Klydon -> RE: A musical global war AAR... (5/20/2014 8:18:32 PM)
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I think the Allies have two options with the Japanese to look at. One issue is that limited peace is not possible with the current game setup, so I am not sure how you would implement that to a point. First, Russia has sort of accomplished something even without declaring war. One option is Russia does decide to come in and invade, etc. The Euro Axis are going to be busy in 1940 with the Spanish campaign. That doesn't preclude a 1941 Barbarossa, but with Spain to garrison and possible action against the Suez, the Germans may not have as big of a land force to use against Russia. In addition, the Germans may also decide to go for the UK given the potential naval situation with all those French capital ships under Axis control. The Axis may tip their hand on that if they start looking to do a lot of repairs, but that is down the road. If this is the case, it is even more important for the Russians "to do something" other than sit on their hands. China stays in the war the best it can at this point. The second option is not to have the Russians invade and for the Chinese to surrender, trapping many Japanese units deep in China and with Japan stuck only able to use combined actions, it will be difficult for them to get into position to start the Pacific war. On top of that, many Japanese units would come off the map as well. (Granted, some would come back on when Japan again declared war). In Europe, since the Italians are transporting German units, I think the CW can initiate action against the Italian fleet, even without being at war with them, but I am unclear about that. As the CW, the issue is how much will the US detest the declaration of war against the Italians? The Allies want the US in the war sooner than later of course. If the CW can bring the kitchen sink against the Italian fleet to the point where they will do some serious damage, especially against the transports, then I think it would be worth the declaration of war. Sufficient damage against the Italian fleet may make it harder for the Axis to consider carrying off a 1941 Sea Lion. Air will play a bigger role in that, but if the Italian fleet is hurt and their transports take a beating, that can only make things easier for the CW for the immediate future. The issue is the risk of a wiff on searches during the surprise turn. Should the CW declare war and then wiff on engaging the Italian fleet, that would be quite bad for the Allies. Potential US hits without getting anything in return.
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