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Suchan Liberated - 11/1/2009 12:41:45 AM   
vettim89


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24 November 1944

More of the same on most fronts with a few exceptions. The Russian AF pounds more convoys off Suchan. The Superbees get in the act and pound Shikuku on Sakhalin Is. Lost a bunch of B-29's but 61 Japanese a/c were destroyed on the ground. This is hopefully the last B-29 mission up north as I hope they will be on Iwo soon. Speaking of which, the transports departed Chichi Jima for PH. The CVE are escorting them and then will swing south to Marcus to cover another convoy with the 81st ID. This will be added to the Iwo force. I have changed my plans and the troops for Pagan will now be diverted to Amami Island and Tushima. The last one will depend on securing Okinawa and Amami first. The last head of the Hydra will be Pescadores. Too many troops on Formosa.

Meanwhile the BF's take San Jose Buenavista. Troops unloading here will move on Iloila. Continued rebuilding my strength at Davao. Supplies coming ashore at Cebu so my troops will go on attack again soon. Moving transport A/C up to Mindanao to do some paradrops on unoccupied islands in the central PI.

On the Malay penisula, Commonwelath troops take Kuala Lumpur with an overwhelming 4115 to 1 attack. These troops are now moving on Taipeng. The US 41st and 7th ID are at Johore Buhtar and are now being sent north. The Commonwelath "African Divisions" will block this base while I clear the northern part of the penisula. Troops moving south from Ban Don toward Singora where a stack of 17 Japanese units awaits.

In Russia the troops at Suchan Shock Attack and now are the sole occupants. Japanese losses were at 10K. I don't know if Larry was evacuating or I really eliminated that unit. At Hailar, only one Div crossed the river and was routed. There are three Japanese Divisions there but going by the AS, they have to be way understrengthed.




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< Message edited by vettim89 -- 11/1/2009 12:43:05 AM >


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Is that a Bugle I hear? - 11/2/2009 3:31:23 AM   
vettim89


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25 November 1944

NOt much to report this turn. Half of the Commonwealth troops have made it t the hex right in front of Taipeng. Will wait for the rest of them before attacking. Troops are resting at Davao and Iwo before the next deliberate attack. US fleet subs hit three AK/AP plus a MLE off Okha/Suchow. Two of them are heading home badly damaged. There are three more TF off Suchow. Is Larry going to try again? Cannot beleive he would go that route.

I am starting to move the units forward for the Luzon op now. They are spread from Darwin to Weda. Going to move them all to Dadjangas before setting out. Transports are slowly making their way back to PH for the Naha op. CV ANtietam is at PH and is heading off to Midway for the run to Chichi Jima.

Image of my reinforcements. This stack has an AS of 4300. THe stack in front has an AS of 2000. The stack behind has an AS of nearly 1000. The Cavalry is a'comin.




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Wham! - 11/5/2009 12:58:43 AM   
vettim89


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26-28 November 1944

Days of bombardments, digging in, and moving stufff until the 28th. I had noticed a lot of shipping moving around the southern fringe of Japan. With Larry so heavily commited in the USSR as far as airpower goes I took a chance and sent my CV force to within 180 nm of the coast. Results were excellent! WIth multiple attacks against the same TF's it is hard to tell but a good guess is that the following took either bomb and/or TT hits:

7 PC
13 AK
2 MSW
1 PG
12 AP

At least one BF had to be fished out of the water. I suspect there are a lot more sinkings to come. I pulled back because even though I lost less than two dozen Hellcats, many are damaged. The Japanese hit back at my carriers in several waves but not leakers were achieved. Estimate of Japanese losses for the day were: 18 Francis, 21 KI-61 KAIb Tony, 26 A6M5 Zeke, 25 Ki-43 III Oscar, 52 KI-84 Ia/c Frank, 20 Peggy, 36 A6M2 Zero, 8 B7A Grace, 35 G4M2 Betty, 22 Lily 10 NiKI George.

Attack at Cebu reduces forts to 7. Attack at Iwo reduces forts to 3 with minimal disruption. Attack just south of Taipeng comes off at over 1800 to 1 and routs the defenders back.





