RE: Nov 10th: Chungking assaulted (Full Version)

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Lowpe -> RE: Nov 10th: Chungking assaulted (12/7/2015 12:12:05 PM)

Should be very interesting to watch the outcome.

How big are your runways at Ledo?




Jorge_Stanbury -> RE: Nov 10th: Chungking assaulted (12/7/2015 2:16:51 PM)

Ledo is at 3.73 level airfield

I liberated it a month or so ago, I will see if I can send some additional engineer LCUs to speed up its building.
My priority was Chittagong as I was expecting a heavy fighting over Magwe that thanksfully was not needed




poodlebrain -> RE: Nov 10th: Chungking assaulted (12/7/2015 2:24:21 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Jorge_Stanbury

I agree with JocMeister, but because I have really nothing to lose, other than maybe a few more weeks of Chungking ownership. I just set a shock attack

Woo hoo. I was hoping you would, but I didn't feel I had the investment in your AAR to make the recommendation. Good luck.

I'm too lazy to do the math, but what will be the supply cost to the Japanese if you are successful in destroying numerous squads compared to just absorbing multiple attacks? Also, how much time will it buy you as the Japanese will have to withdraw to well supplied bases in order to rebuild any losses they suffer?




Lowpe -> RE: Nov 10th: Chungking assaulted (12/7/2015 2:36:10 PM)

I would be flying in as much supplies as I could, even diverting heavy bombers to that duty. I would be looking to max Ledo out, asap.

Why? Supplies is what China needs, and supplies sent to Chungking are going to hurt the Japanese. Chungking is fairly hard to stop transports to, and is a huge VP gain for Japan as well as on the tactical side it frees up large amounts of troops.

Of course, if you haven't prepared for it with trained pilots, big airbases, plentiful supply and aviation support, you probably have two months before Chungking can fall depending upon the results of this shock attack.

[sm=00000613.gif]








Jorge_Stanbury -> RE: Nov 10th: Chungking assaulted (12/7/2015 3:10:26 PM)

The problem is I cannot undo now the cummulative effects of an India invasion early on (thanksfully already taken care of) plus my total inneptitude and lack of interest in the Chinese theater.

We are playing DBB-C with extended map and overstack penalty. I originally thought that the overstack was going to help me in China, instead each Chinese defeat/ withdrawal would invariably meant that more and more troops got inside an overstacked base, with supply consumption going up at alarming rates. I think a good land player that carefully played China could had done a much better job. I didn't, I always hated the few minutes I devoted to China on every turn, and yes it was always minutes, the turn could take me 5 hours, but I still always devoted just a few minuted to China.

So from early 42 until a few months ago most of India was in Japanese hands. So for at least 6 months there was no supply at all coming to China. Ledo was only recently started to get built. Also important to mention that up to recently my air transport focus was on moving supply from Calcutta to Bangladesh.

So I will certainly start "the hump" very soon, most likely once Ledo reaches level 4. Most of the planes are already in Calcutta training, so it can start quickly.

That being said, I am not too confident on turning the tide here


Supply nightmare: Kunming at 3,454 Changsa at 180 Chungking at 420 all others below 100
[image]local://upfiles/41287/A5F0335BB3EE4893AE37A60BA794BB78.jpg[/image]




Jorge_Stanbury -> RE: Nov 10th: Chungking assaulted (12/7/2015 3:17:05 PM)

more horror...

Chungking is completely surrounded, so no supply will come in or out

unless my shock attack succeeds [:D]

[image]local://upfiles/41287/7FB0F3CA04FC417BBA920A1C21634228.jpg[/image]




jwolf -> RE: Nov 10th: Chungking assaulted (12/7/2015 3:20:16 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Jorge_Stanbury

Supply nightmare: Kunming at 3,454 Changsa at 180 Chungking at 420 all others below 100



With so little supply at Chungking, can you even make an attack there? I would worry that an attack, if ordered, will turn into a half-hearted affair with only a few units actually attacking, you burn up all your supply and accomplish little or nothing against the enemy even if they already have massive disruption.

Here's to hoping against hope that it will be better than that.




