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RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version

 
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RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/19/2020 8:40:28 PM   
RangerJoe


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Panjack

quote:

ORIGINAL: mind_messing

...Also worth noting post #242 (concerning removals of statues of Confederate generals) has gone unremarked.

A rule for thee, but not for me

I'm concerned only with "political" postings I otherwise would respond to. It's better I address comments (I think provoking) in this way, instead of either not coming here or engaging in a back-and-forth in ways that doesn't benefit the forum.

In my imperfect way, I'm just trying to keep things here civil...for my own benefit, of course!


Confederate generals are US veterans. Enough said.

_____________________________

Seek peace but keep your gun handy.

I'm not a complete idiot, some parts are missing!

“Illegitemus non carborundum est (“Don’t let the bastards grind you down”).”
― Julia Child


(in reply to Panjack)
Post #: 301
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/19/2020 9:20:52 PM   
Panjack

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: RangerJoe
Confederate generals are US veterans. Enough said.


We read that as regards those who fought for the Confederacy,
quote:

...they'll never be called American veterans. The closest they ever came was "American citizens" ..."who served in the military or naval forces of the Confederate States of America during the Civil War."

https://www.wearethemighty.com/history/why-confederate-soldiers-are-not-considered-us-veterans

And
quote:

...no legislation either explicitly or implicitly granted Confederate soldiers status as United States veterans. Survivors of dead Confederate soldiers often took offense at measures appearing to equate them to Union soldiers, objections that died off as Southerners from the Civil War era did.
(italics added)
https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/confederate-soldiers-veterans/

(in reply to RangerJoe)
Post #: 302
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/19/2020 9:39:41 PM   
sPzAbt653


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From: east coast, usa
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quote:

It'll be hard for any widespread fudging of numbers


Are CDC Guidelines for Reporting COVID-19 Deaths Artificially Inflating Numbers?

20 April 2020

In cases where a definite diagnosis of COVID–19 cannot be made, but it is suspected or likely (e.g., the circumstances are compelling within a reasonable degree of certainty), it is acceptable to report COVID–19 on a death certificate as ‘probable’ or ‘presumed.’

We can all read that as we want, and I suspect that is why the CDC worded it that way [plus to avoid lawsuits]. But I know what I think it says.

(in reply to Canoerebel)
Post #: 303
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/19/2020 9:46:52 PM   
sPzAbt653


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quote:

A rule for thee, but not for me

That's because you guys are making assumptions or judgements that are incorrect. We were talking about a change in Social Opinion [which I purposely didn't even say was as much, I made a joke about the virus causing insanity] and the current problems with baseball. There was no political discussion there and the moderators noticed that, and that is why you couldn't get us censured or the thread closed. I have been letting these attempts go but this is third time. It is you who should be censured. You are trying to incite riots. Calm down.

(in reply to mind_messing)
Post #: 304
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/19/2020 9:53:46 PM   
sPzAbt653


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quote:

no legislation either explicitly or implicitly granted Confederate soldiers status as United States veterans.

I guess that is because the Confederacy was not a recognized country? So no Confederate holidays. Are there any specific Civil War Holidays? Some how I can't think of one What a strange world this is.

(in reply to Panjack)
Post #: 305
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/19/2020 9:58:19 PM   
Kull


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Guys, please lay off the Confederacy stuff. It has no connection to Covid.

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(in reply to sPzAbt653)
Post #: 306
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/19/2020 9:58:41 PM   
sPzAbt653


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So I am a movie goer, I go to three or four a year maybe. I like Sci-Fi, I used to like Horror but these days it is either silly or gives me nightmares. I like to go on opening Friday, afternoon-ish, go to restaurant, have a nice meal and a few cordials to get in the mood, slide over to the theater before the 5 p.m. rush so that there are only a handful of us to see the premier on the Super HD Dolby Surround Big Screen.

AMC Theaters announced that when they open they will require movie goers to wear masks. Would any of you sit thru a 2 hour movie wearing a mask?