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Last Month? - 11/16/2009 5:55:14 AM   
vettim89


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29 November 1944 - 4 December 1944

Well, I went out of town for five days then there was some confusion as to whose turn it was. We are back at it. Not a lot to report. Here are some highlights

* Roxas in the central PI is now Allied
* Troops have move forward from Taipeng and are now invested at Georgetown.
* Forts at Iwo are reduced to 2
* Lift is trickling into PH for the next op which will be Naha.
* Troops slowly trickling north to Mindanoa to for the Luzon op
* Two Russian Corps (one INF, one Armor) are now across the river at Hailor
* Larry keeps pushing more troops into Okha but I still have the upper hand.
* Massive lump of Russian troops are moving toward Vlad. Probably will be on the offensive within ten days.

That is about it

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RE: Last Month? - 11/18/2009 6:36:34 AM   
vettim89


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5-6 December 1944

Interesting developments. Up on the RUssian Front, the Japanese have abandoned Heiho which is right across the river from Blavasomething oranother. The troops at Blav are immediately ordered across the river. An ID has crossed into Hailor. Tow more ID's and some arty plus engineers will cross soon. SLight edge to Russian in AV now. The trailing unit in the big lump of Russian troops is now just 9 hexes from Vlad. This will give me over 11000 AS to put on offensive. This offensive will push north then west to undermine the Japanese rear.

Georgetown is now Allied and troops push toward Aloe Star. The big stack at Ban Don is finally about to break free to rush south towards Singora where 160k tired Japanese are being pinched now from two sides.

Lots of engineers loading in the HI en route to the front. The Naha force is about loaded. It will take a good three weeks to move this mound of troops. Deliberate attack ordered at Iwo next turn which will hopefully lower forts to 1. After recouping I will order a shock attack in about four or five days to hopefully take this base.

The SIlent Service is taking out about two AP/AK every day now. LBA out of China also sank two AK at Takao last turn

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RE: Soviets Activated! - 11/18/2009 6:56:10 AM   
1275psi

 

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Been catching up -you said japan at end of rope in one post - I think you ar right -glad you have a japanese opponent who fights on!

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RE: Last Month? - 11/21/2009 11:40:47 PM   
vettim89


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7-10 December 1944

Image says it all. Had to trash the AB and Port to get it but the engineers will take care of that soon enough.

Buckeyes beat the Wolverines today for the 8th time in 9 years. DOes it get any better than this?




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RE: Last Month? - 11/22/2009 6:16:56 PM   
gladiatt


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Still reading and liking your AAR ;



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RE: Last Month? - 11/23/2009 4:29:22 AM   
vettim89


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11-12 December 1944

The Huge Soviet army has arrived at Vlad. I will let them rest for a few days before heading north then west. Larry contines to pour troops into Okha but I still have superior AS. Even though they are using inferior a/c, the Soviet AF is wearing the Japanese down with shear numbers. I think the pilot quality issue is coming into play here too.

Aloe Star is now Allied. Only Singor and Kuala Lumpur remain up north. The latter is mostly occupied with retreated troops that are without supply. The former has 165k+ and is being met by armies now closing from both sides. Supplies already pouring ashore at Aloe Start to feed my hungry troops.

The lift for the Naha op is apporaching Midway. They will be routed to Marcus Is before pushing off. The runway is repaired at Iwo and the AB is failling quick. Just a matter of days before operations start against the mainland. With Iwo now secured, I now have a firm 1.5 to 1 points advantage. Wondering how far into 1945 Larry will want to go.




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Definition of insanity? - 11/24/2009 1:42:31 AM   
vettim89


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13 December 1944

Not much to report. My subs are taking a beating up north but they are taking a fair number of IJN ships with them. Troops are recovering surprisingly quickly at Vlad. They will head out in a turn or too.

In Malaya, Larry is sending troops south out of Kota Butaar (sp?) heading south. I think he hopes to link up with the troopa at Jahore B^%&%*&. These Malaysia names get me. A blocking force is being sent to stop this notion. In addition, the one para unit in SEAC is being lifted to Malacca to take Mersing. I also plan to lift a couple of Chinese Corps from Tavoy into Malaysia to shore up defense.

In China Larry tries again at Kunchang and gets mauled. If at first you don't succeed: pound your head against that wall a little more. Cannot help but be grateful that this huge stack is tied up here instead of joining the invasion of the USSR.

Iwo's facilities damage is down to 27. Fighters starting to move forward. Gonna sweep the skies over Japan clean before sending in the heavies. If the stupid AB at Chichi Jima would expand a little faster, I could add some more a/c to the fun. Engineers have arrived at Marcus and will head north next turn under CVE cover.




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"We have met the enemy and they are ours" - Commodore O.H. Perry

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RE: Definition of insanity? - 11/26/2009 6:45:05 AM   
vettim89


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14-15 December 1944

Larry tried to sneak some more TK into Brunei. LBA hit them on the 13th and then CV AIr jumped them on teh 14th. Only to be followed by this. Not fair I admit it.

