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Centuur -> RE: Spain Aligned (4/4/2021 9:54:03 PM)
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60% chance when the Axis are able to cut supply and are prepared to use an offensive is about correct, if the CW allows the Italians to take Morocco.
But it's sloppy play if the CW allow the Axis to take that minor from the French without a good fight. It only takes a couple of land units in the mountains before Rabat to defend the area. A Hurricane in Rabat is in range for interception. Especially the Canadians can be send pretty fast to Casablanca and Rabat. The Italians lack the necessary units to both attack a CW force in Morocco and contain the British in Egypt.
However, this might happen if the French and British navies don't want to be aggressive in the Med against the Italians, or if they are very unlucky in finding the Italian convoys and TRS. And it might also happen if the CW is building the wrong units. INF, MIL, FTR and HQ's should be build (together with an AMPH on the first or second turn). If the CW does this, it will have enough land units to prepare against an attack on Morocco.
The alignment of Spain is damaging to the Allies. It lowers the chance of an Allied victory, but it isn't fatal.
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