Slitherine

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sil01, Soviet Centre Commander
So what did we guess from Germany's plans?
White arrows are our forecast, blue arrows are actual offensives.

Offensives 1,2,3 were supposed. We guessed 1 and 2 - actual offensives 10 and 11.
At the same time, offensives 10 and 11 pose a modest task of encircling 10-12 divisions. But the ticks did not close!

In direction 3, the Germans did not dare to advance.
Instead, hit 9. I don’t quite understand where.
On the left is a large river.
Right in the direction of the offensive are two small rivers.
There are no prospects, and this is not dangerous.

quote:

sil01, Soviet Centre Commander
The maximum advance of tanks is 2-3 hex.
Conclusion: this blow is sustained.



How to respond?
Withdraw troops from zone 8?
No no!
It will strike at the left tank claw. Then, after pushing it back, strong parts are withdrawn from zone 5. Zone 5 is engaged in tank and AT brigades.

On lines 2,3,4, our troops are moving towards the enemy in full contact.
Thus, the German command is invited to start over.

I can’t make forecasts of the offensive, because I don’t see where tanks can attack here.
But should the Germans come up with something? We wait …

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AGS didn't advance as i expected, but that's good. They could have easily broken my def line here

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i plan to hold at any cost here, we can't allow enemy to cross the Don entirely right now, it will give them a huge boost later in May/June.

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ORIGINAL: Beria

T039 Soviet Centre

quote:

sil01, Soviet Centre Commander
So what did we guess from Germany's plans?
White arrows are our forecast, blue arrows are actual offensives.

Offensives 1,2,3 were supposed. We guessed 1 and 2 - actual offensives 10 and 11.
At the same time, offensives 10 and 11 pose a modest task of encircling 10-12 divisions. But the ticks did not close!

In direction 3, the Germans did not dare to advance.
Instead, hit 9. I don’t quite understand where.
On the left is a large river.
Right in the direction of the offensive are two small rivers.
There are no prospects, and this is not dangerous.

quote:

sil01, Soviet Centre Commander
What the hell was the previous air commander doing? 21 regiments of IL2 and 170 regiments of fighters! Now will the tanks be stopped by fighters? Now there are few factories IL2, OK. Then you need to create regs U2vs. 9 u2vs turn into RZ. This is a powerful tactical bomber. All U2VS set in day mode.

...the bombing of the Finns is a waste of aircraft. We need to beat out the manpower only of the Germans. Only they are dangerous to us. Mass bombing where safe. No matter where the German is killed, the replenishment comes from a common pool. Losses of aviation are inevitable and permissible only when preparing the offensive.

Do not put PVO AA regiments on air command! Only in the army! This is the most powerful SU with CV=15-20! they are going to bomb our airfields, you don't want aa to protect our precious tac? Please explain "Captain Evidence" I don't understand the meaning either

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attritioning the finns does work, they get very few new recruits. but we could bomb the germans with u2vs all war and not make much difference. until il2 start to produce we are not going to be able to do much damage. we use up our bombers and faze them out slowly for il2 like was done in the real war. no trucks to support level bombers later. the war was not won with the u2vs...
in my games i move the factory into german hands to save resources, lots of players do

You can do both day and night bombing or just one depending on response from the finnish airforce. wiping out the finns airforce is one of the few things the russians can do in summer 42 and it really stretches the luftwaffe if you can.

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Xhoel, Axis Air Commander

please all commanders read carefully!

I have just done a major reorganization of the air assets and that comes with a change in the way we will be handling air as a team.

1) I have given each commander control over certain air assets which I have marked by changing air ranges.

-All air groups on air range 2 are to be controlled by Army Group Center (Aces). This includes Luftflotte 4, the Hungarian Air Force and parts of the VIII Fliegerkorps.
-All air groups on air range 3 are to be controlled by Army Group South (Joelmar). This includes the IV and V Fliegerkorps as well as the Italian Air Force and the Rumanian Air force.

Units in these bases that have range of 1 are to be controlled by me. These air groups are mostly Transport and small fighter Stabs that are to be used to protect the transports. I would like all commanders to let me know which units need to be resupplied by air at the end of the turn so I can do so.

The units under your command can be used as you see fit eg either for ground attacks or for ground support just please take care to properly escort your bombers. Unneccessary losses are not welcomed by the OKL.

This takes care of the problem of which Army Group needs which air group and I think we will continue like this. If any commander needs a larger concentration of forces than usually, just let me know and I will see what I can arrange.