(in reply to sPzAbt653)
Post #: 307
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/19/2020 10:00:12 PM   
sPzAbt653


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From: east coast, usa
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quote:

Guys, please lay off the Confederacy stuff

Stop bringing it up damn you all, it was a one liner from three pages ago. Such a lack of focus here!

(in reply to Kull)
Post #: 308
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/19/2020 10:00:50 PM   
Kull


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quote:

ORIGINAL: sPzAbt653
AMC Theaters announced that when they open they will require movie goers to wear masks. Would any of you sit thru a 2 hour movie wearing a mask?


It might be worth it if it kept the bratty teenagers quiet!


_____________________________


(in reply to sPzAbt653)
Post #: 309
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/19/2020 10:21:57 PM   
Sammy5IsAlive

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: sPzAbt653

So I am a movie goer, I go to three or four a year maybe. I like Sci-Fi, I used to like Horror but these days it is either silly or gives me nightmares. I like to go on opening Friday, afternoon-ish, go to restaurant, have a nice meal and a few cordials to get in the mood, slide over to the theater before the 5 p.m. rush so that there are only a handful of us to see the premier on the Super HD Dolby Surround Big Screen.

AMC Theaters announced that when they open they will require movie goers to wear masks. Would any of you sit thru a 2 hour movie wearing a mask?


Yes? That wearing a mask/face-covering has become such an issue just seems bizarre to me. As with any unfamiliar stimulus it feels a bit weird for 5 minutes but after that you barely notice it.

But that is why I think this thread is doomed to be locked again eventually. It is impossible to discuss Covid-19 and particularly the situation in the US without reference to politics. This new thread has ticked along for a few weeks with very little activity apart from brief personal anecdotes. The moment the conversation has moved to any meaningful discussion of the wider picture everything has kicked off again. That's not through any 'malice' on anybody's part - it's just an inevitability.

< Message edited by Sammy5IsAlive -- 6/19/2020 10:26:17 PM >

(in reply to sPzAbt653)
Post #: 310
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/19/2020 10:25:49 PM   
JohnDillworth


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Kull


quote:

ORIGINAL: sPzAbt653
AMC Theaters announced that when they open they will require movie goers to wear masks. Would any of you sit thru a 2 hour movie wearing a mask?


It might be worth it if it kept the bratty teenagers quiet!


In New York, there are 4 phases of opening. The things I use most are all stage 4 so not yet open. I love going to the movies. Some of he blockbuster stuff, but lots of the art house stuff. I really miss the movies. Movies are stage4. My favorite is on those sweltering summer days is to hit the first showing and have the theater almost to myself. Mask or not, I'm looking forward to catching up on all the 2020 movies. Don't know how to eat popcorn with a mask so I'll probably go without. As for the kids? They are not the problem. It's those old ladies......they don't shut the F^&k up! That first showing at the artsy movie theater usually has lots of chatty elderly people. The come in with their canes and walkers and fight for the seats next to the exit. My wife calls that first showing the "heavy metal" movie because of all the canes and walkers. I call it the "miracle movie" because at the end they are all "cured" and can clog up the exits without the need of canes and walkers so they can be the first one out of the parking lot. Still, I really miss going to the movies

_____________________________

Today I come bearing an olive branch in one hand, and the freedom fighter's gun in the other. Do not let the olive branch fall from my hand. I repeat, do not let the olive branch fall from my hand. - Yasser Arafat Speech to UN General Assembly

(in reply to Kull)
Post #: 311
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/19/2020 11:00:53 PM   
mind_messing

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: sPzAbt653

quote:

Guys, please lay off the Confederacy stuff

Stop bringing it up damn you all, it was a one liner from three pages ago. Such a lack of focus here!


It was pointed out to you, and you have had ample opportunity to remove the one liner.

quote:

ORIGINAL: sPzAbt653

quote:

A rule for thee, but not for me

That's because you guys are making assumptions or judgements that are incorrect. We were talking about a change in Social Opinion [which I purposely didn't even say was as much, I made a joke about the virus causing insanity] and the current problems with baseball. There was no political discussion there and the moderators noticed that, and that is why you couldn't get us censured or the thread closed. I have been letting these attempts go but this is third time. It is you who should be censured. You are trying to incite riots. Calm down.