Jorge_Stanbury -> RE: Nov 10th: Chungking assaulted (12/7/2015 3:29:04 PM)

Supply is already burnt, I am actually surprised it is at 420, before it was much less, probably just a matter of less mouths to feed after yesterdays' slaughter

Once you are significantly overstacked, trying to save supply is impossible, it will just get burned at horrible rates. That is the case with Chungking. It doesn't help that every destroyed LCU comes to this base.

So launching the attack will not make a huge difference, I am hoping lots of Chinese LCUs will be destroyed so they will come back a little fresher in 3 weeks.
I believe assault will go at 25% efficiency... but 25% of a big mob is still a force to recon. We will see how bad this ends [:'(]




Lowpe -> RE: Nov 10th: Chungking assaulted (12/7/2015 3:44:36 PM)

Overstack Chungking....very tough in this mod given your position.[:(]

You can at least try to hold on to Kunming, better than nothing.[:)]

I am not sure stacking limits are a good thing or a bad thing in China. Overall, I might lean to good thing if China fully understands them and plans accordingly.





Jorge_Stanbury -> RE: Nov 10th: Chungking assaulted (12/7/2015 4:04:49 PM)

Overstacking penalties add another level of complexity to fighting in China. You need to spread out your troops and even predict the direction of your retreats. otherwise you end in a never ending cycle of supply burn.

in my view, stacking penalties are good overall, I am willing to suffer it in China if it allows me to have it in other more interesting places like India or Australia




jwolf -> RE: Nov 10th: Chungking assaulted (12/7/2015 5:27:48 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Jorge_Stanbury
You need to ... predict the direction of your retreats.


Is this even possible realistically? At this time all I can say about retreats is that they will be in whatever is the worst direction available from a tactical point of view. For example, troops in process of moving west to safety, attacked from the east -- and forced to retreat southeast into a trap. [:@]




BBfanboy -> RE: Nov 10th: Chungking assaulted (12/7/2015 10:40:08 PM)

Several players have discussed retreat direction recently and the consensus seems to be that the unit will retreat toward the nearest friendly base, provided there is a clear (not interdicted by enemy troops) supply path to it. Otherwise, it appears to be random.




jwolf -> RE: Nov 10th: Chungking assaulted (12/7/2015 11:04:52 PM)

So ... if I read you right, retreat can, in some cases, be predicted but never controlled. And apparently it's easy, at least in some cases, for the attacking player to herd fleeing units back to a doomed, trapped base. That would explain some of what I've seen in China and, to a lesser extent, Malaya -- admittedly, limited experience and small sample size.

Jorge, sorry for the detour, let's hear what happened with your counterattack!




Jorge_Stanbury -> RE: Nov 10th: Chungking assaulted (12/8/2015 5:56:21 AM)

Never controlled, but you can predict the consequences:
imagine you have a stack of 30,000 troops near base "A" (1 hex away)
Base "A" stacking limits is 25,000 and it is already at max
You have to be very careful with the 30,000 stack because if it is defeated, it will likely move to base "A" and proceed to burn supply at horrible rates.

So you basically need to manage carefully where you have troops, otherwise supply will simply evaporate. This is not so much of an issue in other theatres, but China is already starving




Jorge_Stanbury -> Nov 11th: Chungking Allied attack (12/8/2015 6:16:33 AM)

Not pretty [:D]
and too few Japanese losses to be considered worthwhile
probably Chungking will fall a few weeks earlier now

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ground combat at Chungking (76,45)

Allied Shock attack

Attacking force 187919 troops, 598 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 4672

Defending force 161504 troops, 1720 guns, 744 vehicles, Assault Value = 2211

Allied adjusted assault: 564

Japanese adjusted defense: 1665

Allied assault odds: 1 to 2

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), leaders(+)
Attacker: shock(+)

Japanese ground losses:
3643 casualties reported
Squads: 32 destroyed, 271 disabled
Non Combat: 8 destroyed, 112 disabled
Engineers: 3 destroyed, 16 disabled
Guns lost 113 (6 destroyed, 107 disabled)

