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gus -> (10/12/2003 12:42:52 AM)

Leo "Apollo11"[/QUOTE]

Hi Apollo11

When using large hunter killer groups in UV the vast majority of the ships in the TF do not detect let alone launch a successful ASW attack. If I have an 18+ ship Allied ASW TF assembled and it encounters an enemy sub I usually expect only one or two of the ships to engage the sub. Once engaged the sub is damaged about 50% of the time.

Using this as a rudimentary yardstick we can predict that only at best ~11% (2 out of 18) of all ships to subs encounters lead to a detection, of those about ~50% actually do damage to the sub. So on average you can expect to damage a sub about 5.5% of the time (per ASW ship) using these crude 'statistics'. These percentages will go up if the subs detection level is very high or it is in a shallow water hex.

I believe these numbers are in line with historical outcomes. The real problem is that ships and subs encounter each other far more frequently in UV and in higher concentrations than they did IRL so the rate of loss for ships and subs is greater than expected.

-g




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