You may want to review post #274



(in reply to sPzAbt653)
Post #: 312
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/20/2020 12:19:15 AM   
Canoerebel


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We're talking about two different things.

By "Fudging the numbers," I mean bad faith manipulations to present a false narrative. That's going to be hard to do for anybody under heavy scrutiny, as are most US jurisdictions (and likely many in other nations too).

Good faith variations in how to interpret things isn't what I was talking about.

quote:

ORIGINAL: mind_messing


quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

I doubt anyone thinks the numbers anywhere are perfect (I said as much, above). In some places, they are more suspect than others. But the instance you cited is statistically meaningless. It did nothing except suggest to a casual reader that Georgia's numbers are suspect, which isn't true (at least, not based on that instance).

It'll be hard for any widespread fudging of numbers in places where there is scrutiny. Not only would the perpetrators get caught, they'd be crucified in print. Can you imagine what would happen to a governor or to a state health director that said, "Hey, let's play with numbers to make Covid look worse/better than it actually is."? In every case, somebody would blow the whistle. Who would take that chance? It's going to happen here and there, but most instances of bad faith trickery are going to be isolated/limited in scope.

Hey, wherever there are hotspot, those jurisdictions are reacting. Where there aren't, things are proceeding per easing. That's the only way it can work, right?


I can think of any number of ways to fudge the numbers.

Are the state level statistical publications tied to a specific definition to ensure standardized reporting?

What about assigning location of death? Do you record where fatalities lived, or where they were tested?

Or test numbers. What if you give one person six tests over a week. Have you tested six people, or one? Do you count confirmed false positive/negative results?

The situation in the UK was such that the head of the Office of Statistical Regulations got involved by writing to the health minister. I imagine the US, with the granular state system may even be worse.



(in reply to mind_messing)
Post #: 313
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/20/2020 1:02:26 AM   
Sammy5IsAlive

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

We're talking about two different things.

By "Fudging the numbers," I mean bad faith manipulations to present a false narrative. That's going to be hard to do for anybody under heavy scrutiny, as are most US jurisdictions (and likely many in other nations too).

Good faith variations in how to interpret things isn't what I was talking about.



Look at the numbers for California/Texas/Florida/Arizona over the last week or so. The first three are the most populous states in the US. The increases they are seeing in cases is comfortably outstripping the equivalent increases in testing. Highlighting those numbers as a concern is not a bad faith manipulation or a false narrative.

(in reply to Canoerebel)
Post #: 314
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/20/2020 1:35:22 AM   
mind_messing

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

We're talking about two different things.

By "Fudging the numbers," I mean bad faith manipulations to present a false narrative. That's going to be hard to do for anybody under heavy scrutiny, as are most US jurisdictions (and likely many in other nations too).

Good faith variations in how to interpret things isn't what I was talking about.

quote:

ORIGINAL: mind_messing


quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

I doubt anyone thinks the numbers anywhere are perfect (I said as much, above). In some places, they are more suspect than others. But the instance you cited is statistically meaningless. It did nothing except suggest to a casual reader that Georgia's numbers are suspect, which isn't true (at least, not based on that instance).

It'll be hard for any widespread fudging of numbers in places where there is scrutiny. Not only would the perpetrators get caught, they'd be crucified in print. Can you imagine what would happen to a governor or to a state health director that said, "Hey, let's play with numbers to make Covid look worse/better than it actually is."? In every case, somebody would blow the whistle. Who would take that chance? It's going to happen here and there, but most instances of bad faith trickery are going to be isolated/limited in scope.

Hey, wherever there are hotspot, those jurisdictions are reacting. Where there aren't, things are proceeding per easing. That's the only way it can work, right?


I can think of any number of ways to fudge the numbers.

Are the state level statistical publications tied to a specific definition to ensure standardized reporting?

What about assigning location of death? Do you record where fatalities lived, or where they were tested?

Or test numbers. What if you give one person six tests over a week. Have you tested six people, or one? Do you count confirmed false positive/negative results?

The situation in the UK was such that the head of the Office of Statistical Regulations got involved by writing to the health minister. I imagine the US, with the granular state system may even be worse.





