Matrix Games Forums

Forums  Register  Login  Photo Gallery  Member List  Search  Calendars  FAQ 

My Profile  Inbox  Address Book  My Subscription  My Forums  Log Out

RE: Midway

 
View related threads: (in this forum | in all forums)

Logged in as: Guest
Users viewing this topic: none
  Printable Version
All Forums >> [Current Games From Matrix.] >> [World War II] >> War In The Pacific - Struggle Against Japan 1941 - 1945 >> RE: Midway Page: <<   < prev  5 6 [7] 8 9   next >   >>
Login
Message << Older Topic   Newer Topic >>
RE: Midway - 3/30/2004 12:34:18 AM   
TIMJOT

 

Posts: 1822
Joined: 4/30/2001
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: mdiehl

. I don't think Japan could really hope to even mildly sting US TFs in and around the Hawaiian Islands or in Pearl Harbor using Midway-based Betties. They're just to fragile, there's too much US fighter opposition (even at night), and the range (as was pointed out earlier) is extreme.


I was thinking more in terms of the first few days to week after the PH attack. The US CAP will probalby be still pretty week and it might give you the opportunity to bag a few big fish. In the preceding weeks it would make any TF sortieing out from Hawaii westward difficult. As you say with recon flying boats there commings and goings can be tracked and the danger from Midway would require them to be covered by CAP. Which intern would tie up precious CVs. Basically what it does is forces the US player to deal with Midway before it can do anything else.

(in reply to mdiehl)
Post #: 181
RE: Midway - 3/30/2004 1:01:06 AM   
Mr.Frag


Posts: 13410
Joined: 12/18/2002
From: Purgatory
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: mdiehl

As an opening play it would be very doable. You'd probably have a decent chance of pulling it off through the end of 1941 even. After that everything is up in the air.

I can think of one very good reason to take Midway. Forward recon base for long range flying boats. I don't think Japan could really hope to even mildly sting US TFs in and around the Hawaiian Islands or in Pearl Harbor using Midway-based Betties. They're just to fragile, there's too much US fighter opposition (even at night), and the range (as was pointed out earlier) is extreme. But a good Japanese player could put Emilies up from there and snoop-scout PH for a while I think.. until USMC/USAAF dedicated night-fighting interceptor units come along. Said Emilies could also reduce the effectiveness of USN sub ops.


Basically it becomes luck of the draw ... it is completely dependant on what the Allied player does with his 2 CV's around PH and his 1 CV stateside ... To maximize the short time span allowed, you must basically keep ships on standby, waiting to emergency lift the aircraft and base units out and use your CV's for air cover. Reducing the number of bombers flying on this stunt to try and add land based air cover dilutes the number of aircraft that will be doing port runs at night. Even damaged after the Dec 7th attack, the AA is still too rough for daylight raids. You cannot afford to waste a single turn of this.

The price tag is that you will not have KB eating ships all over the place so it really needs some serious study as to it's worth. The Allied player can use Lahaina (port 4, air 3) which is just out of range of your aircraft to weather the storm, but you will be able to level the repair yard fairly quickly (city night attack - repair yards) once the Allied player pulls his ships.

Hmmm, interesting thoughts ...

(in reply to mdiehl)
Post #: 182
RE: Midway - 3/30/2004 2:04:02 AM   
pasternakski


Posts: 6565
Joined: 6/29/2002
Status: offline
HELLO! Since when are night attacks at extreme range from a small atoll airfield going to shut down maritime traffic at a major port?

_____________________________

Put my faith in the people
And the people let me down.
So, I turned the other way,
And I carry on anyhow.

(in reply to Mr.Frag)
Post #: 183
RE: Midway - 3/30/2004 2:43:26 AM   
Mr.Frag


Posts: 13410
Joined: 12/18/2002
From: Purgatory
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: pasternakski

HELLO! Since when are night attacks at extreme range from a small atoll airfield going to shut down maritime traffic at a major port?


300 bombs dropping in an area is bound to hit things. A size 6 airfield is nothing to shake a stick at. A size 6 airfield with handle B-29's forget about simple little Nells and Bettys. The range only matters when calculating the losses. Otherwise, you might as well be one hex away with 300 Vals ... it's the same bomb load.

I don't make the rules, I just enforce them

Keep in mind we are talking about doing this while a fair number of ships are sitting in the harbor, critically hurt, trying to recover enough so you can send the back to ports on the West Coast for repairs. With 3 separate solo CV forces on the USA side, it is probably the most critical period in the war where Japan can get some extra licks in. Loosing Nell/Betty vs loosing skilled CV pilots is something I might be willing to deal with ...

