aspqrz02 -> RE: Let's Talk Optional Rules (11/14/2013 10:03:45 PM)
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Yes. I actually did read your post. Did you read mine? Where I actually said you were right ... but only to a point ... and then pointed out where the shortcomings in your logic were? The point is that the Germans were simply unable to produce as many aircraft as they wanted because, largely, of their shortage of steel, not because of a shortage of aluminium (though that probably contributed as well, just not as much). Things were that close to the bone. So, yes, aero-engines should be included. It's like arguments by people on the aforementioned newsgroups that surely the Kriegsmarine could have built more submarines if only they'd tried harder ... and then you have to point out, sadly, that submarines use diesel engines. And therefore compete with things like tanks and other heavy vehicles. Given that there was no slack in the way of resources, in this case iron and steel (which is the point), if you want more submarines then the resources have to be diverted from elsewhere ... so, do you want fewer tanks> I have pointed out that the Germans wanted to, but simply couldn't, produce a whole lot of vital things during WW2 because of this overall shortage of iron and steel ... they couldn't produce enough RR tanker cars to move all the POL they produced themselves (and, believe me, they wanted to), let alone expand their capacity to move oil from the Caucasus; they wanted to expand their RR network into Russia more effectively, but couldn't produce enough maintenance, fueling and signalling equipment, and not enough extra Locos and Rolling stock, even though they desperately needed to; they wanted to produce more warships, including submarines, but didn't have the resources to do it ... in this case, both factories and steel ... unless they stripped it from elsewhere; they tried to produce enough aero engines, and set up a huge plant to do so, but failed ... both because the plant was unsuccessful as well as because they didn't have the iron and steel to divert, even though the Luftwaffe got first choice of whatever resources were available; they wanted to expand their own munitions and war related manufacturing plants much more than they did, but found that they couldn't ... because the raw materials, largely iron and steel, were not available in the quantities available. Sure, aero engines may take, relatively, less iron and steel than, say, a Tank, or Sub, or Truck, but the problem was that the Germans had a limited amount of iron and steel available that was suitable, lost access to most of it (as it was imported) when the war broke out, and never managed to expand access elsewhere enough to make a difference ... so, they actually butted heads against the brick wall (so to speak) of 'no more iron and steel' and had to make choices. Which means, if you want more tanks, you have to take the iron and steel from somewhere else (and not from the Kriegsmarine, which got damn all, relatively speaking ... the slack just isn't there) ... ditto more aeroplanes or more submarines. The Allies, on the other hand, never reached the limit of their resources, except, arguably, manpower - and even there they did better than the Germans because they more readily (for example) employed women in non-traditional roles in massive numbers whereas the Nazis had to be dragged kicking and screaming into doing a tenth as much, because of their 'Kinder, Kuche, Kirche' policies - they were certainly never short of iron and steel. For that matter, Germany was short of lots of other raw materials, shortages that they had no realistic way of making up ... tungsten, for example. Makes the best AP penetrators. Germans had to stop producing them in late 1942 because their entire stocks of tungsten were bought pre-war from sources that were no longer available ... and the remaining tungsten was needed for other, more important, things, like high speed precision machine tools ... the very tools needed to make, for example, aero engines efficiently. And, yes, they were short of aluminium as well. A lot of the supposed 'production' of aircraft in the last 18 months of the war, after Speer took over, was actually false accounting by Speer and his staff ... a lot of 'production' counted as 'new' was actually remanufacturing and repairing of shot down or otherwise destroyed airframes and engines ... no one knows for sure how much, except that the percentage was very very high. Likewise, a lot of the later war production figures for aircraft, generally included without comment in the overall German totals, were a carefully constructed lie ... Speer boosted monthly production numbers by including numbers from the last week of the previous month and the next week of the following month, then including them (double counting, in effect) all over again the next month. Or note the fact that the last years of the war saw the German soldiers, sailors and airmen being clothed in uniforms made out of nettles ... for the simple reason that sources of other fabrics were overstretched. I could go on and on. The point being, the Germans faced absolute hard and, in many cases, unchangeable, limits as to how much they could produce of a whole range of things because they simply didn't have the access to the resources needed to increase those limits. All they could do was shuffle things around ... like rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic, in a way. Under the circumstances, could the Germans have won WW2? A valid question. The German planners themselves didn't think so. Or, to be more accurate, they didn't think they could win a war like WW1 ... or even one that proved to be significantly different, as evidenced by the Polish and Western European campaigns ... with a proviso. They believed, and Hitler told them they could, win a short, sharp, war ... which is what the Polish and Western European campaigns were. In effect, what Hitler and the Nazis believed was that they could build up their limited resources, expend them all on a short, sharp, campaign, then rest, rinse and repeat. And it worked ... up until Barbarossa. So, it's not actually impossible to win as the Germans, you just need to do better at the Blitz than they actually did. This minimises the resource shortage problems. However, it also assumes you won't be fighting a two front war, supporting a feckless and incompetent Italian ally, facing a UK that simply won't be logical and make peace, and then, when the Japs (assuming they do) attack the US, face off against the US as well ... then you're in a whole world of hurt because you simply cannot compete in an extended world war. But it can be done. I'd rate it as a very low order probability, except against incompetent or inexperienced Allied players, but, hey, it's not impossible! Phil
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