Extraneous -> RE: AI for MWiF - USA (1/25/2011 3:42:56 PM)
|
quote:
13.3.2 US Entry Options and 13.3.3 US Entry Actions Sept/Oct 1939 1st Impulse 1939 From Froonp’s PionsWiF-Aif-PatiF Excel spreadsheet 1 Zero 3% 9 Ones 30% 7 Twos 23% 6 Threes 20% 6 Fours 20% 1 Five 3% It has been stated the average US entry chit draw is a 2. Even if all the twos are drawn the average will not change much since the lower numbers will not be selected. Therefore to use an average for the US entry chit value for the start up US entry pool drawings is misleading. In other words your start up using an average US entry chit value of 2 would look like this: US entry pool Ge/It 2 + 2 = 4 US entry pool Ja 2 Using a chit combination system the results are not the same. Single chit combination Total value of chits (71) divided by number of chits (30) = Average value of chit 2.4 rounded down to 2 Two-chit combination To get a total of 1 there is a 2% chance for 1 possible combination (0,1) To get a total of 2 there is an 8% chance for 5 possible combinations (1x 0,2; 4x 1,1) To get a total of 3 there is an 11% chance for 7 possible combinations (1x 0,3; 6x 1,2) To get a total of 4 there is a 20% chance for 13 possible combinations (1x 0,4; 6x 1,3; 3x 2,2) To get a total of 5 there is a 20% chance for 13 possible combinations (1x 0,5; 6x 1,4; 6x 2,3) To get a total of 6 there is a 16% chance for 10 possible combinations (1x 1,5; 6x 2,4; 3x 3,3) To get a total of 7 there is an 11% chance for 7 possible combinations (1x 2,5; 6x 3,4) To get a total of 8 there is an 11% chance for 7 possible combinations (3,5; 4,4) To get a total of 9 there is a 2% chance for 1 possible combination (0,5) Example: To get a total of 2 there is an 8% chance for 5 possible combinations (1x 0,2; 4x 1,1). Means that there is an 8% chance for 1 two-chit combination (0,2) and 4 Two-chit combinations (1,1) that will equal 2 when you draw. Low Two-chit combination total 1 (0, 1) plus High Two-chit combination total 9 (4, 5) divided by number of chits drawn (2) = Average value of two chits 5 US entry pool Ge/It 5 US entry pool Ja 2 quote:
9.3 Compulsory declarations Germany must declare war on Poland in the first impulse of any game that starts in Sep/Oct 1939. No major power may make any other declaration of war in that impulse. France and the Commonwealth must declare war on Germany on their first impulse after Germany has declared war on Poland. No major power may make any other declarations of war in that impulse. Axis Side Japan can declare that Siam is aligning with Japan during any Axis declaration of war step if Siam is neutral. 9.3 Compulsory declarations 20. Germany declares war on Poland (1 US entry chit added and a 20% chance a second US entry chit will be added to the US entry pool (Ge/It). Allied Side 9.3 Compulsory declarations 25. CW or France or both declare war on Germany (90% chance a US entry chit will be removed from the US entry pool Ge/It) Possible 13.3.3 US Entry Actions: 26. USSR controls East Poland (70% chance a US entry chit will be removed from the US entry pool Ge/It) (This option must be chosen before 27. USSR controls Nazi-Soviet Pact areas (the Balkan States)) 27. USSR controls Nazi-Soviet Pact areas (the Balkan States) (40% chance a US entry chit will be removed from the US entry pool Ge/It) Possible options that might be taken that have been discussed at length in the MWiF forums Sept/Oct 1939 2nd Impulse Axis Side 13.3.3 US Entry Actions: 1. Japan occupies Indo-China (1 US entry chit is added and there is a 20% chance a second US entry chit will be added to the US entry pool Ja) 9. Japan declares war on USSR (70% chance a US entry chit will be added to the US entry pool Ja) 20. Germany declares war on Denmark (30% chance a US entry chit will be added to the US entry pool Ge/It) Allied Side 13.3.3 US Entry Actions: 31. USSR declares war on Persia (90% chance a US entry chit will be removed from the US entry pool Ge/It) 31. USSR declares war on Turkey (2 US entry chits removed and an 50% chance a third US entry chit will be removed from the US entry pool Ge/It) 32. CW declares war on Denmark (50% chance a US entry chit will be removed from the US entry pool Ge/It for each DoW) 32. CW declares war on Estonia, Latvia, or Lithuania (50% chance a US entry chit will be removed from the US entry pool Ge/It for each DoW) 19.6 Soviet border rectification: USSR claims Bessarabia If Rumania denies the claim the 31. USSR declares war on Rumania (1 US entry chit removed and an 80% chance a second US entry chit will be removed from the US entry pool Ge/It) USSR claims the Finnish borderlands. If Finland denies the claim the 31. USSR declares war on Finland (1 US entry chit removed and an 80% chance a second US entry chit will be removed from the US entry pool Ge/It) Have I missed any?
|
|
|
|