< Message edited by Mr.Frag -- 3/29/2004 7:51:18 PM >

(in reply to pasternakski)
Post #: 184
RE: Midway - 3/30/2004 3:24:55 AM   
pasternakski


Posts: 6565
Joined: 6/29/2002
Status: offline
How does Midway become a size 6 airfield in the real world?

_____________________________

Put my faith in the people
And the people let me down.
So, I turned the other way,
And I carry on anyhow.

(in reply to Mr.Frag)
Post #: 185
RE: Midway - 3/30/2004 3:37:26 AM   
Mr.Frag


Posts: 13410
Joined: 12/18/2002
From: Purgatory
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: pasternakski

How does Midway become a size 6 airfield in the real world?


This answer your question?




Attachment (1)

(in reply to pasternakski)
Post #: 186
RE: Midway - 3/30/2004 4:33:52 AM   
pasternakski


Posts: 6565
Joined: 6/29/2002
Status: offline
Looks pretty threeish or fourish at most to me.

_____________________________

Put my faith in the people
And the people let me down.
So, I turned the other way,
And I carry on anyhow.

(in reply to Mr.Frag)
Post #: 187
RE: Midway - 3/30/2004 9:31:19 AM   
Apollo11


Posts: 24082
Joined: 6/7/2001
From: Zagreb, Croatia
Status: offline
Hi all,

quote:

ORIGINAL: mdiehl

I understand what your claim is. I do NOT agree that it is all that easy to destroy, even when in the open. That's why I have suggested that you consider the Japanese bombardments at Guadalcanal. You have essentially idenitical circumstances, yet in no bombardment was the airfield shut down for more than an hour or so and in no circumstance were all the aircraft destroyed. As a result a/c that were on the airfield prior to the bombardment were still around attacking Japanese vessels immediately after the bombardment. While from a game standpoint it is unlikely that, say, 3 SBDs will ruin your day (in UV and in many paper stratsims), in the real world the real problem was that even 3 SBDs could ruin your day. You could lose a CV to one. THAT is why the IJN absolutely positively absolutely absolutely and without any doubt in any of the operational planners' minds (on the IJN side) GUARANTEE that Midway was not operational as an airbase. To DO that you MUST use aircraft.


The Guadalcanal was "proper" island while Midway is only small atoll.

Also the Guadalcanal was heavily forested island with airstrip inland (i.e. not on shore like it was in Midway - in Midway the airstrip is from one end of island to the other almost covering everything there).

I really really think that several BBs firing 1-2 hours at night would destroy or damage any object or piece of equipment or aircraft standing in open.

The Midway was packed with aircraft and, at sudden night bombardment, they would be unable to run away (in air) or to hide anywhere (no hardened aircraft shelters).

Big guns on battleships have powerful HE shells that carry a lot of punch and splinters flying all over the place would surely riddle anything on surface...


quote:


I'll bite. Name one instance in WW2 where a naval bombardment stopped air activity at a modest-sized airbase for any decisive interval of time. You say it is 100% achievable and I say it's almost 100% guaranteed not to work. I say look to Cactus for some prime examples.


Please read above.

BTW, I think that naval bombardment was never before used to suppress airfields before Japanese did that in Guadalcanal.

I also think I remember reading that there were several instances where there were no aircraft available at all after night Japanese bombardment at Guadalcanal...


quote:


If you are asserting that the USN way of doing things in 1944-1945 was to shut down airbases via naval bombardment then I am asserting that you do not know how the USN shut down enemy airbases. Suppressing Japanese airbases was the mandate of fast carriers, not bombardment TFs. The Japanese also used CVs for that task. Both parties at the time understood that the only sure way to shut down an airbase was with airstrikes.


Under that I only thought of having huge "armada" consisting of several specialized TFs rather closely together (and operating in unison).


quote:


IMO the USN was better at it (but by 1944 they'd had alot more time to get good at it than, say, in 1942). In many of the high speed naval and air actions involving Japanese ships oeprating in close proximity there were collisions. Mikuma vs. Mogami. At least one collision in the sequence of battles around the Leyte gulf. One major collision IIRC in the night actions in October near Guadalcanal. Another major collision in the action in Surigao Strait.


Surigao straight was very narrow place (and there were torpedoes involved I think).

The Straight (in Guadalcanal) is also rather narrow place.

Around Midway there is only open water...


quote:


I can't imagine why you'd be that cocky. The SBDs based on Midway got in their licks against the IJN TF, but they missed. One USN PBY at Midway torpedoed a Japanese auxiliary. If the Japanese TF is not using its a/c to suppress Midway, then the position and composition of the Japanese TF will be known to the USN throughout the battle. Under such circumstances you can almost guarantee that a USN coordinated strike will find you before you find the USN.


Approaching Japanese "armada" consisting of several TFs would be too far away for any other attack except high altitude level bomber attacks.

