LTCMTS -> RE: Keeping Nagumo's fleet in the PH area (5/22/2004 1:25:11 AM)
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Haven't any of you read "War Plan Orange" or "Road to Rainbow" or "Commander in Chief" or even the relevant volumes in the Army's Official History (the Green Books)? Regardless of the heirs of Sims, even a part of the Navy (Stark and Plan "Dog") recognized the relative levels of threat posed by the Axis nations as early as 1939, but especially so after the fall of France. The Pacific was going to be a primary theater only if the Germans could be held at bay in Europe. Once France fell (and while the USSR was still a de facto ally of Germany), the US had no option but to concentrate on the Atlantic. Not a single senior US official doubted that despite early reverses, which were expected and incorporated in planning, the US could single handedly crush Japan in a war of 3-4 years max, even after assisting the Allies in crushing Germany. There was nothing the Japanese could do, short of invading the mainland US (in other words, nothing), that was going to disuade the US NCA to alter it's "Germany First" strategy. As it was, between Dec '41 and Jun '42, the Pacific received the majority of available assets, until a strategic stalemate was achieved and then the resource allocation shifted to a 70/30 split between the Atlantic and the Pacific. The only way to focus the US on Japan would be to have a straight "Orange Plan" scenario, and that would require a significantly different history of the world between 1914 and 1941 (or even 1895 to 1941).
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