Neilster -> RE: Horrid WWII Facts (3/7/2016 1:37:37 PM)
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ORIGINAL: AbwehrX Post your tales of WWII woe here if you like- quote:
Flight Accidents According to the AAF Statistical Digest, the U.S. Army Air Forces lost 14,903 pilots and crew…in the United States. These men died as a result of more than 50,000 accidents during the course of the war. Another 1,000 planes disappeared en route from the U.S. to foreign countries. Air losses were so staggering during 1942-43 that it was statistically impossible for bomber crews to complete a 25-mission tour in Europe. Great idea but just one point. The "statistically impossible" bit is not true. That's not the way probability works. Extremely unlikely, perhaps; but extremely improbable things sometimes happen. People win the lottery all the time, at infinitesimal odds. Many, many bomber crews beat those odds...but not most. It's all down to the Normal distribution. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normal_distribution Cheers, Neilster
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