Now... it would be interesting to know how long the night lasted there at that time (summer of 1942).

My imaginary plan called for night bombardment of Midway which means that bombardment TF would peel off the main "armada" with nightfall for high speed dash towards Midway.

If those were 29-30 knot ships it means that in 8 hours (if we presume that night is 8-9-10 hours long) they can cover minimum of 240 nm.

That also applies that main body (i.e. whole Japanese "armada") would be at least 240 nm away from Midway by nightfall.

Is that close enough for Midway based torpedo and dive bombers to attack using last light or, as I initially wrote, only high altitude bombers can be used?


quote:


Your plan seems to rely wholly on improbable results. Even the real Japanese were not so blinkered as to pretend that they could either ignore Midway or get close enough to bombard it without dedicating a substantial amount of CV based air power to the job, and even the real Japanese knew that but a few enemy strike craft could pose a very mortal threat.


Like I wrote before - Midway battle was fought and Japan lost. That's history.


What we do here is just academic discussion regarding "what if" possibilities and with hope that, when WitP arrives, we can test this in it!


Leo "Apollo11"

(in reply to mdiehl)
Post #: 188
RE: Midway - 3/30/2004 6:54:56 PM   
mdiehl

 

Posts: 5998
Joined: 10/21/2000
Status: offline
quote:

300 bombs dropping in an area is bound to hit things. A size 6 airfield is nothing to shake a stick at. A size 6 airfield with handle B-29's forget about simple little Nells and Bettys. The range only matters when calculating the losses. Otherwise, you might as well be one hex away with 300 Vals ... it's the same bomb load.


Not necessarily bound to hit things. At night a Betty can't be expected to deliver as much punch or with as much accuracy as, for example, a Lancaster, and the margin of accuracy for night raids delivered by the latter was +/- 2 MILES. You won't be able to have a coordinated Betty night raid.. too much room for error and collisions even among people who trained for it (the UK) never mind those who did NOT train for it (IJN). So you're talking about nuisance raids in singletons or pairs that are as likely to bomb a hotel in Honolulu as a warship in the harbor.

It'd be more doable, accuracy wise, during daylight, but during daylight the vast majority of Betties will be flaming wreckage well before they have a target other than rainforest.

quote:

The Guadalcanal was "proper" island while Midway is only small atoll.


Apollo11, the TARGET at Guadalcanal was substantially smaller than Midway and the bombardments were delivered with something approaching the theoretical upper limit of accuracy. The airfield itself on Guadalcanal was less than a mile "inland" and the Japanese knew darned well its exact position having built the thing. I just think you have vastly oberestimated the effectiveness of bombardment. The only way to guarantee that Midway can't hurt you is to park Japanese aircraft over it and bomb and strafe until every airplane is a disarticulated pile of melting aluminum. Bombardment won't do that, and there is no example from WW2 bombardment succeeding at it, despite the fact that it was attempted.

quote:

I also think I remember reading that there were several instances where there were no aircraft available at all after night Japanese bombardment at Guadalcanal...


No. What you are recalling is that after one particularly effective bombardment, Midway was reported closed by Japanese observers, resulting in the continued deployment of a troop/resupply convoy. By the time the observer realized the error the convoy was within air range and the remaining handful of aircraft sank most of the ships in the convoy and forced the remnant to to retire.

< Message edited by mdiehl -- 3/30/2004 4:57:12 PM >


_____________________________

Show me a fellow who rejects statistical analysis a priori and I'll show you a fellow who has no knowledge of statistics.

Didn't we have this conversation already?

(in reply to Apollo11)
Post #: 189
RE: Midway - 3/30/2004 7:17:41 PM   
mdiehl

 

Posts: 5998
Joined: 10/21/2000
Status: offline
I also had a chance to check some of my plane stats so your bombardment is cancelled. The SBDs strike radius was 475 miles for the SBD-3, and 435 for the TBD-1. (Here I have taken the published "standard range" and halved them for a strike radius). In nautical miles that's 413 miles for the SBD-3 and 378 for the TBD-1.

Since you are making no effort to suppress Midway we can assume that your TF has been spotted. You will have to endure at least one daylight air strike from Midway before you can get close enough to do anything about the base, and you may have to endure a daylight strike from USN CVs as well. Whatever lives can branch off a TF for your high speed run-in. As the US one way to foul that plan is to use harassing night torpedo attacks. I'd have PBYs conducting these. All they have to do is get you to change course and speed maybe twice and your bombardment TF then must arrive at Midway island after the morning strike is launched. Then the bomardment TF dies because there are no CVs covering it and you have already stipulated that your Japanese CVs are purpose dedicated to dealing with the USN CVs. Bottom line is that your bomardment probably does not happen, and you spend at least two days in range of Midway and the USN without necessarily knowing where the USN CVs are located.

