kbullard
Posts: 55
Joined: 5/27/2002 From: Chicago, IL Status: offline
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TRENDS - VPs -- increased by .09, from 1.195 to 1.285 in favor of the Allies (now an Allied minor victory for the first time) -- I expected this to happen eventually, but am concerned about the rate of change. The Allies will get an automatic victory near the end of 1945 with 2 times the Japanese VP total unless I can lower the "per month" rate of change. - B-29 Operations -- 24 targets in March: 20 cities (Anshan, Hamamatsu, Heijo, Keijo and Tsu hit multiple days); 2 airfields and 4 ports. This was up from an average of 16 in Jan/Feb. -- The Tokyo raid on 18 March was interesting. The Allies got intelligence that the number of Japanese fighters near Tokyo was significantly reduced, so they launched a daylight raid. But nothing had changed! During the attack, there were 7 banzai attacks against B-29s, which the Japanese will take any day of the week. The Allies lost 20+ B-29s that day, which is unsustainable. -- I remain concerned about B-29 attacks, but their cumulative impact continues to be primarily on targets like manpower and resources. The only thing I've rebuilt are a couple of lightly damaged aircraft factories. - 4 Engine Bombers -- Most Allied 4Es, as well as some B-25H and J11 missions, fly UNescorted. Discovered that the B-25H and B-25J11 are essentially flying anti-aircraft batteries. - Air Losses -- monthly Japanese air losses were the highest in 1945, at a little over 1400, and over 45% higher than the January total. Allied monthly air losses were also the highest, at almost 1,300, but only 6% higher than January. - Air Production: have built over 800 of the Ki-84r Frank and have 14 units flying it. - Industry -- While oil is no longer flowing to the Home Islands via tankers, some is getting to Fusan through China. Tracker tells me I have a 25 day supply of oil in the Home Islands to feed refineries and almost a 300 day supply of fuel to feed Heavy Industry. The Allies seem to think fuel is a problem *now*, but I don't believe it will be a problem until later in 1945. -- I have 450 days of Resources to feed Heavy and Light Industry in the Home Islands. -- I have a little under 4 million units of supply, dropping by 5-10K daily. While that's theoretically enough for well over a year, it's (increasingly) not in the right places or not accessible. There are modest shortages in China and Manchukuo, and occasionally Thailand and Malaya. KEY COMBAT, INVASIONS AND OTHER DEVELOPMENTS - Moulmein -- Moulmein changed hands on 1 March, and was declared secure by the Allies on 6 March. -- I understand the Indian divisions did most of the dying on the Allied side. - Post-Moulmein -- After a brief recovery period, the Allies moved south out of Moulmein with the British and Australian divisions. The Japanese moved out of Tavoy just before the Allies entered, and it changed hands on 31 March. The Allies also advanced east, to a position just east of Rahaeng. Rahaeng is well fortified and now hosts a full Japanese division. - In early March, the Allies pounded the airfields at Soerabaja and in and around Manila (e.g., Clark Field). This obviously restricted air operations in these areas for most of the month. - Multiple Invasions during the Month -- 2 March - Christmas Island IO. This was tactically ill-advised. It's just the right distance for the IJN to operate out of Batavia and aircraft to operate out of multiple bases on Java and Sumatra. I've executed several surface and bombardment missions, sinking many transports (some still unloading) and, if not unsupplied, the island has minimal supplies. Particularly proud of these two attacks (the second on 30 March): quote:
AFTER ACTION REPORTS FOR Mar 09, 45 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Night Time Surface Combat, near Christmas Island IO at 45,104, Range 12,000 Yards Japanese Ships BB Kongo, Shell hits 1 DD Akishimo DD Ikazuchi DD Ayanami DD Asagiri DD Sagiri DD Oboro, Shell hits 1 DD Akebono Allied Ships AP William Ward Burrows, Shell hits 10, and is sunk xAP Etolin, Shell hits 20, and is sunk AK Triangulum, Shell hits 16, Torpedo hits 4, and is sunk AK Bootes, Torpedo hits 2, and is sunk xAP Dunnatar Castle, Shell hits 1, Torpedo hits 2, and is sunk LSI(L) Empire Pride, Shell hits 2, Torpedo hits 3, and is sunk LSI(L) Glenartney, Shell hits 9, and is sunk LSI(L) Glenorchy, Shell hits 6, Torpedo hits 2, and is sunk xAP Katoomba, Shell hits 14, Torpedo hits 1, and is sunk xAP Merkur, Shell hits 12, Torpedo hits 1, and is sunk -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- AFTER ACTION REPORTS FOR Mar 30, 45 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Night Time Surface Combat, near Christmas Island IO at 45,104, Range 10,000 Yards Japanese Ships DD Akishimo DD Michishio DD Isonami DD Ayanami Allied Ships xAP Cape Newenham, Shell hits 3, Torpedo hits 2, and is sunk xAK Ima, Shell hits 3, Torpedo hits 2, and is sunk xAK Beltana, Shell hits 2, Torpedo hits 1, and is sunk xAK Momba, Shell hits 50, Torpedo hits 4, and is sunk xAK Zannis Cambanis, Shell hits 8, Torpedo hits 3, and is sunk Allied ground losses: Vehicles lost 34 (21 destroyed, 13 disabled) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - 12 March - Samarinda (northeast of Balikpapan). Despite the invasion, the Allies have not moved on Balikpapan by the end of the month. The oil and fuel at Balikpapan had been inaccessible for a couple of months, so this doesn't change much. - 16 March - Batangas, (southwest of Manila). This was a surprise and undefended, bypassing Cebu and the other defended bases in mid-latitude Philippines. For reasons that were not initially clear, the landing was botched, with something like 2,000 squads (!) and almost 1,500 vehicles disabled: quote:
Amphibious Assault at Batangas (79,78) TF 242 troops unloading over beach at Batangas, 79,78 Allied ground losses: 3766 casualties reported Squads: 8 destroyed, 788 disabled Non Combat: 3 destroyed, 762 disabled Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled Guns lost 500 (0 destroyed, 500 disabled) Vehicles lost 1497 (5 destroyed, 1492 disabled) I learned later that this force had landed with minimal preparation. It will be some time before these units are ready for combat, and the Allies have reportedly brought in reserve divisions to keep the momentum of the advance on Manila. The Allies now control all of the bases south of Manila *except* Naga and Legaspi. Legaspi is a strongpoint, occupied by the 109th Division plus a CD unit, and very well fortified and supplied. - 22 March - Aparri (northern tip of Luzon). The Allies came ashore in good order against minimal opposition. The IJA 105th Division had been defending Aparri, but pulled out when Allied 4Es showed interest in the base. Given the terrain, the 105th would have been rendered combat ineffective in a short time at that location. The Allies moved south and took Vigan, while a separate forced moved up the center of Luzon and now occupies the hex northeast of Cabanatuan and due east of Langayen. I suspect the Allies are unsure how to proceed with the 105th Div just to the northeast at San Fernando. - Kamaikazes -- Kamikazes were activated by the invasion of Batangas. Still figuring out what I want to do with kamikazes, but do have several training units flying Ki-115a Tsurugi. Have not yet converted a unit to kamikaze. -- Also, while there have been a number of bomber pilots "willing to die for the Emperor", a B7A2 Grace finally connected on 25 March, reportedly on the CVE Takanis Bay: quote:
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Afternoon Air attack on TF, near Kendari at 70,106 Weather in hex: Moderate rain Raid detected at 80 NM, estimated altitude 6,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 22 minutes Japanese aircraft B7A2 Grace x 17 Allied aircraft FM-2 Wildcat x 13 Japanese aircraft losses B7A2 Grace: 2 destroyed, 4 damaged B7A2 Grace: 1 destroyed by flak No Allied losses Allied Ships CVE Takanis Bay, Bomb hits 1, Kamikaze hits 1, heavy fires CVE Prince William DD Roe CVE Admiralty Island -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - CV Battle The Allies operated 4-5 CV task forces in support of the invasion locations (including Christmas Island) and in the Java Sea. With my reconstituted Japanese CV fleet, I wanted to challenge the TF in the Java Sea because I could count on support from ground-based air forces on Java (note the small number of Jacks and Franks that participated in the battle below). As I suspected, the Allies knew Japanese CVs were operating in the area, but were unclear on the exact size and strength. It was composed of CVs Shinano, Kasagi, Taiho, Katsuragi, Unryu and Hiyo, with about 375 aircraft. (The Hiyo, severely damaged in the late 1943 CV battle, had just completed its rebuild at the end of Jan 1945.) The setup was exactly what I wanted: Japanese CVs in hex 50,97 (two hexes NE of Batavia) with the Allies 3 hexes to the east at 53,97. If Japanese CVs were damaged, their aircraft could divert to Batavia, as could damaged ships. The Japanese struck first: quote:
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Morning Air attack on TF, near Kalidjati at 53,97 Weather in hex: Thunderstorms Raid detected at 117 NM, estimated altitude 13,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 38 minutes Japanese aircraft A6M5c Zero x 67 B7A2 Grace x 85 D4Y3 Judy x 107 Allied aircraft F4U-1D Corsair x 54 F6F-5 Hellcat x 37 Japanese aircraft losses A6M5c Zero: 13 destroyed B7A2 Grace: 9 destroyed, 18 damaged B7A2 Grace: 5 destroyed by flak D4Y3 Judy: 7 destroyed, 18 damaged D4Y3 Judy: 7 destroyed by flak Allied aircraft losses F6F-5 Hellcat: 1 destroyed Allied Ships BB Indiana, Torpedo hits 4, on fire, heavy damage CV Enterprise CA Salt Lake City, Torpedo hits 1, on fire CLAA Atlanta CV Yorktown, Bomb hits 1, Torpedo hits 1 CA Northampton, Torpedo hits 1, on fire CLAA San Diego CA Shropshire -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- In the Allied strike, the Japanese BBs absorbed a number of attacks. quote:
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Morning Air attack on TF, near Batavia at 50,97 Weather in hex: Clear sky Raid detected at 80 NM, estimated altitude 13,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 34 minutes Japanese aircraft A6M5c Zero x 90 J2M5 Jack x 6 N1K1 Rex x 20 Allied aircraft F4U-1D Corsair x 83 F6F-5 Hellcat x 56 SB2C-3 Helldiver x 27 SB2C-4 Helldiver x 69 TBM-3 Avenger x 91 Japanese aircraft losses A6M5c Zero: 3 destroyed N1K1 Rex: 1 destroyed Allied aircraft losses F4U-1D Corsair: 1 destroyed F6F-5 Hellcat: 1 destroyed SB2C-3 Helldiver: 7 damaged SB2C-3 Helldiver: 1 destroyed by flak SB2C-4 Helldiver: 4 destroyed, 31 damaged SB2C-4 Helldiver: 4 destroyed by flak TBM-3 Avenger: 12 destroyed, 26 damaged TBM-3 Avenger: 3 destroyed by flak Japanese Ships BB Yamato, Bomb hits 2 CV Kasagi, Bomb hits 1, on fire BB Hiei CV Katsuragi, Torpedo hits 1 CV Unryu CV Taiho, Bomb hits 1, Torpedo hits 3, on fire, heavy damage BB Fuso, Bomb hits 2 CV Hiyo, Bomb hits 2 BB Nagato, Torpedo hits 3, on fire, heavy damage CV Shinano, Bomb hits 3 BB Musashi DD Kaede CA Suzuya DD Hinoki -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The Japanese also struck first in the afternoon, but a different Allied TF with CVLs. quote:
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Afternoon Air attack on TF, near Kalidjati at 53,97 Weather in hex: Heavy cloud Raid detected at 120 NM, estimated altitude 10,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 40 minutes Japanese aircraft A6M5c Zero x 34 B7A2 Grace x 43 D4Y3 Judy x 54 Allied aircraft F4U-1D Corsair x 46 F6F-5 Hellcat x 31 Japanese aircraft losses A6M5c Zero: 11 destroyed B7A2 Grace: 11 destroyed, 13 damaged B7A2 Grace: 3 destroyed by flak D4Y3 Judy: 2 destroyed, 17 damaged D4Y3 Judy: 10 destroyed by flak Allied aircraft losses F4U-1D Corsair: 2 destroyed F6F-5 Hellcat: 2 destroyed Allied Ships CVL Cabot, Bomb hits 1, Torpedo hits 2, on fire, heavy damage CV Saratoga, Bomb hits 1 CV Hancock DD Hickox, Torpedo hits 1, on fire, heavy damage CVL Monterey, Bomb hits 1, Torpedo hits 1, heavy fires CLAA Oakland, Bomb hits 1, on fire CVL Princeton, Bomb hits 5, heavy fires CA Australia, Torpedo hits 1 Fuel storage explosion on CVL Monterey Fuel storage explosion on CVL Cabot Heavy smoke from fires obscuring CVL Cabot Heavy smoke from fires obscuring CVL Princeton -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The Allied afternoon strike was bigger than mine but, again, the Japanese BBs absorbed much of the damage. quote:
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Afternoon Air attack on TF, near Batavia at 50,97 Weather in hex: Partial cloud Raid detected at 80 NM, estimated altitude 11,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 34 minutes Japanese aircraft A6M5c Zero x 54 J2M5 Jack x 5 N1K1 Rex x 13 Ki-84r Frank x 4 Allied aircraft F4U-1D Corsair x 69 F6F-5 Hellcat x 44 SB2C-3 Helldiver x 22 SB2C-4 Helldiver x 52 TBM-3 Avenger x 53 Japanese aircraft losses A6M5c Zero: 7 destroyed N1K1 Rex: 2 destroyed Allied aircraft losses F4U-1D Corsair: 2 destroyed F6F-5 Hellcat: 5 destroyed SB2C-3 Helldiver: 1 destroyed, 9 damaged SB2C-3 Helldiver: 1 destroyed by flak SB2C-4 Helldiver: 6 destroyed, 19 damaged SB2C-4 Helldiver: 1 destroyed by flak TBM-3 Avenger: 7 destroyed, 26 damaged TBM-3 Avenger: 1 destroyed by flak Japanese Ships BB Yamato, Bomb hits 2, on fire CA Ashigara BB Fuso, Bomb hits 2, on fire CV Hiyo, Torpedo hits 3, on fire, heavy damage CV Katsuragi CV Unryu CV Shinano CV Kasagi BB Musashi BB Hiei -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Significant damage to key Japanese ships: -- CV Taiho: ended the turn with 63 Sys, 80 Flt (41 Maj), 17 Eng and 47 Fire. It would sink the next morning. (The Taiho has always been a "glass-jawed" ship for me.) -- CV Hiyo: ended the turn with 63 Sys, 75 Flt (48 Maj), 58 Eng and 14 Fire. It took two days, but the Hiyo made it to Batavia, docked and extinguished the fires. Still hope to get it repaired. -- CV Shinano: took 3 bombs hits but, with its armored deck, suffered only 23 Sys, 5 Flt and 2 Eng. It's repairing at Singapore and I expect it to be back in action by mid-April. -- CV Katsuragi: ended the turn with 9 Sys, 27 Flt (12 Maj). Hope to repair after the Shinano. -- BB Nagato: ended the turn with 26 Sys, 62 Flt (39 Maj) and 53 Eng. Also hope to repair, eventually. It was the bloodiest day in the air of 1945: 235 VPs for Japanese air lost and 183 for Allied air lost. I went looking, hard, for damaged ships and conducted a number of small attacks out of Java and Makassar, which the Japanese still control. I've been told the "BB Indiana" was sunk, but Tracker tells me it was actually the older BB Calfornia. The CVL Monterey is reported as sunk in Tracker on 18 March. On 26 March, a bombardment TF lead by Musashi went into Bandjermasin and discovered CVLs docked there. I've been told the Cabot was sunk at Bandjermasin (see below). All-in-all, not a terrible exchange, especially if I can get the Hiyo back. Equally important, I think it will give the Allies pause when they see a Japanese CV TF in the area. quote:
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Night Naval bombardment of Bandjermasin at 60,99 Allied aircraft no flights Allied aircraft losses PBM-5 Mariner: 1 damaged PBM-5 Mariner: 1 destroyed on ground TBM-3 Avenger: 12 damaged TBM-3 Avenger: 1 destroyed on ground F6F-5 Hellcat: 15 damaged F6F-5 Hellcat: 5 destroyed on ground Japanese Ships BB Musashi Allied Ships CVL Monterey, Shell hits 1, heavy damage CVL Cabot, Shell hits 1, heavy damage Allied ground losses: 163 casualties reported Squads: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled Non Combat: 10 destroyed, 9 disabled Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled Airbase hits 2 Airbase supply hits 5 Runway hits 13 BB Musashi firing at Bandjermasin -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Purge of the South Seas -- As a result of the IJN convoy system and effective land-based ASW and naval search, Japanese convoys were still moving routinely between Singapore and Fukuoka. In response, the Allies sent multiple CV TFs into the South China Sea and Java Sea in the last 11 days of March. The Japanese were expecting this type of move, but the Allies kept coming and supplemented the naval activity with 4E bomber attacks on ports. There was no place to hide, at sea or in port. Lost many, many transports, but the Allies have not attacked Singapore due to the strong figher coverage. - Japanese PT Boat Attacks -- Considerable success with Japanese PT boats operating out of Manila and going to Batangas, especially the 38 knot PTs when the TF leader has good inspiration and related skills. This is true even in situations where the transports are protected by DDs. Notable examples below, with many of the damaged ships in port at Batangas: quote:
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Night Time Surface Combat, near Surigao at 81,88, Range 7,000 Yards Japanese Ships MTB G-1016 MTB G-1018 MTB G-1019 Allied Ships APD Cofer APD Knudson AK Boulder Victory LSM-11, Shell hits 2 LSM-13 LCI-624 LCI-783 LCI-989 xAK Agwimonte xAK Cape Romain, Torpedo hits 1, heavy fires xAK Cape Greig xAK Overseas Rose, Shell hits 2, heavy fires AP Gen. A.E.Anderson Allied ground losses: 89 casualties reported Squads: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled Non Combat: 17 destroyed, 27 disabled Engineers: 7 destroyed, 39 disabled Vehicles lost 43 (19 destroyed, 24 disabled) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Night Time Surface Combat, near Lubang at 78,78, Range 10,000 Yards Japanese Ships MTB G-1005 MTB G-1012 MTB G-1020 Allied Ships CVE Anzio CVE Manila Bay CVE Kalinin Bay CA Houston CL Gambia DD Zellars DD Boyd DD Gatling DD Marshall DD Picking DD Porterfield xAP Maui, Shell hits 10, Torpedo hits 2, and is sunk xAP Cape San Juan xAP Cape Victory, Shell hits 3, heavy fires xAP Kota Baroe, Shell hits 1 Allied ground losses: 4814 casualties reported Squads: 66 destroyed, 112 disabled Non Combat: 115 destroyed, 241 disabled Engineers: 2 destroyed, 6 disabled Guns lost 24 (22 destroyed, 2 disabled) Vehicles lost 26 (19 destroyed, 7 disabled) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Night Time Surface Combat, near Surigao at 81,88, Range 7,000 Yards Japanese Ships MTB G-1016 MTB G-1018 MTB G-1019 Allied Ships APD Cofer APD Knudson AK Boulder Victory LSM-11, Shell hits 2 LSM-13 LCI-624 LCI-783 LCI-989 xAK Agwimonte xAK Cape Romain, Torpedo hits 1, heavy fires xAK Cape Greig xAK Overseas Rose, Shell hits 2, heavy fires AP Gen. A.E.Anderson Allied ground losses: 89 casualties reported Squads: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled Non Combat: 