RE: Notes from a Small Island

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Canoerebel -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/24/2018 11:13:20 PM)
10/7/44 Shikuka: Opening ASW clashes. [image]local://upfiles/8143/9BF1740FCBF14B6B87664A7474E1B25B.jpg[/image]

Canoerebel -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/24/2018 11:16:33 PM)
10/7/44 Shikuka: USN sub Kraken plays and ASW role. The combat TF is part of Death Star. [image]local://upfiles/8143/04904F995AAE45089003B1EBED4CACD5.jpg[/image]

Canoerebel -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/24/2018 11:19:08 PM)
10/7/44 Shikuka: Two RO boats damaged. [image]local://upfiles/8143/DDB726AD5ED54F27832B567C6C757CCD.jpg[/image]

Canoerebel -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/24/2018 11:22:25 PM)
10/7/44 Shikuka: Two more USN sub hits on enemy subs. I-2 is probably mortally hit. Right now, I have high detection on enemy subs. Eric doesn't have high detection because Allied CAP and weather has impeded his search aircraft. [image]local://upfiles/8143/5162376D35D544AAAE97C40505337493.jpg[/image]

Canoerebel -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/24/2018 11:26:03 PM)
10/7/44 Shikuka: Death Star TFs get two confirmed kills. It doesn't appear that either sub got a shot off. [image]local://upfiles/8143/966FE1879A0F4C0DB764D00F461F7DC0.jpg[/image]

Canoerebel -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/24/2018 11:28:53 PM)
10/7/44 Shikuka: That's it for the ASW/sub battles on the seventh. There are probably going to be a lot of air ASW "sub hit" reports, but due to sync issues, I won't know which, if any, are accurate. I'll post again in awhile, showing the NoPac map, position of Death Star, and other details.

witpqs -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 12:06:02 AM)
quote: ORIGINAL: Lokasenna quote: ORIGINAL: witpqs Vaguely seem to recall: aren't the asterisks just counters so the identical message is not repeated many times? I've seen identical numbers of asterisks repeated, so it's not that. Then maybe they're just a warning: "Watch your asterisk!".

Canoerebel -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 12:28:54 AM)
10/7/44 Shikuka: Positioning looks good. Death Star and The Herd are nearly at Shikuka, the second step in this campaign (the first step being to avoid a KB ambush and to effectively deal with enemy subs, both of which seem on target). [image]local://upfiles/8143/3606261FE4EF461FB4335C52E95DC321.jpg[/image]

JohnDillworth -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 12:38:20 AM)
You seem to have mastered that hunter killer approach to submarines. Planes to figure out where they are and vector the ships to kill them

Canoerebel -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 12:40:05 AM)
10/7/44 Shikuka: Shikuka's fuel and supply stores were in good shape - 500k fuel, 1.2 million supply. Today, two xAK supply TFs arrived and began unloading, delivering 50k supply. Tomorrow, The Herd arrives with about 1.5 million supply and perhaps 250k fuel. The Herd is also bringing reinforcements, mostly units prepped for Uruppu Jima. They will unload and serve garrison duty while other units prepare for amphibious ops in the Kuriles (D-Day not set yet - I'm mulling over several ideas). To this point, things have gone well. Erik might be thinking the same: "Hah! He's back in the box canyon!" With this much supply and fuel, the Allies can fight from this base of operations for months and months, if necessary. The biggest question I'm mulling over: use combined carrier and LBA fighter in large-scale sweeping operations, trying to beat up Erik's air force before initiating amphibious ops. Not sure yet, but there's some merit to that. [image]local://upfiles/8143/93244C22C053465885AF6B2318D90330.jpg[/image]

Canoerebel -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 12:45:32 AM)
One of my fears during this "entrance" op was that Erik would load up his airfields and coordinate strikes with KB. I wanted Allied 4EB to suppress the airfields. They did so with rather tepid results. Only Onnekotan is mostly shut down, with Paramushiro and Ketoi modestly damaged. The others are pristine. In a tight, I would have committed BB TFs to bombard. Erik didn't really use his airfields, so I didn't have to use my BBs. I was hesitant due to mines and the "naked feeling" of loan TFs going into these sub-infested waters.