Iwo is active and 4E should start to reach out and harrass Japanese shipping. Recon is started of the major Japanese bases where I hope to use Sweep/Hit tactics to eliminate as much of Larry's LBA.




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The Fourth Christmas - 12/4/2009 12:35:08 AM   
vettim89


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16-24 December 1944

Not much going on in the last few weeks. Troops approaching Dadjangas to prepare to invade Luzon. Troops have just departed Marcus heading for Iwo then Naha.

The Russians kicked the Japanese out of the mainland USSR. It appears Larry has given up on Okha as there are no longer any tranports up there.

Forts at Songora have been dropped to 7. Larry tried a Deliberate Attack at Jahore Bahru which failed miserably.

As you can see, a 1.5 to 1 ratio is well secured now. Larry and I have not discussed comntinueing beyond 1 Jan 1945 as of yet. My guess is we will not. I would like to play on for an additional month just to get Okinawa secured and the landins on Luzon accomplished. Would also like to see how far the Russians can push




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RE: The Fourth Christmas - 12/4/2009 8:24:00 PM   
Capt. Harlock


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quote:

As you can see, a 1.5 to 1 ratio is well secured now. Larry and I have not discussed comntinueing beyond 1 Jan 1945 as of yet. My guess is we will not.


Links look pretty dark for Larry, all right. The air losses are especially murderous, and the strategic losses imply bad things about his economy.

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RE: The Fourth Christmas - 12/5/2009 5:54:50 AM   
vettim89


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25-26 December 1944

Conversation with Larry indicates that we are looking at the last four turns of this game. Cannot say how incredible sad that makes me. Larry was a worthy oponent for my experience level and has challenged me to the end. I will recap when all is said and done but I have some final thoughts on this game. As my first PBEM, it will always hold a special place for me.

On the war front. Mersing fails to Indian Paras. The last deliberate attack at Davao came off at 57 to 1 with only two units left. Last Deliberate attack at Iwo came off at 8 to 1 but 6 units still remain. Probably put every one on attack next turn and leave thme there for the war's duration which of course will be three days.

While part of me would like to at least finish the Okinawa Op and invade Luzon, I think by then the game would be too stale. The Japanese ground forces are really the only real force to resist me. I think slogging through long sieges with endless bombardment attacks would just get old.

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RE: The Fourth Christmas - 12/6/2009 2:39:06 AM   
vettim89


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27 December 1944

Larry e-mailed me today saying he wants to keep puching on at the slower pace we have been going. He said until the A-Bomb but I doubt he'll last that long.

And.... the Japanese came out and fought today. This attack yielded about 7 or 8 damaged AK but cost larry about 50 airframes. AK's will run for Iwo where the CAP is much stouter.

WIth this news, the plans for the Okinawa invasion are a full go. THe TF are scattered about 240-360 nm east of Iwo right now. Also the last TF's are approaching Dadjangas and we'll be heading to Luzon soon. The Russians crossed the river at both Heiho and Mushin this turn. WIll take awhile to get everybody across but Larry has some problems in that front now.




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The Last Year Begins - 12/11/2009 1:56:54 AM   
vettim89


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28 Dec 1944 - 1 Jan 1945

Well we crossed over to 1945 and I did not get an autovictory message. Can some one explain this to me? As I read the rules autovictory comes with 4:1, 3:1, 2:1, and finally 1.5:1 margin of victory in 1942, 1943, 1944, and 1945 respectively.

Anyhow, we decided to keep punching at each other. As I was expecting the game to end I kinda pulled back into my shell a bit but now its full bore.

CENTPAC

Invasion force for Naha (Okinawa) departs Iwo next turn. There is a little fuel problem there but the 300 k in bound will solve that pretty quick. USAAF fighters swept Tokyo on the 2nd and achieved a 3 to 1 result. Problems with Chich Jima's AB only expanding at 1% a day despite the ten plus ENG units there is hindering progress. The Japanese on Iwo are slowly being ground down. The non-malarial status of this base helps a lot. I have now encountered this base expansion problem twice where an AB should be expanding at a much higher rate in spite of ample supplies and ENG.

