Ranger-75
Posts: 610
Joined: 6/29/2001 From: Giant sand box Status: offline
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Regarding the "miracle at midway": In a previous thread I outlined how the Japanese violated 8 out of the 9 Principles of War, while at the same time the US paid special attention to several of these same principles, which is why The Japanese got their a$$ handed to them by the USN.
Savo Is: The Japanese admiral got cold feet, just like Admiral Pye in early Dec 1941 with Wake Is. Here, it was the USN who violated too many Principles of War.
On a "Japanese Victory": Admrial Yammomoto said (and this is often mis quoted and misunderstood) that the only way the Japanese would be able to win a war that she started with the US was to dictate peace terms in the White House. A lot of folks seem to take this as Yammamoto's thinking that he could actually defeat the US, but what he was really saying was that if you want to take the US on, you had better be prepared to fight it out right to their doorstep, because that's the only way you are going to defeat them.
About US resolve (WWII vs. Vietnam): These 2 eras could not be further apart. on the one hand, there was a nation technically at peace, savagely attqcked without a declaration of war, causing massive damage and loss of life. Even if Midway (or a similar battle) had gone badly, the US would not have given up, "germany first" would have changed to "germany as soon as we beat the Japanese Devils back into the stone age" The US and British CCS had several global contingency plans that they constantly updated in the event of a serious and unexpected turn of events (on either side). They would have reacted appropriately, but there was no question of throwing in the towel.
The only way to acheive a "victory" as the Japanese, should be by racking up enough "victory points" to make it clear who the better player is. (I personally like grinding the Japanese units into dust.)
On the other hand, there was a nation tired from Korea, with an ambigious "incident" used as a pretext to support a government that wasn't even a real democracy. We weren't attacked, it was as if the government was trying to pull the country into the conflict.
On AIs: I used to program quite some time ago (I also programmed Fortran IV on a CDC Cyber 70 or something) It's tough programming an AI especially for something as complex as PACWAR or WITP. Its even harder to account for "stupid human tricks" like assualting Los Angeles (to destroy the factories there, like LA really had that many factories and like the west coast really had that many shipyards, the east coast had about 10 times the capacity of the west coast), or sending a TF with NO AIR SUPPORT to invade Hawaii, because the AI has all the carriers in Australia, or invading Ceylon, or invading India by the coast, or even invading Australia. The Japanese Army as, ineptly led as it was would not even consider any of these items EVER. They had no troops to spare and didn't want to get caught in another land campaign. Thier primary objective was to "settle the 'China indident'", They had 6 years to do that without the additional burden of being at war with the US/UK. After they started the war, the Army would be even more strained. We have the advantage of hindsight, which they didn't have, but one must also remember that the high command of the Japanese Army was bent on wwar and was living in a fantasy world for some time.
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Still playing PacWar (but no so much anymore)...
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