Allied ground losses:
41663 casualties reported
Squads: 1961 destroyed, 2485 disabled
Non Combat: 246 destroyed, 369 disabled
Engineers: 58 destroyed, 41 disabled
Guns lost 58 (21 destroyed, 37 disabled)
Units destroyed 4

Assaulting units:
43rd Chinese Corps
90th Chinese Corps
59th Chinese Corps
32nd Chinese Corps
85th Chinese Corps
75th Chinese Corps
81st Chinese Corps
77th Chinese Corps
2nd Chinese Corps
14th Chinese Corps
45th Chinese Corps
67th Chinese Corps
3rd Chinese Corps
51st Chinese Corps
89th Chinese Corps
62nd Chinese Corps
21st Chinese Corps
3rd Prov Chinese Corps
35th Chinese Corps
61st Chinese Corps
12th Chinese Corps
34th Chinese Corps
68th Chinese Corps
63rd Chinese Corps
91st Chinese Corps
56th Chinese Corps
47th Chinese Corps
2nd Prov Chinese Corps
86th Chinese Corps
3rd Chinese Cavalry Corps
38th Group Army
10th Group Army
83rd Chinese Corps
10th Construction Regiment
34th Group Army
7th War Area
4th Chinese Base Force
Lusu War Area
3rd War Area
10th Chinese Base Force
41st AA Regiment
49th AA Regiment
39th Chinese Corps
57th AT Gun Regiment
15th Group Army
4th Group Army
7th Chinese Base Force
14th Group Army
Central Reserve
33rd Group Army
Red Chinese Army
8th Group Army
7th Group Army
1st Artillery Regiment
31st Group Army
4th Heavy Mortar Regiment
23rd Group Army
5th Chinese Base Force
4th War Area
3rd Heavy Mortar Regiment
48th Chinese Corps
36th Group Army
12th Group Army
39th Group Army
56th AT Gun Regiment
7th Artillery Regiment
11th Construction Regiment
8th Construction Regiment
24th Group Army
20th Artillery Regiment
CAF HQ
8th Chinese Base Force
18th Artillery Regiment
12th Construction Regiment
3rd Group Army
13th Construction Regiment
China Command
26th Group Army
16th Group Army
1st Chinese Base Force
2nd Group Army
15th Chinese Corps
17th Group Army
13th Group Army
37th Group Army
Jingcha War Area
32nd Group Army
1st War Area
15th Chinese Base Force

Defending units:
3rd/A Division
26th Division
32nd/A Division
36th Division
32nd/C Division
32nd/B Division
102nd Infantry Regiment
3rd/B Division
104th Division
70th Division
37th Division
59th Division
69th Division
6th Division
41st Division
34th Division
17th Division
110th Division
3rd/C Division
14th Medium Field Artillery Regiment
3rd Ind.Hvy.Art. Battalion
23rd Army
51st Ind.Mtn.Gun Battalion
12th Army
China Expeditionary Army
21st Mortar Battalion
6th Medium Field Artillery Regiment
11th Army
10th Ind. Mountain Gun Regiment
1st Army
21st AA Regiment
15th Ind.Medium Field Artillery Regiment
2nd Ind. Mountain Gun Regiment
1st Hvy.Artillery Regiment
52nd Ind.Mtn.Gun Battalion
8th Ind Engineer Regiment
2nd Ind.Hvy.Art. Battalion
1st Mortar Battalion
20th Ind. Mtn Gun Battalion




jwolf -> RE: Nov 11th: Chungking Allied attack (12/8/2015 12:34:04 PM)

Well I guess you succeeded in having fewer mouths to feed. Other than that ... not so good.




Lowpe -> RE: Nov 11th: Chungking Allied attack (12/8/2015 2:25:23 PM)

Ouch. But not unexpected.

I would suggest you suicide shock attack with those worthless units again to get them destroyed.




