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I think you need to focus more on encirclement and destruction of Soviet forces. Hardly any unit is too small to be worth pocketing. Routing out instead of surrounding, and aiming for breakthroughs instead of pockets only plays in the hand of an aggressive forward defence. The units you pushed aside walk to the next line and everything repeats, but with more Soviets each time. Crossing the Dnepr with Panzers South of Mogilev is questionable, as logistics there are bad, even if the railroad is repaired from Minsk. The Panzers are spread in groups of nor more than two corps over the front, it forces the Soviet player to spread his forces thin but means you remain below the critical mass that allows bigger pockets as an be seen at Velikei Lukie at T5.