warspite1
Posts: 41353
Joined: 2/2/2008 From: England Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: BrianJH So, shouldn't one be forming their strategy on achieving their goals with as few dice rolls as possible? Less chance of rolling BAD that way. warspite1 But how would that work? If you did that then taking Poland (for example) is potentially fatally extended as you would seek to mop up all outliers using auto attacks before having to roll the dice at least twice - Lodz and Warsaw. Suppose the weather goes against the German player, making even auto attacks impossible? But what would a plan to roll the dice as little as possible look like? What does it mean? For example, would such a policy mean that the Axis never seek out Allied convoys either because Allied units are present or can be brought in? Never undertake strategic bombing unless there is zero chance of interception? End of the day it's fundamentally a dice game - a sophisticated, difficult to learn and harder to master dice game - but a dice game nonetheless. This has to be accepted or there is no point playing. You say there is less chance of rolling bad the less you roll? Well as Neilster says that is simply not true. If the dice gods are with you then great, if they are against you then..... I've given an example (above) of extreme bad luck in a single impulse. Have a look at this for a further example - and I'm sure all (M)WIF players have their own equally shocking examples they can share. WIF accurately reflects the real war. The Germans have to get off to a good start. The Allies can build up very quickly unless the Germans can defeat them before they build too much. Momentum is everything. With that in mind have a look at these examples from one game: Axis Land attacks Look at the Axis average throws. As said above, throwing against Warsaw and Lodz is required. German throws against Lodz alone were: 2,1,1,3 = average 1.75 It wasn't until the Axis 8th land combat throw (the Germans 5th) that they weren't disorganised when attacking. In the Germans first 10 land throws they threw: 2,4,1,1,7,1,3,2,2,9. The 7 and 9? Well the 7 was a 7:1+2 attack against a notional and the 9 was a 7:1+2 attack against Warsaw... During that game the most commonly thrown dice roll in land combat for the EuroAxis? It was a 1, which was thrown 18% of all throws. That's emotional
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< Message edited by warspite1 -- 6/6/2020 6:03:22 AM >
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England expects that every man will do his duty. Horatio Nelson October 1805 
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