_____________________________

Show me a fellow who rejects statistical analysis a priori and I'll show you a fellow who has no knowledge of statistics.

Didn't we have this conversation already?

(in reply to mdiehl)
Post #: 190
RE: Midway - 3/30/2004 7:41:32 PM   
Apollo11


Posts: 24082
Joined: 6/7/2001
From: Zagreb, Croatia
Status: offline
Hi all,

quote:

ORIGINAL: mdiehl

Apollo11, the TARGET at Guadalcanal was substantially smaller than Midway and the bombardments were delivered with something approaching the theoretical upper limit of accuracy. The airfield itself on Guadalcanal was less than a mile "inland" and the Japanese knew darned well its exact position having built the thing. I just think you have vastly oberestimated the effectiveness of bombardment. The only way to guarantee that Midway can't hurt you is to park Japanese aircraft over it and bomb and strafe until every airplane is a disarticulated pile of melting aluminum. Bombardment won't do that, and there is no example from WW2 bombardment succeeding at it, despite the fact that it was attempted.


What I meant is that it was much much more harder to hit Guadalcanal airbase than it would be to hit Midway airbase (where whole atoll is in fact one big airfield).

You confirmed what I wrote exactly.


What we can debate is what end result would be and that's something we will never know...


Like I stated before I think that all parked aircraft would be destroyed/damaged at Midway.

The USN bombardment of Japanese held atolls/islands showed that the bombardment did work but that it only hit surface (and destroying almost all visible things) while the Japanese soldiers were hiding underground.

Since aircraft (and other equipment - like aircraft maintenance facilities) are all above ground at Midway (and unsheltered) there is every reason to believe that all exposed objects, aircraft and equipment would be destroyed/damaged.

Please add to this that Midway is very small atoll (and very flat).


BTW, I know that you think otherwise but, again, we may never know...



Leo "Apollo11"

(in reply to mdiehl)
Post #: 191
RE: Midway - 3/30/2004 7:47:00 PM   
Apollo11


Posts: 24082
Joined: 6/7/2001
From: Zagreb, Croatia
Status: offline
Hi all,

quote:

ORIGINAL: mdiehl
I also had a chance to check some of my plane stats so your bombardment is cancelled. The SBDs strike radius was 475 miles for the SBD-3, and 435 for the TBD-1. (Here I have taken the published "standard range" and halved them for a strike radius). In nautical miles that's 413 miles for the SBD-3 and 378 for the TBD-1.

Since you are making no effort to suppress Midway we can assume that your TF has been spotted. You will have to endure at least one daylight air strike from Midway before you can get close enough to do anything about the base, and you may have to endure a daylight strike from USN CVs as well. Whatever lives can branch off a TF for your high speed run-in. As the US one way to foul that plan is to use harassing night torpedo attacks. I'd have PBYs conducting these. All they have to do is get you to change course and speed maybe twice and your bombardment TF then must arrive at Midway island after the morning strike is launched. Then the bomardment TF dies because there are no CVs covering it and you have already stipulated that your Japanese CVs are purpose dedicated to dealing with the USN CVs. Bottom line is that your bomardment probably does not happen, and you spend at least two days in range of Midway and the USN without necessarily knowing where the USN CVs are located.


Were there any known USN attacks (by dive bombers and/or torpedo bombers) that far away (>400 nm) in Pacific?

The ranges were, I think, always much much less in almost all occasions (for both sides).


As for my bombardment TF not succeeding in my imaginary plan due to some night attack torpedo runs... well everything is always possible... but I doubt it...


Anyway, we will have opportunity to try this all in upcoming WitP (I am sure there will be Midway scenario).!


Leo "Apollo11"

(in reply to mdiehl)
Post #: 192
RE: Midway - 3/30/2004 7:59:33 PM   
mdiehl

 

Posts: 5998
Joined: 10/21/2000
Status: offline
quote:

What I meant is that it was much much more harder to hit Guadalcanal airbase than it would be to hit Midway airbase (where whole atoll is in fact one big airfield).


I'm not following your logic on this one. I do not understand how Midway, being smaller, is easier to hit. The theoretical limit of naval gunfire accuracy does not magically increase just because the target gets smaller. Were that true, PT boats would be the easiest thing imaginable to sink. Having an atoll for a target rather than an airfield on a large island just means that alot of your shells land in the water rather than in the jungle.

quote:

You confirmed what I wrote exactly.


I confirmed nothing. It's not that I think your plan isn't imaginative. I just think you have no idea what you are talking about when you imagine these fantastic results from naval gunfire.

quote:

Like I stated before I think that all parked aircraft would be destroyed/damaged at Midway.


