ColinWright
Posts: 2604
Joined: 10/13/2005 Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: Shawkhan ...Tiger convoy ring a bell? W/o emergency convoys run into Malta via Gibraltar I do believe starvation would have occurred before the Fall of Tobruk. Of course we only conjecture for argument's sake. Naturally Malta would have been taken by 1941 if some one in Berlin had been thinking. The Tiger convoy would be the exception that proves the rule -- and that was before the Luftwaffe showed up. Thereafter, any convoy into the Mediterranean Basin was an extravagantly expensive and risky proposition, usually requiring several escorts for every merchant vessel, and often ending in complete failure, with most ships sunk or forced to turn back. See the attempts to succor Malta. In fact, after Tiger, I don't think any convoy ran the gauntlet all the way from Gibraltar to Egypt until 1943. As to Malta herself, the reliefs were usually mounted from Egypt -- since air cover could be furnished from Cyrenician airfields. While fighters were flown in from carriers staging out of Gibraltar, I don't believe most civilians supplies were brought in that way. Had the need been there, the fighters could have been brought in via Egypt as well. Again, Gibraltar wasn't critical. Nice, but not a sin qua non. At the end of the day, while Gibraltar was important, it was not pivotal to the situation in the Mediterranean. Had it fallen, the manner in which it fell, what this implied about Spain entering the war, and the various knock-on effects from that would have far outshadowed any actual change in the situation from the Rock changing hands. quote:
...Greece and Crete do not have a land connection to North Africa. Are you talking just air transport? Tripoli does have a land connection? Man, are my atlases out of whack... Anyway, it's just something I recall reading. By the time he was up at El Alamein, an awful lot of what Rommel was getting was being brought over from Greece/Crete. I'm not saying it eliminates Malta as an important factor in the equation, but it does qualify it. I don't want to assert Gibraltar was valueless. However, it wasn't a ten. I'd give it about a six. Others might argue for eight. Had it fallen, though, I don't see the situation in North Africa changing except through such indirect effects as Spain entering the war, French North Africa becoming available to the Axis, etc. The base -- in and of itself -- wasn't a war winner or a war loser.
< Message edited by ColinWright -- 2/14/2009 9:13:50 PM >
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