17 destroyed, 27 disabled Engineers: 7 destroyed, 39 disabled Vehicles lost 43 (19 destroyed, 24 disabled) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Night Time Surface Combat, near Batangas at 79,78, Range 12,000 Yards Japanese Ships MTB G-881 MTB G-883 MTB G-885, Shell hits 1, and is sunk MTB G-889, Shell hits 1 Allied Ships DD Maddox DD Mansfield DD Charles Ausburne DD Philip AP President Monroe, Shell hits 2 AP Adm. W.S.Benson, Shell hits 1, Torpedo hits 2, on fire, heavy damage -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- OTHER INTERESTING EVENTS On 18 March, two Japanese PTs attacked a huge Allied transport TF. The base results were very modest (see below), but the APA George Clymer turned into some kind of floating pinball! It had *eight* collisions with other Allied ships in the TF, sustained heavy damage, and is reportedly in port at Batangas. quote:
AFTER ACTION REPORTS FOR Mar 18, 45 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Night Time Surface Combat, near Lubang at 78,78, Range 2,000 Yards Japanese Ships MTB G-461 MTB G-462 Allied Ships xAP Maui, Shell hits 1 xAP Cape San Juan xAP Cape Victory, Shell hits 1 xAP Kota Baroe, Torpedo hits 1 Allied ground losses: 7 casualties reported Squads: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled AKA Alshain collides with APA George Clymer at 79 , 78 AKA Athene collides with APA George Clymer at 79 , 78 AKA Cyrene collides with APA George Clymer at 79 , 78 AKA Aquarius collides with APA George Clymer at 79 , 78 AP Adm. W.S.Benson collides with APA George Clymer at 79 , 78 APA Henderson collides with APA George Clymer at 79 , 78 AKA Capricornus collides with APA George Clymer at 79 , 78 APA Henderson collides with APA George Clymer at 79 , 78 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- My last name is Bullard. The DD Bullard (no known relation to Rear Admiral William H. G. Bullard) made an appearance earlier in the war (it was commissioned 9 April 1943). It has since been involved in 3 battles off Christmas Island, including this one. Kinda cool. quote:
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Night Time Surface Combat, near Christmas Island IO at 45,104, Range 10,000 Yards Japanese Ships DD Akatsuki, Shell hits 2, on fire DD Isonami DD Hatsuyuki DD Kisaragi, Shell hits 6, heavy fires, heavy damage Allied Ships DD Bullard, Shell hits 1 DD Charrette, Shell hits 1 APA Neshoba, Shell hits 12, heavy fires APA Tazewell, Shell hits 5, on fire AK Matar, Shell hits 10, Torpedo hits 1, heavy fires, heavy damage Japanese Ships Reported to be Approaching! Allied TF begins to get underwayIt made -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Finally, the Allied CVs in the Java Sea executed an attack on Batavia, which was well-defended by good Japanese aircraft flown by good pilots. It was a big Japanese victory, with the air VP differential being almost 100 points in favor of Japan. quote:
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Morning Air attack on TF, near Batavia at 49,98 Weather in hex: Moderate rain Raid detected at 78 NM, estimated altitude 15,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 33 minutes Japanese aircraft J2M5 Jack x 22 Ki-84b Frank x 30 Ki-84r Frank x 18 Allied aircraft F4U-1D Corsair x 59 F6F-5 Hellcat x 65 SB2C-3 Helldiver x 14 SB2C-4 Helldiver x 22 Japanese aircraft losses J2M5 Jack: 1 destroyed Allied aircraft losses F4U-1D Corsair: 3 destroyed F6F-5 Hellcat: 13 destroyed SB2C-3 Helldiver: 8 destroyed SB2C-3 Helldiver: 1 destroyed by flak SB2C-4 Helldiver: 8 destroyed, 5 damaged Japanese Ships DD Akishimo DD Michishio --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
< Message edited by kbullard -- 8/1/2020 11:37:15 PM >
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