Canoerebel -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 12:56:23 AM)
10/7/44 Shikuka: The "Roark's Drift hospital walking wounded" corps. CA Boston and two of these DDs were hastily formed into a last ditch combat TF when things got grimmest, about a week ago. Already heavily damaged, they got pummeled. Somehow, they made it back to port. Boston probably won't fight again in the war, but she's a mascot highly esteemed. [image]local://upfiles/8143/1F137B750DA44EED9AAB49B50A97704D.jpg[/image]

Anachro -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 1:01:06 AM)
40 float damage isnt too high for a cruiser and the 89 Sys damage is more quickly repaired. I can certainly see her making a reappearance unless you expect the situation to dramatically improve into an AV in the next few months. How much of the damage is major?

Canoerebel -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 1:19:03 AM)
40 major. The main thing is that DS may stay in theater for months to come. So Boston may not get home until spring, and the trip will be hazardous. But AV won't happen until late '45 or even into '46, so perhaps she'll fight again.

Canoerebel -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 1:23:51 AM)
10/7/44 Shikuka: Shikuka port has 550k fuel with 370k inbound on TKs. In addition, there's a host of AOs in port that still have a heckuva lot of fuel, and a handful of AOs with the Herd and Death Star. Fuel levels are very good since operations take place in such a confined area. [image]local://upfiles/8143/1A94E7DE0D2F44E7B3DA95BBA8287E61.jpg[/image]

FlyByKnight -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 1:38:23 AM)
quote: ORIGINAL: Canoerebel 10/7/44 Shikuka: The "Roark's Drift hospital walking wounded" corps. CA Boston and two of these DDs were hastily formed into a last ditch combat TF when things got grimmest, about a week ago. Already heavily damaged, they got pummeled. Somehow, they made it back to port. Boston probably won't fight again in the war, but she's a mascot highly esteemed. [image]local://upfiles/8143/1F137B750DA44EED9AAB49B50A97704D.jpg[/image] Is their crew XP through the roof from all that fighting?

Canoerebel -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 1:54:20 AM)
10/7/44 CA Boston Stats: Good daylight rating, mediocre nighttime. [image]local://upfiles/8143/3019F50C80614A23AB2AF18E0E112D3D.jpg[/image]

Canoerebel -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 4:34:39 AM)
2,050,000 supply inbound to Shikuka, with 1,250,000 there at present. A percentage of the supply will be allocated for the Kuriles invasions, but supply should be good well into 1945.

Canoerebel -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 12:15:21 PM)
10/8/44 Shikuka: The eighth opens with two ASW attacks against this sub, which is badly damaged. It's the only sub encounter on the turn that Death Star and The Herd reach Shikuka. As this turn unfolds, I'm considering variations or combinations of three short-term plans: (1) sweeping missions versus the Japanese fighter corps; (2) immediate invasion of the Kuriles; (3) sending DS and a host of ASW back to sea to hunt (and be hunted by) enemy subs. [image]local://upfiles/8143/B20C5F1FFF7C479DA15E42A94EB2AC67.jpg[/image]

Canoerebel -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 1:30:48 PM)
10/8/44 Shikuka: Allied sweeps and bombers tangle with heavy CAP over Paramushiro, resulting in about 1:1 losses. Allies will try again tomorrow. Death Star and The Herd reach Shikuka without incident. All TFs replenish and refresh sorties. Unloading of the merchantmen didn't begin today - not enough ops points left. Most amphibious assault troops are at Shikuka, but a few units are inbound from Toyohara and will need a couple of days to convert from Strat mode to Combat mode. Except for air operations, the next few days should be quiet from my perspective. I need about four or five days to organize the first Kuriles invasion, assuming I proceed immediately, which I think I will. Erik may choose a way to attack. I've tried to configure Death Star such that potential reactions won't be a negative. KB and Kaigun seems at or south of Hokkaido.

crsutton -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 2:12:56 PM)
When it comes to killing subs I find that "hits" themselves tend to vary and are not really much of a threat to a sub. The only thing that really kills them are the occasional penetrating DC hit. So you have to watch the replay to know for sure. My rule of thumb is that a RO type sub will only survive a single penetrating hit about 30% of the time. A big Japanese sub will survive one hit most all of the time but will usually sink if it takes two penetrating hits. An American fleet sub can take two penetrating hits and usually always survive but three will generally sink it. Not sure about bomb hits. Have not really looked at them except to know that one bomb hit on an American sub is usually not fatal.

