LoBaron -> RE: Interesting Aricle In todays Boston Globe (8/8/2011 7:57:33 AM)
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ORIGINAL: Ryvan quote:
ORIGINAL: vettim89 Evaluating the various factions' mindsets at the end of the war is a complex undertaking. The impact of the USSR declaring war was probably felt more deeply in the IJA high command. The Sovs had long been the Army's biggest concern and perhaps the prospect of having to fight them as well as the US/GB/AUS/NZ forces was the proverbial straw that broke the camel's back. That said, my readings suggest that the A-bombs had a profound effect on Hirohito. So it might best be said that it was the combined effects of both events that led to the surrender. One has to wonder how things would have played out without the bombs. The Sovs were about to enter the war regardless. They were not about to pass up the oppportunity to put a significant part of NE Asia under its sphere of influence. Olympic was set to start in November. Japan was already starving. What would the effects of another three months of naval blockade plus aerial bombardment have been? It is possible there would not have been any Japanese cities to bomb by that point. How far would the Sovs have gotten in three months? All conjecture. This is just my opinion: the bombs saved innumerable lives. Even if they were not the prime factor for the surrender; they were a factor. By using them, at least hundreds of thousands of lives were saved and possibly millions considering how an invasion of the HI may have played out in the end I wouldn't ever argue against the decision to use the bombs. Even if I now say that they didn't turn out to be necessary, I'm in possession of facts that Truman simply didn't have. With the situation that was laid out before him, I think he made the correct choice. How far would the Soviets have gotten in three months? Pretty damn far. They were in North Korea within a few days. But I think we read too much into Stalin's intentions. Japan had already offered to give him for free anything he could gain by force. I honestly believe that what drove Stalin to invade was simply complete hatred for the Axis and all of her friends. This was the note that Commissar Molotoff gave to Ambassador Sato: -- “After the defeat and capitulation of Hitlerite Germany, Japan became the only great power that still stood for the continuation of the war. “The demand of the three powers, the United States, Great Britain and China, on July 26 for the unconditional surrender of the Japanese armed forces was rejected by Japan, and thus the proposal of the Japanese Government to the Soviet Union on mediation in the war in the Far East loses all basis. “Taking into consideration the refusal of Japan to capitulate, the Allies submitted to the Soviet Government a proposal to join the war against Japanese aggression and thus shorten the duration of the war, reduce the number of victims and facilitate the speedy restoration of universal peace. “Loyal to its Allied duty, the Soviet Government has accepted the proposals of the Allies and has joined in the declaration of the Allied powers of July 26. “The Soviet Government considers that this policy is the only means able to bring peace nearer, free the people from further sacrifice and suffering and give the Japanese people the possibility of avoiding the dangers and destruction suffered by Germany after her refusal to capitulate unconditionally. “In view of the above, the Soviet Government declares that from tomorrow, that is from Aug. 9, the Soviet Government will consider itself to be at war with Japan.” -- And here was what Emperor Hirohito told his most trusted advisor, Koichi Kido, when he heard the news: "The Soviet Union declared war against us, and entered into a state of war as of today. Because of this it is necessary to study and decide on the termination of the war." He said this before the meeting with his military staff, and before the second atomic bomb had been dropped. The use of the atomic bomb and the SU attack on the Kwantung Army were only the final strikes against an already beaten empire. It does not make sense to argue which of those actions "won the war", the answer will always be "none of them" or "both of them", depending on the interpretation of "win". My personal opinion is "none of them", the war was won on so many different levels, that to pick out the last single events and make them stand above other deciding factors is purely academical, and - with the advantage of 20/20 hindsight - wrong. The reasoning of the Japanese high command, which specific event should cause them to sue for peace, is equally irrelevant as the day Adolf Hitler finally admitted defeat and chose to commit suicide. Both decisions were made far too late from an objective point of view taking the global situation into account. A final opinion on the atomic bomb: guys I don´t understand the discussion here as well. We are talking about the final hours of six years of the cruellest war in human history. From a todays point of view it may be an atrocity, seen from the perspective of a world where close to every human being already lost a friend or family member to an event of war, it was just another couple of deaths.
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