John 3rd -> RE: Hot Waters around Cold Bay (7/20/2009 4:36:59 PM)
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ORIGINAL: Q-Ball quote:
ORIGINAL: Canoerebel If they want the game to end so that they can focus on AE, they'd most likely come up with a plan that would involve something akin to "drawing an inside straight" in poker. IE, a long shot that would get them back on track if, against all odds, it managed to succeed. How close are you guys to auto-victory now? I think you have a legit shot at it and your opponents might consider it an act of mercy if you do achieve it. With Bombay cracking and with the Allies making no progress anywhere else, they appear to be on the ropes. VPs right now are 33,906 to 7,848, or 4.32 to 1 Problem is, the ratio keeps going down, because in order to keep it over 4 to 1 we have to destroy 4 planes of theirs for every one of ours, 4 ships to 1, etc. Not easy. Without a major event, I think we will fall just short. I think any of these will rack up enough to put us over the top: 1. Capture Bombay: Surrender of about 100K UK troops 2. Capture Manila: Surrender of 35K or so US troops, plus deny 1200 pts to Allies for base 3. Sink USN CV's. That's alot of points. 4. Force surrender of 30K or so troops at Cold Bay Any of these would probably do. That's why I think if any of those happen, coupled with AE coming out, they would probably throw in the towel. Let us hit these thoughts: 1. Bombay is definitely cracking so there is a real possibility of taking it within the next 3 months. 2. Manila needs to be taken out. Brad--Do you have any weak Brigades in India--Burma that could be pulled and used to finish of the Philippines? As weak as those troops there are, I doubt whether it would take more then 1 or 2 small Brigades to induce the surrender. This is a freebie with NO RISK at the moment. 3. Have no idea as to whether they will fight or not. Cannot control THEIR actions but we can raise some Hell in the Gulf of Alaska and try to force it... 4. I say we try to finish them off at Cold Bay! Michael has a new Brigade coming from China and we have the Imperial Guards Brigade in the Aleutians. Those 2 Brigades would bring about 650 Assault Strength with them. Couple them to about 30,000 supply and I bet we can force the surrender. If we REALLY want to force it, I would also lift the 56th Inf Div and the Corps HQ from Umnak and add it to the Force to finish the Americans off quickly. So which of these can realistically happen prior to January 1, 1943? #1---Manila! Just will take moving the ships and picking up some Infantry for a quick end. Probably gain 3,000 VP just doing that. [sm=00000436.gif] #2---Cold Bay--Pull those four units, land them and their supply and CRUSH the American--Canadian troops! I'd wager on gaining 1,500-2,000 points in doing that. [sm=fighting0043.gif] #3---US CVs--If they come out to fight we will win. 12 Japanese CVs versus 4-5 American. The loss of even 2 US CVs will finish the game from a Naval perspective. [sm=comp16.gif] #4---Bombay--Even if we drop the Forts to ZERO can we take the hex? Don't know but it will fun to try and watch! [sm=sign0003.gif] My .02... [sm=character0267.gif]
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