And you are incorrect. The evidence against you is the examples of naval bomardments that did occur and did not destroy all parked aircraft, and the complete absence of examples in which naval bombardment did destroy all parked aircraft.

quote:

The USN bombardment of Japanese held atolls/islands showed that the bombardment did work but that it only hit surface (and destroying almost all visible things) while the Japanese soldiers were hiding underground.


That's not correct. The USN bombardments proved, repeatedly, that after the first couple of rounds and resultant smoke, debris, dust etc, all bets are off as to whether or not you will hit much, unless you are using centimetric radar-directed gunfire.

quote:

Since aircraft (and other equipment - like aircraft maintenance facilities) are all above ground at Midway (and unsheltered) there is every reason to believe that all exposed objects, aircraft and equipment would be destroyed/damaged.


There is not even the slightest reason to believe that all exposed objects would be destroyed or even damage. All available evidence contradicts your basic premise.

quote:

BTW, I know that you think otherwise but, again, we may never know...


"We may never know" is only a defensible position if you presume that none of the overwhelming evidence to the contrary matters. It's like saying "I know you think that satellite photographs demonstrate that the Earth is round, but we may never know whether or not that is true." Defending the indefensible makes no sense to me, and claiming that a naval bombardment has a certainty or even a high likelihood of shutting down an airbase is an indefensible claim. There is no evidence in support of the claim and much evidence against it.

_____________________________

Show me a fellow who rejects statistical analysis a priori and I'll show you a fellow who has no knowledge of statistics.

Didn't we have this conversation already?

(in reply to Apollo11)
Post #: 193
RE: Midway - 3/30/2004 8:16:15 PM   
byron13


Posts: 1589
Joined: 7/27/2001
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: mdiehl

I also had a chance to check some of my plane stats so your bombardment is cancelled. The SBDs strike radius was 475 miles for the SBD-3, and 435 for the TBD-1. (Here I have taken the published "standard range" and halved them for a strike radius). In nautical miles that's 413 miles for the SBD-3 and 378 for the TBD-1.



Not to jump into the middle of this, but Richard Bates of the Naval War College and upon whose report Morison relief upon heavily in his work, states the combat radius of the F4F to be less than 200 miles and the TBD to be less than 175 miles.

< Message edited by byron13 -- 3/30/2004 6:15:20 PM >

(in reply to mdiehl)
Post #: 194
RE: Midway - 3/30/2004 8:25:17 PM   
mdiehl

 

Posts: 5998
Joined: 10/21/2000
Status: offline
I think that's a theoretical combat radius that takes into account the assumption that all aircraft are launching from the same CV deck, the coordination of strike groups, and which takes into account that the launching base might move. When you look at the strikes launched by the USN at Japanese CVs in 1942 the operating premise seems to be an upper limit of 200 nm. But off the coast of New Guinea and in strikes against fixed targets such as Rendova IIRC the range was considerably greater. By the time of the Truk raids the USN was launching at targets 300 miles or more away.

I think you can count on Midway launching strikes out to greater ranges. The plane handling capacity was substantially greater.

If you look at the US Navy's history web site the Douglas TBD is given a combat (strike) radius of 324 nm. Again, that's for a CV launch.

< Message edited by mdiehl -- 3/30/2004 6:27:06 PM >


_____________________________

Show me a fellow who rejects statistical analysis a priori and I'll show you a fellow who has no knowledge of statistics.

Didn't we have this conversation already?

(in reply to byron13)
Post #: 195
RE: Midway - 3/30/2004 8:39:30 PM   
mogami


Posts: 12789
Joined: 8/23/2000
From: You can't get here from there
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: mdiehl

I also had a chance to check some of my plane stats so your bombardment is cancelled. The SBDs strike radius was 475 miles for the SBD-3, and 435 for the TBD-1. (Here I have taken the published "standard range" and halved them for a strike radius). In nautical miles that's 413 miles for the SBD-3 and 378 for the TBD-1.

Since you are making no effort to suppress Midway we can assume that your TF has been spotted. You will have to endure at least one daylight air strike from Midway before you can get close enough to do anything about the base, and you may have to endure a daylight strike from USN CVs as well. Whatever lives can branch off a TF for your high speed run-in. As the US one way to foul that plan is to use harassing night torpedo attacks. I'd have PBYs conducting these. All they have to do is get you to change course and speed maybe twice and your bombardment TF then must arrive at Midway island after the morning strike is launched. Then the bomardment TF dies because there are no CVs covering it and you have already stipulated that your Japanese CVs are purpose dedicated to dealing with the USN CVs. Bottom line is that your bomardment probably does not happen, and you spend at least two days in range of Midway and the USN without necessarily knowing where the USN CVs are located.