SWPAC

Troops loading for Luzon at Dadjangas. I am sending ten ID plus ARM, ARTY, and HQ's. An Aussie ID has been lifted to Cebu to end the stalemate there. Only one Japanese unit remains at Davao and it is on the ropes. Deliberate Attack on the 2nd was 128 to 1. Once this force recovers, they will be sent to Luzon also. San Jose was taken by paras and a bunch of ENG are awaiting the supplies to load before running up there. Cagayan remains the only base of concern now as the MOUNT terrain is making it a rough go. Supplies are also an issue here and I will lift some in as soon as the Luzon op is done.

SEAC

Forts at Singora are down to 7. Commonwealth troops are continuing there slow reduction of the last Japanese concentration with supplies in Northern Malaya. There is a large stack at Kuala Lumpur but there are quite pink. A blocking force holds at Jahore Buhtar to keep the large stack at Singers from trying to breakout. Two US ID and a RCT and working up the RR from there toward Kuala Lumpur. They have been pushing three battered Japanese units up that way for some time. Indian Para's took Mersing. I am contemplating pulling them back out and taking Kuntun (sp?) just to the north which also appears empty.

USSR

The large Soviet army has engaged a large force at the base just north of Vlad (begins with an m and is about 13 or 14 letters long). Troops still crossing the river at Heiho and Mershun. Larry has renforced Hailor and I don't think I have enough to take it now with a base AS advantage of only 1800 to 1400 now. Still that is a lot of strength protecting Larry's northern flank. At Ohka, the stalemate continues. Larry is using SCTF to BOMB but they do little. A TF with over a dozen dinged up USN SS sneaked in there and left a little present for the IJN. A DD hit a mine on the 2nd and seems to be in extremis

China

Just a basic stalemate. Larry keeps pushing at Kuantung but to no avail. If I could get some more supplies in here I might be able to make some noise. Thinking about forming up a huge convoy at Aden and escorting it in with the 7th Fleet CV force to Pukhoi. I wonder what 500 K of supplies would do for Gen Cash My Check

Long Term Plans

1. Keep pushing with the Sovs. By April the reinforcement cue will scare Larry to death up here. May need to sneak a large convoy into Vlad to fuel that beast. At present the plan is to push towards Harbin. NORPAC Units are prepping for Paramishu Jima. Larry has also sucked almost every unit out of southern Sakhalin Is for the Okha op. Those two bases would be a nice addition.

2. Clear Luzon with SWPAC. At least push the Japanese up north like Mac did in RL. If SWPAC does all this with any speed, they will prep for either the Chinese east coast or Japan proper

3. Take and build up Okinawa, Amori Is, the other little Island off Japan's southern coast, the Pescadores, and finally Tsushima with CentPac.

4. Finish off the northern Malay Army and then rush south to Singers. If SEAC were to accomplish this quickly, they will either go to Indochina, Formosa, or Hong Kong. That is entirely dependent on how long the siege of Singapore may last.

5. I am considering pulling my defensive force of about 5 or 6 INF RGT's that are scattered from Pamyra to Noumea and taking either SE NG, the Marshalls or both. The Japanese units at these bases are about toast after sitting for 18 plus months unsupplied. I suspect they would go "POOF" if I hit them with any force. Esp the Marshalls has a large force tasked with AB suppression and sub interdiction

< Message edited by vettim89 -- 12/12/2009 6:36:09 PM >


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RE: The Last Year Begins - 12/11/2009 2:38:05 AM   
Alfred

 

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vettim89,

Sorry for making this request as it imposes additional work upon you, but in view of your last interesting post, any chance of posting various relevant screen shots to visually aid reading your text?  For example, there may be flanking opportunities available to the Soviets in Manchukuo.

Re auto victory.  Just going off totally from memory, the auto victory threshold never dips below 2:1.  This means that in 1945 (scenarios 15/16) you can obtain a decisive victory with a 1.75:1 ratio at the conclusion of the scenario, which because the phrase "decisive" is employed suggests a victory at least as "big" as an auto victory implies.

Anyway, once you start strategic bombing of the home islands from the Bonins, the  victory points will quickly ratchet up.

Alfred

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RE: The Last Year Begins - 12/11/2009 10:03:45 PM   
vettim89


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Alfred

vettim89,

Sorry for making this request as it imposes additional work upon you, but in view of your last interesting post, any chance of posting various relevant screen shots to visually aid reading your text?  For example, there may be flanking opportunities available to the Soviets in Manchukuo.

Re auto victory.  Just going off totally from memory, the auto victory threshold never dips below 2:1.  This means that in 1945 (scenarios 15/16) you can obtain a decisive victory with a 1.75:1 ratio at the conclusion of the scenario, which because the phrase "decisive" is employed suggests a victory at least as "big" as an auto victory implies.

