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Bradley7735 -> RE: I just need to say this......... (5/15/2011 3:19:30 AM)
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quote:
ORIGINAL: dereck
One thing to remember is that with a torpedo with a dud rate of 80% it doesn't mean that:
out of 100 torpedoes fired 80 will be duds and 20 will hit, BUT
that each of the 100 torpedoes has an 80% chance of being a dud
Considering the above it would be possible to have streaks of hits and streaks of dud.
I made a post about this in another thread. I implied that the dud rate was double counting, in a way.
for example, assume you fire 10 torpedoes at a ship. Not all of them will actually strike the hull. at least half will miss ahead and astern. So, assume 5 hit. With an 80% dud rate, 4 will be duds and 1 will explode. In this example, you have an 'ineffective' rate of 90%. Assuming 5 will strike, out of 10 is pretty high. Another poster made the comment that war ships are sort of impractical to hunt in 42 and you should hunt merchants. He's definitely got a point.
If your target has the majority of torpedoes miss, then the actual hits will seem more likely to be duds. Shooting at a DD, you can probably expect 1 out of 10 shots to strike the hull. And, that 1 has an 80% dud rate. Shooting at an AK will have a greater chance of striking the hull. So, say 6 of 10 strike. Then you'll get 1 or 2 explosions every once in a while.
So, to back up the OP, he's seeing real close to 100% 'ineffective' torpedoes. That's counting misses and duds. Since he's hunting war ships, he's definitely over 90% ineffective torpedoes. It's probably 98% considering how hard it is to strike 30 knot ships.
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