Hi, OK Mdiehl I think you are cracking up now. If the USN could strike out to 400 miles why would they put the CV so close to Midway? The TBD had a strike range of around 150 miles with it's torpedo. The SBD around 200 miles.
I understand a person defending their point of view but this is stretching things a bit.
VT-8 left a crewman behind during the Midway battle to help stretch the range (the IJN was beyond normal range) How far apart were they? around 175 miles?

I think you need to halve your strike range. 350 miles works assuming they are taking off on one way missions. (In fact 35 of the 41 TBD did make one way missions at Midway but they didn't intend on that.)

Midway had 6 TBF of VT 8 and all but 1 of these were lost as well.

< Message edited by Mogami -- 3/30/2004 1:41:17 PM >


_____________________________






I'm not retreating, I'm attacking in a different direction!

(in reply to mdiehl)
Post #: 196
RE: Midway - 3/30/2004 8:45:06 PM   
Mr.Frag


Posts: 13410
Joined: 12/18/2002
From: Purgatory
Status: offline
Strikes against fixed targets have the ability to preplan everything. Strikes against moving targets need to stay together in a much tighter package as they do not have the ability to pre-plan everything to the n'th degree.

One also has to factor into the ranges that CV's had to turn into the wind for both takeoffs and landings and steam at high speeds for the duration, then potentially alter course to steam in the direction of the strike to effectively reduce the range the aircraft had to fly on the return trip.

It makes for quite a technical exercise in planning all based on the presumption that the target was spotted steaming at speed X on a heading of Y. (obviously this could have changed between the time the search plane broke contact and the attack package shows up)

Now, to further complicate this. we are generally talking about 3 completely different types of aircrafts, all with different speeds and ranges. It is rather pointless for your TBM & SB2C's to show up over the target when your F6F's ran out of fuel a few hexes ago.

This is never more apparent then during the early years. It is about the only thing that Japan has going for her.

(in reply to mdiehl)
Post #: 197
RE: Midway - 3/30/2004 8:55:17 PM   
mdiehl

 

Posts: 5998
Joined: 10/21/2000
Status: offline
quote:

Hi, OK Mdiehl I think you are cracking up now. If the USN could strike out to 400 miles why would they put the CV so close to Midway? The TBD had a strike range of around 150 miles with it's torpedo. The SBD around 200 miles.


For the same reason that the IJN also limited strikes against mobile ships to ranges less than 200 nm. As Frag ablely pointed out above, it's one thing to plan a strike against a fixed target, another against a mobile target, and yet another when the launching base and the target are both mobile. Since neither combatant had much experience in mobile warfare at sea, both used operational strike radii on the order of 200 nm, despite the fact that the maximum strike radius for most of the a/c used were greater.

Now, if you fix the launching base you simplify the problem somewhat. You can launch more aircraft per unit of time than a CV, so you lose less air time to "forming up," and you always know the position of your home base so you can afford to go the few extra miles without using up your margin of seafety in fuel.

A TBD strike out to 330 nm is no more implausible than a huge Japanese TF steaming at 30 knots for 10-12 hours.

_____________________________

Show me a fellow who rejects statistical analysis a priori and I'll show you a fellow who has no knowledge of statistics.

Didn't we have this conversation already?

(in reply to Mr.Frag)
Post #: 198
US Navy assement of Coral Sea & Midway - 3/30/2004 8:55:27 PM   
mogami


Posts: 12789
Joined: 8/23/2000
From: You can't get here from there
Status: offline
Hi, After these battles the US Navy assement was: "While our pilots are better then the Japanese the F4F is inferiour to te A6M2"
The F4F does not carry enough ammo to shoot down the hard to hit A6M2
(they recommend removing 2 MG to allow more ammo)
The TBD is severaly limited by range and they ask for the TBF to replace them (This was quickly done but the TBF increase in range was only good enough to allow it to accompy SBD to 200 miles. The TBM replaced the SBD and all CV carried a majority of TBM.)

Did the USN ever launch a strike against IJN CV at greater then 200 miles prior to 1944?

_____________________________






I'm not retreating, I'm attacking in a different direction!

(in reply to Mr.Frag)
Post #: 199
RE: Midway - 3/30/2004 8:57:28 PM   
mogami


Posts: 12789
Joined: 8/23/2000
From: You can't get here from there
Status: offline
Hi, The IJN does not need to steam at 30knts for 10 hours. I think 25knts for 6 hours does the trick. (Followed by a high speed run of 1 or 2 hours)(that would be between 180-210 miles. If begun shortly before dark there is enough time to bombard before daylight)
The TBD can only go on a strike over 175 miles if it leaves a crewman behind and does not intend on returning to the base it launched from.

< Message edited by Mogami -- 3/30/2004 1:56:20 PM >


_____________________________






I'm not retreating, I'm attacking in a different direction!

