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XCom -> RE: Reliever's Appearances way too high! (12/3/2006 6:51:14 AM)
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Okay here is what I saw when I ran this extended test. Remember that this was on a 12 team fictional league with 60 man rosters.
First off let's look at how overall CGs varied over the first 10 seasons
2006: 370
2007: 393
2008: 410
2009: 380
2010: 430
2011: 442
2012: 461
2013: 483
2014: 502
2015: 495
As you can see there is a steady trend upward again as those original young players develop and become the top starters. There is about a 20% increase in CGs from the first few seasons to seasons 8-10. After that point the CG numbers seem to stabilize with overall results +/- 10% from the 2015 result over the next 15 seasons. This trend in the first 10 seasons has to mean less innings pitched in relief in general. Now let's look at some reliever trends.
Here are both the highest number of appearances and the highest number of innings by a reliever with less than 3 starts for the first ten seasons.
2006: 70 G, 169.1 IP
2007: 60 G, 158 IP (2 starts)
2008: 59 G, 152.1 IP
2009: 66 G, 172.1 IP (1 start)
2010: 64 G, 190.1 IP
2011: 64 G, 139.1 IP (1 start)
2012: 70 G, 176.1 IP
2013: 59 G, 171.2 IP
2014: 64 G, 174.1 IP
2015: 61 G, 136.1 IP
I can't really take anything away from this data. Even with the increasing trend in CGs, the results for the most worked relievers did not really trend down. It looks to me like I am right back where I started with several relievers each year being eligible for the ERA title. After 2015 the numbers seemed to be a little better but still seeing a reliever hit 160+ IP once in a while.
Not sure where to go from here on this one. Just might have to be one thing we have to accept and move on. [8D]
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