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BletchleyGeek -> RE: Could I call this a "Not Bad" opening? (8/16/2011 2:32:06 PM)
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quote:
ORIGINAL: luciffer
I have studied hooper's thread, He use northwest front to guard luga line and northern front to guard leningrad itself, right? but in his thread, Axis drove past south of ilmen easily, which is lightly defended. Is that safe enough?
Your opponent will choose the route that seems the easier. Hooper perhaps overcommitted in the defense of the Luga, leaving open the indirect approach through Staraya Russa. In your game, I see that you have a very strong defense along the Staraya Russa - Demyansk axis, and an almost equivalent force - though a bit disorganized - covering the direct route to Leningrad. I think your opponent will go for the direct route: it's what seems "easier".
The above assumes your opponent won't choose to do some feint, so you shift your forces accordingly. To avoid dancing to the tune of your opponent, you need to keep reserves along the Volkhov River and west of Vishny Volochek, while keeping a reasonable force covering both the Luga and the southern shore of Lake Ilmen. As soon as you see where he's taking his panzers, you'll known what's the real thing.
However don't overcommit to Leningrad. I think that the - historical - reasons for the city to hold, had more to do with faulty appraisal of the situation by the German High Command than otherwise. I certainly need to read more about AGN 1941 campaign, though.
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