Anyway, once you start strategic bombing of the home islands from the Bonins, the  victory points will quickly ratchet up.

Alfred


I was intending to post some screen shots if I get a chance this weekend. I was actually waiting on posting for the screenies but thought I should update just in case anyone was wodering. The Flanking opportunites do exist but I need to get across the river first. Larry has pulled a lot out of central Manchuria to reinforce Hailor. It seems the cupboard is at least scarce if not bare there. Harbin is the key as it is the only resource center of any size which of course means its the IJA supply center. I have a huge advantage in base AS but am lacking a little in supplies. Breaking down the forts is the key. In true Soviet form I have about 2000 AS waiting at Vlad in case a breakout occurs to push into the enemies rear.


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Attrition the hard way - 12/12/2009 6:41:06 PM   
vettim89


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2 Jan 1945

Well I lost track of a TF heading for Chichi Jima carrying ENG. The Japanese came with a big strike that cost me an SC, a MSW, a LST, and an AK. Many more are damaged. As you can see it cost Larry a pound of flesh. Total air losses were 147 to 22 today. I have a bunch more Sq upgrading to P-51D and they will replace the P-38's ASAP. Still nice to rip 80 frontline fighters away from Larry. I sent all the CENTPAC CV's to the hex NW of CJ next turn. Hopefully Larry will have kept his bombers on attack. Lets see what 400 Hellcats can do

The other notable even of the day was that the last Japanese unit was eliminated at Davao. The units here will rest and then prep for Luzon.




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RE: Attrition the hard way - 12/12/2009 6:42:12 PM   
vettim89


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Per the request, the situation in Malaya




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RE: Attrition the hard way - 12/12/2009 6:43:17 PM   
vettim89


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and the Soviet front




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Bait Taken - 12/13/2009 1:07:21 AM   
vettim89


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3 Jan 1945

The Japanese Air Forces took the bait. Air losses were 197 to 22 (most of mine ops losses). The pictured strike was a wipe as were two smaller ones. I lost another LST but the troops are about unloaded at CJ.

Larry is trying to lift more troops into Okha. USN subs put a TT into an AK and an AP. Soviet AF put 1000 lb bobs into two AP. No mine hits though. Surging subs into the NoPac now as there is really no where else for them to hunt

And ............

To my shock Singora fell under the weight of an 8 to 1 attack. The Japanese are being pursued down the RR toward Kuala Lumpur. The three US units pushed the Japnese out of their hex in southern Malaya. The RCT will pursue these units to Kuntan where they retreated. The two ID's will keep pushing NE.




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Post #: 1012
Operations - 12/19/2009 6:02:39 PM   
vettim89


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4-9 January 1945

The USN CVTF sweep the waters south of Japan for two days on the 7th and 8th. Bad weather meant only one convoy was mauled. Of note, no missions flown against the US by a/c based in Japan.

The troops began to unload at Legasapi on the 9th and to my surprise only find on ID and some BF's there. This is the beginning of Operation Respite. The goal here is Manila as it is the one non-malarial hex in the whole region. Once there I can rest all of SWPAC's units for future operations.

The Russians emptied two hexes NW and NE of Vlad to expose the Japanese flanks. An encircling maneuver is being attmpted on the Japanese at Mishan. Supplies are really limited here.

Trying to take and reduce Kota Buhtar but the Commonwealth troops scattered after taking Singora. Image shows all the various routes various units have used or are using




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Clean Up and Moving - 12/22/2009 3:05:36 AM   
vettim89


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10-11 Jan 1945

The Japanese were eliminated at San Jose and north of Kota Buhtar. The Amoeba of Seac troops is moving on that hex almost from every direction. There are 24 poorly supplied highly disrupted/diabled troops there to be killed.

SWPAC is about unloaded at Legaspi. I have another 5 ID to move on the second run.

The TF are no about 240 nm W of Iwo bound for Naha.

