quote:

ORIGINAL: Tiornu
By the time of Pearl Harbor, all Japanese destroyers from Hatsuharu on had Long Lances. None of the Special Type units were modifed for them until summer 1943.

quote:

ORIGINAL: JWE

quote:

ORIGINAL: Tiornu
By the time of Pearl Harbor, all Japanese destroyers from Hatsuharu on had Long Lances. None of the Special Type units were modifed for them until summer 1943.

Uh oh. We have everything from Mutsuki on with 61cm Type 93s. Can't see anywhere that Fubukis had anything else. Can you find a reference, or is our OOB screwed?

quote:

ORIGINAL: JWE

quote:

ORIGINAL: Tiornu
By the time of Pearl Harbor, all Japanese destroyers from Hatsuharu on had Long Lances. None of the Special Type units were modifed for them until summer 1943.

Uh oh. We have everything from Mutsuki on with 61cm Type 93s. Can't see anywhere that Fubukis had anything else. Can you find a reference, or is our OOB screwed?

quote:

ORIGINAL: Terminus

I'd certainly like to see that as well, since it goes against everything else out there...

Oh, and the "Special" type were Kagero and Yugumo...

quote:

ORIGINAL: Tiornu

The "Special Type" destroyers were the Fubukis and Akatsukis. they carried the Type 8 until around 1939 then switched to Type 90. The only ones to receive Long Lances were Akebono, Yugiri, Uranami, Ushio, Usugumo, and Hibiki at various times between Aug 1943 and Sep 1944. There has been some debate, but it seems that all Shiratsuyus and Hatsuharus were upgraded before Pearl Harbor. I believe the Asashios were the first to enter service complete with Long Lances.

quote:

ORIGINAL: Terminus

Hmm, I guess the Fubukis were AKA "Special"... I thought it was Kagero/Yugumo.

quote:

ORIGINAL: witpqs

Disagree - I didn't totally pull numbers out of my hat. I did use really rough round numbers, but you can refine them as you like (search for where people have already done that).

The meteorite that hit around the Yucatan peninsula about 60,000,000+ years ago stands a huge chance of wiping out all humans alive if a similar one hit tomorrow. Apparently the frequency of big ones like that is roughly agreed upon by those who study such things. There were other big ones (but somewhat smaller) later than if you wish to include them. Last estimate for world population I heard was 6.7 billion. Don't remember the world average life span estimate so I did guess there.

As far as new technologies go, my understanding is that in the near future (dozens of years) we have nothing that could deploy in time to stop a comet (which is what we are talking about) because we would only know about the danger with at most a few months to spare.

I am just pointing out that the numbers surrounding rare+big events are hard to relate to for us humans and are usually surprising to us.

I am NOT advocating worry, doom, or any such thing and certainly do not advocate making up numbers. What are the chances of nuclear war? Any answer would be a made up number. I never did believe all those doomsayers in the early 80's who were announcing how close we were to nuclear annihilation. That was pure hokum.

I only pulled the meteor/comet number in because it is both a rare and big event and could therefore serve as a good illustration - no other reason.

[:)]

quote:

ORIGINAL: rtrapasso

quote:

ORIGINAL: witpqs

Disagree - I didn't totally pull numbers out of my hat. I did use really rough round numbers, but you can refine them as you like (search for where people have already done that).

The meteorite that hit around the Yucatan peninsula about 60,000,000+ years ago stands a huge chance of wiping out all humans alive if a similar one hit tomorrow. Apparently the frequency of big ones like that is roughly agreed upon by those who study such things. There were other big ones (but somewhat smaller) later than if you wish to include them. Last estimate for world population I heard was 6.7 billion. Don't remember the world average life span estimate so I did guess there.

As far as new technologies go, my understanding is that in the near future (dozens of years) we have nothing that could deploy in time to stop a comet (which is what we are talking about) because we would only know about the danger with at most a few months to spare.

I am just pointing out that the numbers surrounding rare+big events are hard to relate to for us humans and are usually surprising to us.

I am NOT advocating worry, doom, or any such thing and certainly do not advocate making up numbers. What are the chances of nuclear war? Any answer would be a made up number. I never did believe all those doomsayers in the early 80's who were announcing how close we were to nuclear annihilation. That was pure hokum.

I only pulled the meteor/comet number in because it is both a rare and big event and could therefore serve as a good illustration - no other reason.

[:)]

Sorry, i saw this and couldn't resist dusting off this discussion: [:D]

[image]local://upfiles/7543/8B6156836D164926979F2014BEC20F01.jpg[/image]