It's absolutely not hard to do - there would be justification for doing everything I've listed, either from a pragmatic or a statistical standpoint. That justification standing up to challenge is a different story.

However, it's not likely to be challenged because the devil is in the detail.

Your own Georgia DPH is a good example: https://dph.georgia.gov/covid-19-daily-status-report

You can see it's combining the serology and viral testing for Coivd. That boosts the total tests number.

But it lets you fudge the numbers. That way, you'd be right to claim that from nearly 800k tests, you've a 8% positive rate.

In actual fact, what you've done is taken two tests:

Test 1 tells you if someone currently has Covid, and this test might be conducted several times.
Test 2 tells you if someone has previously had Covid.

Now, test 1 would be your expected metric for determining the %positive.

But, now here's the kicker. Stick the two together and suddenly you can claim to have done nearly 800k tests (versus 663k of test one alone). What's even better, the %positive drops to 8% (versus the 8.4% of test 1 alone).

See, nice and easy. Just need to compare apples with oranges.

(in reply to Canoerebel)
Post #: 315
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/20/2020 1:35:44 AM   
Canoerebel


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I think we've gotten off track. I wasn't suggesting that highlighting numbers from anywhere is manipulation or bad faith.

Apparently it's not possible for me to communicate clearly via the written word. All I meant was that it would be hard for any entity (local, state, national) to manipulate numbers in bad faith, given scrutiny levels.

(in reply to Sammy5IsAlive)
Post #: 316
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/20/2020 1:38:43 AM   
mind_messing

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

I think we've gotten off track. I wasn't suggesting that highlighting numbers from anywhere is manipulation or bad faith.

Apparently it's not possible for me to communicate clearly via the written word. All I meant was that it would be hard for any entity (local, state, national) to manipulate numbers in bad faith, given scrutiny levels.


Well, see above example for discussion.

I'm happy to accept that I'm being excessively pedantic given how the information is displayed, but in my view those figures should be reported seperately.

(in reply to Canoerebel)
Post #: 317
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/20/2020 1:46:57 AM   
Sammy5IsAlive

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

I think we've gotten off track. I wasn't suggesting that highlighting numbers from anywhere is manipulation or bad faith.

Apparently it's not possible for me to communicate clearly via the written word. All I meant was that it would be hard for any entity (local, state, national) to manipulate numbers in bad faith, given scrutiny levels.


Fair enough, we'll put it down to poor communication and move on and try and keep this thread alive.


< Message edited by Sammy5IsAlive -- 6/20/2020 1:52:44 AM >

(in reply to Canoerebel)
Post #: 318
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/20/2020 1:52:06 AM   
Canoerebel


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Sammy, you picked up on the narrative midstream and thus missed key context. Just one o' them things inherent in thread streams.

(in reply to Sammy5IsAlive)
Post #: 319
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/20/2020 1:55:10 AM   
Sammy5IsAlive

 

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Ok sorry.

I think the message board does odd things sometimes - it was showing your reply as a reply to me and not to m_m

(in reply to Canoerebel)
Post #: 320
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/20/2020 2:02:54 AM   
Nomad


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Sammy5IsAlive

Ok sorry.

I think the message board does odd things sometimes - it was showing your reply as a reply to me and not to m_m


From the time stamps they were probably typing at the same time.

_____________________________


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Post #: 321
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/20/2020 5:13:39 AM   
BBfanboy


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

I think we've gotten off track. I wasn't suggesting that highlighting numbers from anywhere is manipulation or bad faith.

Apparently it's not possible for me to communicate clearly via the written word. All I meant was that it would be hard for any entity (local, state, national) to manipulate numbers in bad faith, given scrutiny levels.

I agree - for those who are paying close enough attention to catch the misinformation and any subsequent corrections. Unfortunately there is so much stuff being tossed out to us that few people have the time/interest to track all of it well. So we end up with impressions from what we do remember.