(in reply to mdiehl)
Post #: 200
RE: US Navy assement of Coral Sea & Midway - 3/30/2004 8:57:38 PM   
mdiehl

 

Posts: 5998
Joined: 10/21/2000
Status: offline
quote:

"While our pilots are better then the Japanese the F4F is inferiour to te A6M2"


Not exactly correct. That was not the USN assessment. The USN assessment was "We're killing 3 enemy fighters for each one fighter that we lose, and these results are just unacceptable. We should be able to do much better, here are some ideas...."

_____________________________

Show me a fellow who rejects statistical analysis a priori and I'll show you a fellow who has no knowledge of statistics.

Didn't we have this conversation already?

(in reply to mogami)
Post #: 201
RE: US Navy assement of Coral Sea & Midway - 3/30/2004 8:59:47 PM   
mdiehl

 

Posts: 5998
Joined: 10/21/2000
Status: offline
quote:

The TBD can only go on a strike over 175 miles if it leaves a crewman behind and does not intend on returning to the base it launched from.


You are in error. The TBD can hit the TF 334 nm away if the commander wishes to maximise the risk of operational loss. Either way, the Japanese CVs have to deal with Midway, which leads you right back into the historical situation. If the CVs have to deal with Midway's a/c, they're vulnerable to the USN CV's strikes.

_____________________________

Show me a fellow who rejects statistical analysis a priori and I'll show you a fellow who has no knowledge of statistics.

Didn't we have this conversation already?

(in reply to mdiehl)
Post #: 202
RE: US Navy assement of Coral Sea & Midway - 3/30/2004 9:02:45 PM   
mogami


Posts: 12789
Joined: 8/23/2000
From: You can't get here from there
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: mdiehl

quote:

"While our pilots are better then the Japanese the F4F is inferiour to te A6M2"


Not exactly correct. That was not the USN assessment. The USN assessment was "We're killing 3 enemy fighters for each one fighter that we lose, and these results are just unacceptable. We should be able to do much better, here are some ideas...."



Hi, The complete quote from Nimitz's AAR was

74. Our F4F-4 is markedly inferior to the Japanese Zero fighter in speed, maneuverability, and climb. These characteristics must be improved, but not at the cost of reducing the present overall superiority that in the Battle of Midway enabled our carrier fighter squadrons to shoot down about 3 Zero fighters for each of our own lost. However much this superiority may exist in our splendid pilots, part at least rests in the armor, armament and leak proof tanks of our planes.

_____________________________






I'm not retreating, I'm attacking in a different direction!

(in reply to mdiehl)
Post #: 203
RE: US Navy assement of Coral Sea & Midway - 3/30/2004 9:04:05 PM   
mogami


Posts: 12789
Joined: 8/23/2000
From: You can't get here from there
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: mdiehl

quote:

The TBD can only go on a strike over 175 miles if it leaves a crewman behind and does not intend on returning to the base it launched from.


You are in error. The TBD can hit the TF 334 nm away if the commander wishes to maximise the risk of operational loss. Either way, the Japanese CVs have to deal with Midway, which leads you right back into the historical situation. If the CVs have to deal with Midway's a/c, they're vulnerable to the USN CV's strikes.



Hi, Midway did launch strikes against the IJN CV. The result was Midway lost all it's strike aircraft and did no damage. I'd say the Japanese worried too much about Midway and not enough about enemy CV.

< Message edited by Mogami -- 3/30/2004 2:02:03 PM >


_____________________________






I'm not retreating, I'm attacking in a different direction!

(in reply to mdiehl)
Post #: 204
RE: US Navy assement of Coral Sea & Midway - 3/30/2004 9:08:00 PM   
Mr.Frag


Posts: 13410
Joined: 12/18/2002
From: Purgatory
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: mdiehl

quote:

The TBD can only go on a strike over 175 miles if it leaves a crewman behind and does not intend on returning to the base it launched from.


You are in error. The TBD can hit the TF 334 nm away if the commander wishes to maximise the risk of operational loss. Either way, the Japanese CVs have to deal with Midway, which leads you right back into the historical situation. If the CVs have to deal with Midway's a/c, they're vulnerable to the USN CV's strikes.


I'd really question that a little, what are you doing? Removing both the Torpedo AND the gunner?

(in reply to mdiehl)
Post #: 205
RE: US Navy assement of Coral Sea & Midway - 3/30/2004 9:11:49 PM   
mogami


Posts: 12789
Joined: 8/23/2000
From: You can't get here from there
Status: offline
Hi, And flying a kamikaze strike

_____________________________






I'm not retreating, I'm attacking in a different direction!

(in reply to Mr.Frag)
Post #: 206
RE: US Navy assement of Coral Sea & Midway - 3/30/2004 9:15:46 PM   
byron13


Posts: 1589
Joined: 7/27/2001
Status: offline
Gosh, this is fun. I could watch this thread all day. Better than anything on tv.