2) Recon assets are set to * range which means they can be used by the ground commanders as they see fit. If you need more recon just let me know.

3) After you are done using your air groups at the end of the turn just switch their air range to 1 so that the air groups don't take part in GS of other front sections where they are not needed.

4) GS during the turn can be switched on/off by air commanders but after you are done using it switch it back to off.

5) Do not transfer air units to other bases or to the national reserve and do not mess with the other ground commanders air assets.

That is about it. I would gladly appreciate it if each commander, including the Supreme would send me a confirmation that they have read the email and agree with it. If you don't agree with one of the points, you can say so and we can talk about changing it in the coming turns (but not on this one since I have already set up everything).

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xhoel, Axis North Commander
yeah the Soviets are crumbling in the north. ... They have so many Guard formations holding the line against the Finns and are holding Yaro with tank brigades and normal Rifle Divisions...

North is done. 5 Rifle Divisions (among which a very good one), 1 Naval Infantry Brigade and 1 Tank Brigade trapped in a pocket. German forces have made good headway towards Yaroslavl. Soviet lines in the area are not fortified. Good performance by the Luftwaffe and some interesting Soviet holds...

oh and btw I need th 4th Panzer Army to close the pocket
I would like to hold on to them until the mud season hits.
see if I can get closer to Yaroslavls and Ivanovo

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Crackaces:
I will report on my units.
18th Panzer XII Corps 78% TOE. Lacks 44 light tanks, 93 medium tanks, fundamentally 91% of the tanks are not there ..
3rd Panzer Division XXIV Corps 82% TO&E Lacks 17 light tanks, 52 medium tanks about 50% of the armor is missing ..
22nd panzer division LVII Corps TO&E 76% Has plenty of tanks ..

So why does the 18th Panzer division lack tanks? They are still using the Panzer IIIe and have not upgraded the medium tank category. . There is only one IIIe in the pool. The 22nd Panzer division has Pz III L’s and there are 200+ of these in the pool.

So I am assuming playing with TO&E is not as important as getting the divisions to upgrade, which I also assume is a die roll? Does refitting in the rear help accelerate upgrading to a newer division level?

18th Panzer division average exp 90 … morale of 89 .. worth upgrading I think … I will put it on a railhead next turn ..
............

Telemecus
Also considering moving 18 pz back to Orel for refit. It is a tank division with high stats but virtually no tanks - so would be good to [prioritize] it for the IIIls in the pool. I have [not] tried to [prioritize] where tanks go by their positioning on rail networks before so uncharted territory for me. Good suggestion from Aces

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Telemecus:

And in centre I think they could be walking into a trap. Even if they tried to cut off bits of centre Panzers from north and south we have all the strength to break it open - and if they keep advancing where they did those units will be pocketed
Although they do have the guards corps concentrated there for it

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Interesting Telemecus …
The 88’s took out some T34’s! Some of my panzer divisions lack a lot of fuel…
In the North they are giving up a lot of ground ..


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Ground Bombing – In my sector the air was met with 88mm and 37mm AA guns. So I am suspecting “turn aways.”. That indicates a lower morale. This is worsened by the bug that morale does not increase while in reserve.
Battles – The 88’s took out 30 T34 1941’s better yet a bunch (68) light tanks. I suspect three things:

1. More than a few Soviet units are depleted and are unready or close to it. Worse, (for the Soviets) there is a concentration of really good Guards units in the North!

2. Because of one and notable losses on the offensive (40K since our last turn with heavy losses during the logistics phase from routs). They are going more quiet because of point #1.

3. I think the “team” part of the team game is causing a friction of where forces need to be deployed, worsening point #1.

This turn I am headed for Gryazi …It will only extend supply by 6 hexes .. but 6 hexes in mud is worth it ..(BTW – With the new supply rules this area is a lot more intriguing for both sides) I will organize my pz XXX this turn into a 2 Pz XXXX panzerball. Headed for Tambov …

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I am going to assume once Yaro is taken the North will start going static. The trapping of those Soviets in the North was worth holding off on going static for a couple of more turns .. that is for sure.

Right now I am putting ZOC ‘s on key rail junctions or occupying key rail lines. The plan being to increase the Soviets supply problems in the Mud.

The Soviet manpower right now is 5M. It seems they have plenty of AFV’s and Planes,. but they lack units in the field. They are not digging deep at all and have few places that are 5 deep. The strongest defense I can see is Rostov, which is fort level 2 building quickly. Else, nowhere do I see a position on my front that I cannot break. Worse (for the Soviets), They have very strong units in salients! They also have Guards in horrible positions in the North!