I know the US news I listen to is quick to point out the sudden increases to support their case that it is too soon to open up completely, while other outlets I have seen snippets from are reporting stats that say the trend is consistently downward, so to support the idea of opening up to get the economy moving again. As usual, the truth is likely somewhere in between. People will have to make their own guesstimate of the situation around them, but I hope they are extra careful around vulnerable people.

_____________________________

No matter how bad a situation is, you can always make it worse. - Chris Hadfield : An Astronaut's Guide To Life On Earth

(in reply to Canoerebel)
Post #: 322
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/20/2020 9:20:58 AM   
JohnDillworth


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

I think we've gotten off track. I wasn't suggesting that highlighting numbers from anywhere is manipulation or bad faith.

Apparently it's not possible for me to communicate clearly via the written word. All I meant was that it would be hard for any entity (local, state, national) to manipulate numbers in bad faith, given scrutiny levels.

Well Dr Rebekah Jones of Florida claims she was fired in May for not manipulating numbers. She publishes her own counts now that are less favorable that the official numbers. Seems she may have been on to something as Florida is now showing record numbers. We also had Georgia having to apologize for publishing misleading graphs. From the Governors communication director
"The x axis was set up that way to show descending values to more easily demonstrate peak values and counties on those dates. Our mission failed. We apologize. It is fixed.

Officials in Virginia, Texas, and Vermont reportedly combined the numbers of completed tests for two separate types: diagnostic tests that identify people currently infected, and antibody tests that can tell whether people have recovered from the virus.
Mixing the two counts can make it seem like these states have been testing more people than other states that are only counting diagnostic tests. The move to combine the totals into one also makes it difficult to identify the trends in daily case counts relative to diagnostic tests completed.

Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds told reporters that the state will share information about outbreaks at meatpacking plants only upon request.

So yeah, numbers are being systematically fudged to present a more positive picture. The results of this manipulation are getting harder and harder to hide as number rise. This is the problem with not having a national reporting standard.


_____________________________

Today I come bearing an olive branch in one hand, and the freedom fighter's gun in the other. Do not let the olive branch fall from my hand. I repeat, do not let the olive branch fall from my hand. - Yasser Arafat Speech to UN General Assembly

(in reply to Canoerebel)
Post #: 323
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/20/2020 11:18:31 AM   
RangerJoe


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Unless they are counting the number of patients or the number of people infected, they numbers will change. Constantly checking the same person who tests negative will tend to have a lower overall positive number while constantly testing a Covid-19 positive person will tend to have a higher positive number unless the numbers reported are stated as per individual. Thus a person who is tested 9 times and then positive only one time then is no longer tested will show a 10% positive when it should actually be otherwise. Since some people like medical staff and first responders are tested more frequently, they will skew the results unless it is reported on a per individual basis and not a per test basis.

So the best metric in that situation to follow may be the death rate if accurately reported or the hospitalization rate with the caveat that the most vulnerable people have probably already been infected, hospitalized, then recovered or died.

Maybe someone in the medical/science field can let us know if the antibodies that are taken from recovered patients can be made in a lab at a relatively low cost or if they have to be taken from the blood serum of recovered individuals. That is an effective treatment and should probably become the standard treatment now.

_____________________________

Seek peace but keep your gun handy.

I'm not a complete idiot, some parts are missing!

“Illegitemus non carborundum est (“Don’t let the bastards grind you down”).”
― Julia Child


(in reply to JohnDillworth)
Post #: 324
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/20/2020 11:49:43 AM   
RangerJoe


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DOD: Understanding the Potential of COVID-19 Convalescent Plasma
By
Carol Duff, MSN, BA, RN -
June 19, 2020

quote:

Like a missile locking on its target, antibodies attack invaders inside the body with a singularity of purpose: search and destroy. Typically, infection-fighting white blood cells produce antibodies as an appropriate response to an invading germ. In some people whose immune systems can’t mount a sufficient attack against a virus, donated antibodies from another person’s plasma may help. Researchers believe the power of antibodies lies in their ability to bind to a virus and neutralize it, or block it from entering cells, said Dr. Kayvon Modjarrad, director of the Emerging Infectious Diseases Branch at the Walter Reed Army Institute of Research in Silver Spring, Maryland. Modjarrad leads the Army’s COVID-19 vaccine development research.

