Decision Costs Question (Full Version)

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Frido1207 -> Decision Costs Question (12/17/2015 11:17:45 PM)

What´s the point in the decision shown below, where I can spend 6PP or 0PP to get a 50% chance of a bad outcome?



[image]local://upfiles/22926/93AEFDA65D66417FB30C223F69E27015.jpg[/image]




ryan1488 -> RE: Decision Costs Question (12/17/2015 11:47:38 PM)

There are many choices like this. I am curious as well.




willgamer -> RE: Decision Costs Question (12/18/2015 2:24:02 AM)

Since Gerke brought the issue up, and I see F.M. von B. has an opinion on it, it may be that the difference is what and whose relationship[sm=00001746.gif] status are adjusted.




etsadler -> RE: Decision Costs Question (12/18/2015 2:51:32 AM)

Exactly. In this one von B wants the track converted as soon as possible, so choosing the 6pp options will make him happy and tick off Gercke to some degree. Doing nothing will, I believe, still tick off Gercke, but not get you any points with von B. In both cases there is a 50% chance that the Eisenbahntruppe will get negatively impacted.




Frido1207 -> RE: Decision Costs Question (12/18/2015 6:16:51 AM)

Ah, I see. That makes sense. Thank you.




lancer -> RE: Decision Costs Question (12/19/2015 3:16:15 AM)

Hi,

That's about it.

Each option in a decision gives a unique outcome. No two options in a decision are the same.

Some of them involve a probability roll for an outcome.

The '% chance of a good/bad outcome' is there to allow you to estimate your chances rather than having it be hidden (which it was originally). But the probability of an outcome occurring is separate and independent of the actual outcome itself.

So while there may be two options in a decision that have an identical '50% chance of a bad outcome' they probably have different PP costs and would involve different outcomes.

Cheers,
Cameron




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