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Frozen Stiffer -> RE: Fictional League Draft (11/6/2007 2:33:05 AM)
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1of9,
I'll assume that their ratings dropped, since you seemed to suggest that but you never said it actually happened. I've seen ratings drop one year and climb the next. Granted, I've rarely ever seen a 1-year change greater than +22 or worse than -20 or so. Just because ratings may be high, even with a high potential, there's never any guarantee where anything will go. For example, some of your younger guys may be maturing sooner, some may be maturing later.
Shaun had said that on average, he has arranged for players to "peak" at roughly 28 years of age. However, this is not a static figure. Some players may peak sooner, some later. I could not list the number of players that were MONSTERS in the minors, then turned into little purring kitties in the majors the next year, and somehow, in the years to come, never quite developed that roar I expected to hear.
I once remember this fictional pitcher I had, Johnny Stahl. I was stocked deep with pitching and needed some fielding help, so I traded him off. I had kept him in the minors for 3-4 years, since I had this feeling in my gut that he just wasn't ready. Well, the team I traded him to put him in the majors right away; he was their #1 or #2 starter. To be truthful, he had a great first year, going 14-6 or something, with a sub 4.00 ERA. I was just ABOUT to feel like a goober that missed his opportunity with a phenom hurler, when the next year he got slammed. He never had a winning season after that and never even won 10 games again. He lasted 3 more years before he was sent to the minors and released the year after that. Next end-of-season had him retiring.
It just goes to show that Puresim is a wonderful thing a beauty in complexity that changes from minute to minute like New England weather.
[:)]
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