Jorge_Stanbury -> RE: Nov 11th: Chungking Allied attack (12/9/2015 7:26:56 AM)

Yes I did that, I need more Chinese units destroyed... I don't like to this, as it is kind of exploiting a (poor) game mechanic, but no other choice really

so another slaughter is coming.... which means a period of extreme vulnerability in the next few weeks, I hope level 6 forts help, because he will most likely withdraw and replace his most disrupted units with fresh troops very soon




Jorge_Stanbury -> Nov 12th: Chungking is doomed :( (12/11/2015 9:31:44 PM)

Fighting in China is turning to the worst [8|]

Second shock attack only destroyed on Chinese LCU... now I have lots of units at 0 AV.. thus they can't attack anymore

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ground combat at Chungking (76,45)

Japanese Bombardment attack

Attacking force 15212 troops, 384 guns, 126 vehicles, Assault Value = 1982

Defending force 179981 troops, 640 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 1753

Allied ground losses:
191 casualties reported
Squads: 4 destroyed, 3 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 2 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled

Assaulting units:
34th Division
70th/A Division
104th Division
102nd Infantry Regiment
59th Division
3rd/C Division
17th Division
3rd/B Division
110th Division
41st Division
32nd/A Division
32nd/C Division
70th/B Division
32nd/B Division
37th Division
26th Division
36th Division
3rd/A Division
70th/C Division
2nd Ind.Hvy.Art. Battalion
11th Army
21st Mortar Battalion
23rd Army
3rd Ind.Hvy.Art. Battalion
21st AA Regiment
15th Ind.Medium Field Artillery Regiment
8th Ind Engineer Regiment
51st Ind.Mtn.Gun Battalion
12th Army
52nd Ind.Mtn.Gun Battalion
1st Hvy.Artillery Regiment
6th Medium Field Artillery Regiment
2nd Ind. Mountain Gun Regiment
1st Army
China Expeditionary Army
14th Medium Field Artillery Regiment
1st Mortar Battalion
10th Ind. Mountain Gun Regiment
20th Ind. Mtn Gun Battalion

Defending units:
68th Chinese Corps
77th Chinese Corps
2nd Chinese Corps
45th Chinese Corps
67th Chinese Corps
81st Chinese Corps
61st Chinese Corps
85th Chinese Corps
75th Chinese Corps
14th Chinese Corps
21st Chinese Corps
12th Chinese Corps
63rd Chinese Corps
32nd Chinese Corps
91st Chinese Corps
62nd Chinese Corps
3rd Chinese Corps
56th Chinese Corps
2nd Prov Chinese Corps
47th Chinese Corps
86th Chinese Corps
35th Chinese Corps
3rd Prov Chinese Corps
90th Chinese Corps
3rd Chinese Cavalry Corps
3rd War Area
4th War Area
34th Chinese Corps
36th Group Army
17th Group Army
10th Construction Regiment
39th Chinese Corps
7th War Area
56th AT Gun Regiment
Red Chinese Army
16th Group Army
57th AT Gun Regiment
7th Artillery Regiment
37th Group Army
1st War Area
39th Group Army
15th Group Army
1st Artillery Regiment
Central Reserve
3rd Heavy Mortar Regiment
59th Chinese Corps
4th Heavy Mortar Regiment
24th Group Army
89th Chinese Corps
12th Construction Regiment
15th Chinese Corps
12th Group Army
26th Group Army
Lusu War Area
13th Construction Regiment
2nd Group Army
38th Group Army
20th Artillery Regiment
83rd Chinese Corps
8th Construction Regiment
14th Group Army
49th AA Regiment
8th Group Army
31st Group Army
32nd Group Army
48th Chinese Corps
23rd Group Army
7th Chinese Base Force
Jingcha War Area
10th Chinese Base Force
4th Group Army
CAF HQ
10th Group Army
7th Group Army
3rd Group Army
11th Construction Regiment
4th Chinese Base Force
34th Group Army
18th Artillery Regiment
China Command
41st AA Regiment
1st Chinese Base Force
13th Group Army
33rd Group Army
15th Chinese Base Force


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ground combat at Chungking (76,45)

Allied Shock attack

Attacking force 128046 troops, 440 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 1743

Defending force 143030 troops, 1543 guns, 740 vehicles, Assault Value = 1982

Allied adjusted assault: 10

Japanese adjusted defense: 2501

Allied assault odds: 1 to 250

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), leaders(+)
Attacker: shock(+)

