El_Condoro -> RE: Italy - entry to war (6/1/2021 3:08:36 AM)
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There are a few scripts in mobilization2.txt regarding Italian mobilization that I don't understand: 1. If 2 Allied amphibs are within 30 hexes or 7 Allied naval units are within 18 hexes of Syracuse, there is a 33% chance per turn (Allied and Axis) that Italy will move 15-25% towards the Axis. On average, that is about 6-7% per turn (1/3 of 20). That's a fairly significant shift unless the Axis player gets some really bad luck. 2. This one I don't understand: The US will move 5-7% towards the Axis if the same conditions are met BUT the condition is not Germany is mobilized (as above) but that Italy is mobilized. If Italy and the UK are at war, why would the US move towards the Axis if the Allies want to invade Italy? I think this one should occur if Germany is mobilized but not Italy. [Edit: I got this wrong - triggers if Italy is NOT yet mobilized] 3. This accounts for the advantage of moving the French forces out of NA to defend France: Italy moves 1-2% (only) towards the Axis (40% chance) if any of Gibraltar, Cairo, Tunis or Damascus are abandoned. That means ALL of those sites can be abandoned and there is still only a 40% chance of Italy responding and only 1-2% per turn. That seems too little of a response to me. Given that they have not mobilized at this point, they can't even DoW the Allies to take advantage of the situation. That said, if the UK abandons Gibraltar, it has a dramatic effect (8-12%) on Spanish mobilization. Are there other scripts that affect Italy that I am missing?
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