But not all antibodies are created the same. “Antibodies come in different flavors, some of them are neutralizing and some of them are non-neutralizing and we don’t know exactly which individuals are developing what type of antibody,” said Shelly Krebs, chief of B Cell Biology Core at WRAIR Military HIV Research program.
.
.
.
Future research may lead to the development of highly concentrated neutralizing antibodies extracted from large quantities of convalescent plasma as a potential therapy for prevention and treatment, added Cap.

Scientists believe monoclonal antibodies—derived from a single immune cell—may also hold potential as both a treatment and preventive measure against COVID-19. Krebs and her team have engineered monoclonal antibodies in the lab by isolating the best neutralizing antibodies from CCP samples to create an army of exact replicas that target the COVID-19 virus down to the atomic level, explained Modjarrad. “We know where and how well it’s going to target, and we know the kinetics of how long it will last in the body and how long it will provide protection,” he explained, noting convalescent plasma does not provide that level of effectiveness. “CCP is not generally used for prevention but for treatment.” Monoclonal antibodies could be used for both treatment and prevention of COVID-19 because the transfused neutralizing antibodies would provide immediate immunity, he added.

Monoclonal antibodies have been in use for decades and revolutionized cancer treatment. Krebs’ lab plans to expand the research into monoclonal antibodies against COVID-19 into animal studies this summer. “Our primary goal is to come up with a treatment for people who have COVID-19,” she said.


https://www.veteranstoday.com/2020/06/19/dod-understanding-the-potential-of-covid-19-convalescent-plasma/

_____________________________

Seek peace but keep your gun handy.

I'm not a complete idiot, some parts are missing!

“Illegitemus non carborundum est (“Don’t let the bastards grind you down”).”
― Julia Child


(in reply to RangerJoe)
Post #: 325
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/20/2020 11:57:46 AM   
JohnDillworth


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<redacted>

< Message edited by JohnDillworth -- 6/20/2020 11:58:38 AM >


_____________________________

Today I come bearing an olive branch in one hand, and the freedom fighter's gun in the other. Do not let the olive branch fall from my hand. I repeat, do not let the olive branch fall from my hand. - Yasser Arafat Speech to UN General Assembly

(in reply to RangerJoe)
Post #: 326
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/20/2020 11:59:26 AM   
JohnDillworth


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Well The White House chose the COVID Tracking Project as the best source to cite for daily US test numbers in its “Opening Up America Again” testing strategy. So lets see what they say. They say that many parts country are getting sicker and Dixie is a hot mess:




Attachment (1)

< Message edited by JohnDillworth -- 6/20/2020 12:00:02 PM >


_____________________________

Today I come bearing an olive branch in one hand, and the freedom fighter's gun in the other. Do not let the olive branch fall from my hand. I repeat, do not let the olive branch fall from my hand. - Yasser Arafat Speech to UN General Assembly

(in reply to JohnDillworth)
Post #: 327
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/20/2020 12:27:42 PM   
BBfanboy


Posts: 18046
Joined: 8/4/2010
From: Winnipeg, MB
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: RangerJoe

DOD: Understanding the Potential of COVID-19 Convalescent Plasma
By
Carol Duff, MSN, BA, RN -
June 19, 2020

quote:

Like a missile locking on its target, antibodies attack invaders inside the body with a singularity of purpose: search and destroy. Typically, infection-fighting white blood cells produce antibodies as an appropriate response to an invading germ. In some people whose immune systems can’t mount a sufficient attack against a virus, donated antibodies from another person’s plasma may help. Researchers believe the power of antibodies lies in their ability to bind to a virus and neutralize it, or block it from entering cells, said Dr. Kayvon Modjarrad, director of the Emerging Infectious Diseases Branch at the Walter Reed Army Institute of Research in Silver Spring, Maryland. Modjarrad leads the Army’s COVID-19 vaccine development research.