(in reply to mogami)
Post #: 207
RE: US Navy assement of Coral Sea & Midway - 3/30/2004 9:18:33 PM   
mdiehl

 

Posts: 5998
Joined: 10/21/2000
Status: offline
Mo, you can't assume that a Midway strike will automatically be defeated because you can't know in advance what is going to be there. That is why, at the time, it was so important to the Japanese op planners to suppress Midway as a functional base, and why they did not dink around with wanker ideas like "maybe if we're lucky a fast bombardment force will run the gauntlet undetected and wipe the face of the atoll down to a cm-tall stubble." It makes about as much sense, as an operational plan, as counting on a volcano to erupt at just the right moment and resolve all your worries for you.

If you guys want to b1tch about the 334 nm strike radius for the TBD b1tch to the naval historian, not to me. There are hundreds of sources that stipulate that the loaded range (I'm forced to assume that that's the one-way range) of a TBD was in excess of 900 statute miles (782nm). These are clearly maximum one-way ranges of a/c with operational load outs. The USN History web site (you know, the one maintained by the U.S. Navy) gives the TBD-1 a range of 1080 nm. A maximum range, IMO, but doable, and without your made up caveats about missing personnel or armament.

< Message edited by mdiehl -- 3/30/2004 7:28:22 PM >


_____________________________

Show me a fellow who rejects statistical analysis a priori and I'll show you a fellow who has no knowledge of statistics.

Didn't we have this conversation already?

(in reply to mogami)
Post #: 208
RE: US Navy assement of Coral Sea & Midway - 3/30/2004 9:27:35 PM   
mdiehl

 

Posts: 5998
Joined: 10/21/2000
Status: offline
Laugh it up all you want, fuzzballs. Here's the straight dope from the U.S. Navy:

http://www.history.navy.mil/download/app1-3.pdf

Now read, very carefully, the specs on the right hand side of the page. Observe that it says "Maximum Range: 1080 statute miles." The F4F wildcat is given a "combat radius of 324 nautical miles." There are numerous independent printed and web site sources that give similar figures, and NO current sources that limit the strike ranges to less than 200 nm.

Now kindly, say "Doh," print out 400 copies of the document, bind them into a stack and hit yourself in the head with it twenty times, each time repeating "I should not rely on just one source."

< Message edited by mdiehl -- 3/30/2004 7:29:29 PM >


_____________________________

Show me a fellow who rejects statistical analysis a priori and I'll show you a fellow who has no knowledge of statistics.

Didn't we have this conversation already?

(in reply to mdiehl)
Post #: 209
RE: US Navy assement of Coral Sea & Midway - 3/30/2004 9:53:02 PM   
mogami


Posts: 12789
Joined: 8/23/2000
From: You can't get here from there
Status: offline
Hi, Are you taking into account the need for strikes to form up or are you simply sending a stream of aircraft towards the enemy? I think the TBD was listed as having a range of 700 miles as a level bomber. I can't find the altitude or speed it needed to use to attain this distance. (1,000 lb bomb load) The torpedo range was considerably less. Also they may be factoring in the return range being less then the attack range. ( The CV could shorten the return range by around 50-75 miles if they do not have to recover other aircraft and steam full speed in the direction the strike will return. ) Of course a land base cannot do this.
The reason this is important and contrasts the higher range you report is the fact that USN CV TF commanders appear to have always tries to be less then 200 miles from the enemy CV before launching strikes.

Combat radius still seems to me to be the distance there and back not how far out. There is no mention of how long a F4F 150 miles from base can remain over target. Is this with external tanks?
A combat radius of 324 miles could mean a F4F flying combat air patrol 6 miles from a CV can make around 54 circles before needing to land. But if it went out 324 miles one way it would not be coming back. (648 miles)

Where did all these legends of Japanese aircraft having greater range come from?
The Japanese launched their strike against PH at around 279 miles.

_____________________________






I'm not retreating, I'm attacking in a different direction!

(in reply to mdiehl)
Post #: 210
Page:   <<   < prev  5 6 [7] 8 9   next >   >>
All Forums >> [Current Games From Matrix.] >> [World War II] >> War In The Pacific - Struggle Against Japan 1941 - 1945 >> RE: Midway Page: <<   < prev  5 6 [7] 8 9   next >   >>
Jump to:





New Messages No New Messages
Hot Topic w/ New Messages Hot Topic w/o New Messages
Locked w/ New Messages Locked w/o New Messages
 Post New Thread
 Reply to Message
 Post New Poll
 Submit Vote
 Delete My Own Post
 Delete My Own Thread
 Rate Posts


Forum Software © ASPPlayground.NET Advanced Edition 2.4.5 ANSI

1.047