Canoerebel -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 2:40:36 PM)
Erik has more than 400,000 troops in the Kuriles, from Etorofu to Paramushiro. Most of the islands have garrisons in excess of 50k, with Paramushiro the strongest at 80+k. I have in excess of 750,000 troops on Sikhalin Island. Armies are fully prepped for the Kuriles from Uruppu Jima north. Some of the invasions may achieve 2:1 local superiority. The key will be to take the first island. That will break the enemy lock-hold. In the process, there's a good chance Erik will attack, giving both sides another crack at achieving an important victory. Bombardment TFs, local air superiority, and sub/ASW skirmishing will be important. I'll always be sweating clever ruses to lure Death Star into disadvantageous reactions. It should be interesting and tense. I'm fortunate that Erik's CV, BB, CA, CL, DD and sub forces have been materially reduced.

Lokasenna -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 4:03:35 PM)
Keep in mind that by no means do you need all of the islands. When I did it, I focused on the ones that could rapidly become bases for 4Es to keep the other airfields unusable for Japan. Garrisons of 50K troops are probably about 800-1200 AV, depending on the composition of supporting troops vs. combat units. I'd guess right around 1K AV. I'm basing this on paying a lot of attention in my own Japanese games to what my troop levels are on particular islands when they come under recon, and comparing to the AV that I planned to have there.

Canoerebel -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 4:11:11 PM)
10/8/44 Shikuka: Here's a look at Paramushiro, the most heavily garrisoned of the Kuriles, as an example. [image]local://upfiles/8143/B23C168BE43E41B38FC1A8A11D135025.jpg[/image]

Canoerebel -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 4:18:55 PM)
10/8/44 Shikuka: Some of the units at Shikuka prepped for Paramushiro. There's 2700 AV, prepped 100%, including one of the big combat engineer units and an Amphib Force HQ. Erik might have as much as three divisions (probably two and other a mix of other things). So I'd have rougly 2x force. If the navy and air corps can keep enemy ships and aircraft at bay, the Allies should be able to employ bombardment TFs frequently. [image]local://upfiles/8143/0731E3231E7E47D6B20C63ED560A999D.jpg[/image]

Canoerebel -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 4:21:43 PM)
10/8/44 Shikuka: Shimishura is the least-defended Kurile. [image]local://upfiles/8143/61D2B4CB3EDD4407A2DC94BA96D74615.jpg[/image]

Canoerebel -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 4:24:33 PM)
10/8/44 Shikuka: The Shimishura amphibious force is probably about 2x the defenders. No amphibious force HQ; no combat engineers. [image]local://upfiles/8143/3F7E750A03AD4048B4FCB2BC446C794F.jpg[/image]

HansBolter -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 4:54:26 PM)
No combat engineers, but those organic to the divisions? When hitting a target I know will have high forts I like to include at least one independent combat engineer. Two are better as you can rotate and rest them.

BBfanboy -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 5:09:43 PM)
Well if you are escorting a gaggle of amphibs to a Kurile invasion, you should perhaps bring your empty xAKs/TKs along to pass through the Kuriles and head home while you have air superiority and ASW coverage in the area. With these empties back to the WC, you can consider poking the Empire somewhere else to spread his focus.

Canoerebel -> RE: Notes from a Small Island (5/25/2018 9:01:10 PM)
Each of us prefers to have our ducks in a row for an invasion - HQ, combat engineers, arty, armor, infantry - the more the better. Most of the time, some things get done less than optimally due to scarcity or mistakes or miscalculations. In this case, I planned and allocated resources for six Kuriles. Some were deemed higher priority and more likely than others. Those got the extra goodies first, including combat engineers and amphibious force HQs. Shimishura was the last to get targeted and therefore didn't get some of those goodies. But forces allocated for the primary targets are considerable.

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