But not all antibodies are created the same. “Antibodies come in different flavors, some of them are neutralizing and some of them are non-neutralizing and we don’t know exactly which individuals are developing what type of antibody,” said Shelly Krebs, chief of B Cell Biology Core at WRAIR Military HIV Research program.
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Future research may lead to the development of highly concentrated neutralizing antibodies extracted from large quantities of convalescent plasma as a potential therapy for prevention and treatment, added Cap.

Scientists believe monoclonal antibodies—derived from a single immune cell—may also hold potential as both a treatment and preventive measure against COVID-19. Krebs and her team have engineered monoclonal antibodies in the lab by isolating the best neutralizing antibodies from CCP samples to create an army of exact replicas that target the COVID-19 virus down to the atomic level, explained Modjarrad. “We know where and how well it’s going to target, and we know the kinetics of how long it will last in the body and how long it will provide protection,” he explained, noting convalescent plasma does not provide that level of effectiveness. “CCP is not generally used for prevention but for treatment.” Monoclonal antibodies could be used for both treatment and prevention of COVID-19 because the transfused neutralizing antibodies would provide immediate immunity, he added.

Monoclonal antibodies have been in use for decades and revolutionized cancer treatment. Krebs’ lab plans to expand the research into monoclonal antibodies against COVID-19 into animal studies this summer. “Our primary goal is to come up with a treatment for people who have COVID-19,” she said.


https://www.veteranstoday.com/2020/06/19/dod-understanding-the-potential-of-covid-19-convalescent-plasma/

A couple of days ago the BBC mentioned that antibody therapies have proven to be short-term effective, but after a couple of months they lose their effectiveness. Scientists are still investigating whether that is because the antibodies themselves are being ejected from the host or whether the virus is adapting to hide itself from the antibodies (i.e. developing a new strain). No easy answers to this monster ...

_____________________________

No matter how bad a situation is, you can always make it worse. - Chris Hadfield : An Astronaut's Guide To Life On Earth

(in reply to RangerJoe)
Post #: 328
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/20/2020 12:33:11 PM   
obvert


Posts: 14050
Joined: 1/17/2011
From: PDX (and now) London, UK
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: Sammy5IsAlive

quote:

ORIGINAL: sPzAbt653

So I am a movie goer, I go to three or four a year maybe. I like Sci-Fi, I used to like Horror but these days it is either silly or gives me nightmares. I like to go on opening Friday, afternoon-ish, go to restaurant, have a nice meal and a few cordials to get in the mood, slide over to the theater before the 5 p.m. rush so that there are only a handful of us to see the premier on the Super HD Dolby Surround Big Screen.

AMC Theaters announced that when they open they will require movie goers to wear masks. Would any of you sit thru a 2 hour movie wearing a mask?


Yes? That wearing a mask/face-covering has become such an issue just seems bizarre to me. As with any unfamiliar stimulus it feels a bit weird for 5 minutes but after that you barely notice it.

But that is why I think this thread is doomed to be locked again eventually. It is impossible to discuss Covid-19 and particularly the situation in the US without reference to politics. This new thread has ticked along for a few weeks with very little activity apart from brief personal anecdotes. The moment the conversation has moved to any meaningful discussion of the wider picture everything has kicked off again. That's not through any 'malice' on anybody's part - it's just an inevitability.


Well, it kind of is certain people who are unable to let other viewpoints that challenge their politics or opinions go by without comment. Wearing a mask isn't a political topic anywhere except the US.

You're contributing by noticing that as well. Just let it slide and it doesn't make them dig in their heels. Most people who bring in the confederacy or other hot topics are actually just looking for a battle, so ignoring is the best way forward. Let the mods decide.

_____________________________

"Success is the ability to go from one failure to another with no loss of enthusiasm." - Winston Churchill

(in reply to Sammy5IsAlive)
Post #: 329
RE: OT: Coronavirus 2, the No Politics Version - 6/20/2020 7:10:09 PM   
Lokasenna


Posts: 9297
Joined: 3/3/2012
From: Iowan in MD/DC
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: JohnDillworth

This is shameful. We can do better than this.





Worth pointing out that despite the concerning numbers of new cases, the rolling 7-day deaths average has still been declining. We can do and could have done better, but...

(in reply to JohnDillworth)
Post #: 330
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