Anyway, in my sector I made a last second move to put ZOC’s on Soviet units so they cannot move as far. Maybe I can trap them …we can only hope they continue to counterattack next turn in my sectors … if they do not back up .. these units will be trapped.
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I came within 1 MP of causing total bedlam. I did make a hole where the Soviets have not been digging. There are at least 9 routed units. I displaced a routed unit and a HQ.

You can see I pushed to cut the rail .. still short .. lots of strong units here …
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North push further south then everything electric slide south ..:)

Maybe once I get the line moving back I can take where I am stacked and go 3 hexes south .. I am stacked where I can’t afford a Soviet counterattack


BTW) One thing we want to do .. put LW mixed flak in HQ’s that are likely to be involved with Soviet air .. or vs Soviet units with Tanks .. this tactic has resulted in killing T34 1941 Tanks .. and loads of light tanks .. I match up his Cavalry units with light flak .. the 20mm is deadly

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ORIGINAL: Crackaces

A most interesting juxtaposition of commentary occurs between the Soviet turn 39, which wonders why the German's are not doing a more optimized move as they see it and the German commentary on turn 40 that execute a move that is optimal as the Germans see it. Each side perceives "optimal" in different lights. The Soviet see their vulnerability to a huge pocket and expect the German's to execute such a move -- wondering why (See the questions marks in the Soviet map turn 39) this is not executed. The Germans have other strategic objectives in mind...

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SOVIET SOUTH COMMANDER:

(Talking about the area east south east of Boguchar) AGS didn't advance as i expected, but that's good. They could have easily broken my def line here

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Telemecus (Axis supreme commander):
No units seen in the front south east of Boguchar - I expect we will pick them up later but means they have not been there digging
still worth pushing there I think

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Joelmar (AGS):

south east of Boguchar will be my aim when we do the electric slide (the plans for spring was to bring the center-south boundary southwards to the Boguchar row). For now, my troop disposition are more adequate for trying to pocket his strong units on the front south east of Voroshilovgrad, which was my aim last turn. But of course I could reorient those troops north to push there if you guys think it would be better.

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Telemecus04/10/2019
Very impressed by the cutting in near Rostov. I thought that would not be possible. But at least I think now compromises the high fortification levels near Rostov. if so will mean eventually they have to abandon them. That should mean we can break out into the clear fluid war in the casucasus sooner i think

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Joelmar:
I proved in the last 2 turns that I can slice through their strongest defenses on my front by taking a few level 2 forts, even though a few attacks ended up in "Held". They now have at best level 1 forts between my spearheads and the open country. So they now must back off, or die.

Rail lines occupation and destruction was also my main concern this turn. Their line north of Rostov has now become intenable in the short term.

Also the Donets is now broken and I hope to establish a bridgehead across the Don next turn. It might be hard depending on what my opponent does. But if I manage that, the Rostov position will become untenable.

I believe we are doing great in those preliminaries.

Next turn is the last snow turn if I'm not mistaken.

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Joelmar:

I think I will name it: operation "Kick in the balls"

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Joelmar (talking to Telemecus)

In your notes, you didn't mention if I could leave 23rd pz div on rails. I left it on rail because it would go through the swamps next turn on rail instead of going thru. If you don't want to leave it on rail, please just move it to swamp hex south east of it's current position.
I released IV Rum Corp for use as a FBD, I let you move it as you wish.

LII corp, XI corp and XXX corp could use better commanders, if you can do something about it, I wouldn't mind!

I made IV corp an all Mountain units corp and I moved all the mountain divs south of Boguchar. It will slowly slide down the line until it is in the Rostov area sometimes in May. That corp could use a good morale + admin leader I think if it is to lead the way in the Caucasus.

All the other notes have been adressed.

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Joelmar to xhoel axis air commander
Thanks for the air support, it was used to good escient 🙂

Please, if you can refuel my spearheads, especially XXXXVIII pz corp, but also XIVth and IIIrd.

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ORIGINAL: eskuche
A bit late, but how much manpower was taken by withdrawing Finns to get back up to 75%?

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ORIGINAL: Telemecus

I do not know why but the picture can be seen by opening the attachment but not as an embedded picture.

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some players say that the turning point comes when the russians reach 100,000 guns regardless of infantry strength. it seems about right to me

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please start moving Guards off the Finnish line and move them towards Volodga and the 4th shock army