Japanese ground losses:
283 casualties reported
Squads: 0 destroyed, 26 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 2 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled

Allied ground losses:
26348 casualties reported
Squads: 1564 destroyed, 866 disabled
Non Combat: 375 destroyed, 299 disabled
Engineers: 77 destroyed, 14 disabled
Guns lost 21 (5 destroyed, 16 disabled)
Units destroyed 1

Assaulting units:
81st Chinese Corps
12th Chinese Corps
91st Chinese Corps
63rd Chinese Corps
75th Chinese Corps
62nd Chinese Corps
3rd Prov Chinese Corps
86th Chinese Corps
35th Chinese Corps
85th Chinese Corps
67th Chinese Corps
56th Chinese Corps
61st Chinese Corps
3rd Chinese Corps
47th Chinese Corps
77th Chinese Corps
32nd Chinese Corps
45th Chinese Corps
90th Chinese Corps
21st Chinese Corps
68th Chinese Corps
14th Chinese Corps
2nd Prov Chinese Corps
2nd Chinese Corps
3rd Chinese Cavalry Corps
17th Group Army
4th Heavy Mortar Regiment
89th Chinese Corps
13th Group Army
4th War Area
11th Construction Regiment
24th Group Army
3rd Heavy Mortar Regiment
1st Chinese Base Force
14th Group Army
48th Chinese Corps
3rd War Area
Jingcha War Area
Red Chinese Army
7th War Area
3rd Group Army
49th AA Regiment
7th Chinese Base Force
56th AT Gun Regiment
2nd Group Army
10th Group Army
China Command
8th Construction Regiment
7th Artillery Regiment
7th Group Army
12th Construction Regiment
12th Group Army
36th Group Army
38th Group Army
34th Chinese Corps
33rd Group Army
18th Artillery Regiment
20th Artillery Regiment
83rd Chinese Corps
4th Group Army
1st Artillery Regiment
57th AT Gun Regiment
4th Chinese Base Force
Central Reserve
37th Group Army
15th Chinese Corps
16th Group Army
39th Group Army
Lusu War Area
15th Group Army
1st War Area
23rd Group Army
26th Group Army
10th Chinese Base Force
10th Construction Regiment
32nd Group Army
34th Group Army
CAF HQ
13th Construction Regiment
31st Group Army
39th Chinese Corps
59th Chinese Corps
8th Group Army
41st AA Regiment
15th Chinese Base Force

Defending units:
26th Division
110th Division
3rd/A Division
32nd/C Division
34th Division
37th Division
70th/B Division
36th Division
3rd/C Division
59th Division
70th/A Division
104th Division
41st Division
32nd/A Division
102nd Infantry Regiment
17th Division
3rd/B Division
32nd/B Division
70th/C Division
2nd Ind.Hvy.Art. Battalion
China Expeditionary Army
3rd Ind.Hvy.Art. Battalion
21st Mortar Battalion
15th Ind.Medium Field Artillery Regiment
8th Ind Engineer Regiment
11th Army
1st Mortar Battalion
14th Medium Field Artillery Regiment
1st Hvy.Artillery Regiment
51st Ind.Mtn.Gun Battalion
2nd Ind. Mountain Gun Regiment
21st AA Regiment
1st Army
12th Army
52nd Ind.Mtn.Gun Battalion
23rd Army
10th Ind. Mountain Gun Regiment
6th Medium Field Artillery Regiment
20th Ind. Mtn Gun Battalion




Jorge_Stanbury -> RE: Nov 12th: Chungking is doomed :( (12/11/2015 9:37:24 PM)

Things looking much better in Australia... another supply run will be attempted, most likely all xAKLs will be destroyed, but if I can disembark 6,000 supply and/ or naval bomb Japanese SCTFs, then it would be worthy
[image]local://upfiles/41287/9D11ECE896CF4DADAE01220272D0D6A0.jpg[/image]




jwolf -> RE: Nov 12th: Chungking is doomed :( (12/11/2015 9:42:10 PM)

Rats, at least the first attack hit the Japanese pretty hard, too, but this one was a complete disaster!

