   
MakeeLearn


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I see nor think anything disparaging about that pic. It's my heritage, my family.



For those that do not know, in this scene, Mammy has just told Scarlett a TRUTH that Scarlett did not want to hear. And Mammy is "UH-HA I told you!"


If the moderator wants to remove it.... he will.

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Post #: 3807
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 8:31:18 PM   
obvert


Posts: 14050
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From: PDX (and now) London, UK
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I'd seen the IMHE data on the Guardian today. It certainly got my attention. I certainly hope they're wrong, and I'm somewhat less worried after Neil Fergusen from Imperial College disputed the results.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/07/uk-will-be-europes-worst-hit-by-coronavirus-study-predicts

One of the things I don't understand is the very big jump in deaths over the next few days. I guess though we'll get a quick look at whether this is modelled correctly.

Ferguson said he did not think the predictions could be relied on. “This model does not match the current UK situation,” he said, adding that the numbers used by the IHME were at least twice as high as they should be for current bed usage and deaths in the NHS. “Basically, their healthcare demand model is wrong, at least for the UK,” he said.

The IHME said its model was designed to be updated from day to day as the pandemic goes on. For a country such as the UK, which is quite early on in its outbreak, the uncertainty was higher and the headline numbers might change over the next few days as more data is collected.


Today was warm here, but the very large park we bike to for our once a day allowance of exercise had acres of room. Everyone there today we saw kept 4-5 meters distant at closest and nearly all were actively exercising. One dog got very close and wanted us to throw his ball. We declined.

We hadn't been able to get an Amazon order for the past few weeks but my wife was up early and got a slot for a Fresh delivery tomorrow. The less we need to go to a store the better. We've both worn masks for a few weeks, and more and more people are now. I also have seen a lot more walking down the middle of roads, eschewing the sidewalks to distance from anyone else moving the other way.

One other thing that's stopped. The Eastern European guys who even up to last week were hanging out and drinking cans of beer on a cut-through path about 50 meters from our back garden are no longer hanging out there. It that demographic is taking it more seriously I think something is working here.



< Message edited by obvert -- 4/7/2020 8:35:58 PM >


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"Success is the ability to go from one failure to another with no loss of enthusiasm." - Winston Churchill

(in reply to Canoerebel)
Post #: 3808
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 8:32:33 PM   
JohnDillworth


Posts: 3100
Joined: 3/19/2009
Status: offline
Looks like NYC is under-counting, by a wide margin, the number of dead from Corona-19. It's a big city and typically 20 people die at home every day. In the last few weeks, over 200 people a day are dying at home. Coincidence? I think not. Anyway, if you die at home the body is not tested for Corona-19. So the actual body count may be significantly higher than the reported number. Not sure of other locals policies but I suspect they are similar. At home deaths are not being counted so the 1% mortality rate (so-far) is probably artificially low

_____________________________

Today I come bearing an olive branch in one hand, and the freedom fighter's gun in the other. Do not let the olive branch fall from my hand. I repeat, do not let the olive branch fall from my hand. - Yasser Arafat Speech to UN General Assembly

(in reply to MakeeLearn)
Post #: 3809
RE: OT: Corona virus - 4/7/2020 8:33:51 PM   
obvert


Posts: 14050
Joined: 1/17/2011
From: PDX (and now) London, UK
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: MakeeLearn

I see nor think anything disparaging about that pic. It's my heritage, my family.



For those that do not know, in this scene, Mammy has just told Scarlett a TRUTH that Scarlett did not want to hear. And Mammy is "UH-HA I told you!"


If the moderator wants to remove it.... he will.


It's just sometimes important to give context to images placed without reference near unrelated information.

That's the photo teacher in me talking.

_____________________________

"Success is the ability to go from one failure to another with no loss of enthusiasm." - Winston Churchill

(in reply to MakeeLearn)
Post #: 3810
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