Are your Australian tanks vulnerable to enemy bombers?




Lowpe -> RE: Nov 12th: Chungking is doomed :( (12/11/2015 9:49:00 PM)

Wow.[X(]




Jorge_Stanbury -> RE: Nov 12th: Chungking is doomed :( (12/11/2015 9:49:04 PM)

They might be, but there is nothing I can do about it... too far away.
But a key mitigant is that N Australia has been, so far, completely secondary for Japan. I doubt there will be strong opposition, at least early on




IdahoNYer -> RE: Nov 12th: Chungking is doomed :( (12/11/2015 10:04:57 PM)

Condolences on your Chungking fight!

Brutal.

I'll remember NOT to attack if, I mean, when, I'm in a similar position!





Jorge_Stanbury -> RE: Nov 12th: Chungking is doomed :( (12/11/2015 10:14:42 PM)

This is the big disaster:
Units destroyed 1

Allied ground losses:
26348 casualties reported
Squads: 1564 destroyed, 866 disabled
Non Combat: 375 destroyed, 299 disabled
Engineers: 77 destroyed, 14 disabled
Guns lost 21 (5 destroyed, 16 disabled)
Units destroyed 1

only 5 units destroyed in total... which means I am naked once he recovers or brings fresh troops




jwolf -> RE: Nov 12th: Chungking is doomed :( (12/11/2015 10:38:53 PM)

Dumb question: can you just disband some of the trashed units that would never recover anyway?




Jorge_Stanbury -> RE: Nov 12th: Chungking is doomed :( (12/12/2015 5:56:28 AM)

That is a good question

but no, option of disbanding is "greyed out"




Jorge_Stanbury -> Nov 14th: Darwin supply (12/13/2015 2:39:04 PM)

Big win at Darwin.
port size is 3, naval support 36... which means I can guarantee that around half load will unload before Japan can react
[image]local://upfiles/41287/0636280CEA27439897D9D860C566E78B.jpg[/image]




Jorge_Stanbury -> RE: Nov 14th: Darwin supply (12/13/2015 3:06:16 PM)

In other news, I risked the fleet to cover some supply TFs. But I forgot to setup CAP over Chittagong, thanksfully his LBA missed
CVs are at DL=2, cruisers at DL=10

Question now is, will he accept the challenge?
I am happy to fight him as long as we fight close to Calcutta.
[image]local://upfiles/41287/7F3A9A567A754D68A763EE6856B6AB20.jpg[/image]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Morning Air attack on TF, near Chittagong at 55,41

Weather in hex: Clear sky

Raid detected at 72 NM, estimated altitude 8,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 26 minutes

Japanese aircraft
G3M3 Nell x 11

Japanese aircraft losses
G3M3 Nell: 6 damaged
G3M3 Nell: 1 destroyed by flak

Allied Ships
CA Quincy
CA Exeter
DD Hotspur

Aircraft Attacking:
10 x G3M3 Nell launching torpedoes at 200 feet
Naval Attack: 1 x 45cm Type 91 Torp


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Afternoon Air attack on TF, near Chittagong at 55,41

Weather in hex: Heavy rain

Raid detected at 118 NM, estimated altitude 11,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 44 minutes

Japanese aircraft
A6M2 Zero x 6
G3M3 Nell x 6

Japanese aircraft losses
G3M3 Nell: 5 damaged

Allied Ships
CA Exeter
CA Quincy

Aircraft Attacking:
6 x G3M3 Nell launching torpedoes at 200 feet
Naval Attack: 1 x 45cm Type 91 Torp




Jorge_Stanbury -> Nov 15th: Darwin supply TF unloads (12/15/2015 9:26:43 AM)

All 6,000 supplies succesfully unloaded at Darwin, no reaction at all from Japan

In other Australian news, Nookambah will be attacked.. I will be surprised if there is anything other than token resistance
[image]local://upfiles/41287/8C330ED87C204A1295ADAD6C37EA5943.jpg[/image]

Supply situation is:
Darwin 11,969
Katherine 4,994
Daly Waters 377
Wyndham 20




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