Heavy fightin continues on the Russian front but I think the Sovs are slowly gaining the upper hand






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RE: Clean Up and Moving - 1/9/2010 12:25:39 AM   
vettim89


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12-19 JAN 1945

Turns slowed down over the holidays but are picking up now. Highlights of action

* Troops are ashore at Naha and are ordered to attack on the 20th

* Troops have recovered from the invasion disruption at Legsapi and are ordered to attack on the 20th

* Troops are still trickling into Kota Buhtar but an attack is ordered on the 20th anyway

* Stubborn IJA troops hold out at Iwo and Cebu (two units at each base)

* Sovs have reduced forts to 6 at Mitikiang North of Vlad

* Sovs have repeately repulsed IJA attacks to reopen the road to Mitikiang from Changufuang

* Sovs haive failed to move the troops at Heiho or Mishan and have gone into siege mode while a large army circles east to cut off the IJA at both bases

* One of my TF's got separated on the way to Naha and was beat up badly (losing about 20% of the 27th ID in the process). The Japanese air forces smelled blood in the water but the USN quickly recorganized its CV's. The results were the Japanese losing over 800 a/c over two days.

Image shows what the Sovs get in May. Would be nice for the game to last that long.




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Post #: 1015
Surprises - 1/9/2010 11:37:27 PM   
vettim89


Posts: 3615
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From: Toledo, Ohio
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20 January 1945

The US troops at Naha brush the Japanese defenders aside in one attack (somebeody forgot to hit the "build fortifications" button). The huge mass of engineers is immediately ordered to unload. Once the base is repaired, fighters will be moved in to cover future ops as the base is built to level 7. Superbees will be coming soon

Down on the Malay penisula, the ragged remants of the once great Malay Army are pushed out of Kota Bhuru. There are 21 units trapped here now. I will beat on them for a few weeks then lower the total AS down to about 2 to 1. The reamining AS will move on Singers.

A deliberate attack at Legsapi reduces forts to 8 but the Japanese actually take more casualties than Allies. Three more ID's are inbound. This will make both Manila and Singers at risk which represent a boat load of VP's.

One of the two remaining units on Iwo was eliminated this turn. This is important as these units are needed for future ops in the East China Sea.




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Post #: 1016
RE: Surprises - 1/11/2010 12:16:00 AM   
vettim89


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From: Toledo, Ohio
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21 JAN 1945

Just a quick post to say that Iwo is now cleared of Japanese troops. Naha will be operational next turn and 144 P-38 and P-47 are now based there. More troops landing at Okha. This seems to be Larry's Ardennes offensive. B-29's pound the AB at Paramuisha Jima as Larry had moved some Grace TB in there to harass Allied shipping in the Bering Sea. ANother ID and a HQ land at Legsapi.

_____________________________

"We have met the enemy and they are ours" - Commodore O.H. Perry

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Post #: 1017
Progress - 1/16/2010 12:58:32 AM   
vettim89


Posts: 3615
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From: Toledo, Ohio
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22-24 Jan 1945

Nice surprise on the 24th as both Legsapi and Cagayan fall. Mopping up operations will continue at Cagayan. Troops at Legsapi will rest while waiting for three more ID and another 5 ARM/ARTY units to make there way up from Mindanao

A TF has sailed from PH. It will pick up three RCT's from the south Pacific to be used from backfilling ops.

Last attack at Mitikiang has reduced forts to 5. Just a few more attacks before this front falls apart for the Japanese. Larry has managed to land even more troops at Okha and finally has a 748 to 732 AS advantage here. I have repositioned some air units to put more pressure on the Japanese up here too. I have a surpise building for Larry but it will take some time to get ready.

The units surrounded at Kota Bharu are being as stubborn as ever. Unit count is down to 20 from a max of 21. I am debating about lowering my AS here to a 2 to 1 level and moving the rest on Singers. Would really like opinions on this.

Offensive sweeps are about to commence from Iwo. I intend to whittle down the fighter strength in the HI before setting on the industry. BTW, Legsapi is a level 6(4) AB. As soon as repairs and expansion are accomplished, the Rangoon B-29's will move here.






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"We have met the enemy and they are ours" - Commodore O.H. Perry

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Post #: 1018
RE: Progress - 1/16/2010 5:25:10 AM   
Alfred

 

Posts: 6685
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vettim89,

Regarding your request for opinions on the contemplated redeployment of LCUs from Khota Bahru.

Firstly, the screen shot you attached in post #1016 shows a dark red Japanese garrison at both Johore Bahru and Singapore.  Presumably this means that very large enemy garrisons are located at those two bases.  It seems to me that little would be gained by reducing your forces at Khota Bahru to only a 2:1 advantage if in doing so you fail to release sufficient forces to enable you to assemble an overwhelming force to quickly capture Johore and Singapore.  Those enemy garrisons are not going anywhere and if you get stuck there (as well as Khota Bahru) you are exchaning strategic flexibility for static besieging.

Secondly, I assume that you are interested in Singapore for its VPs.  Whilst sizeable, at this stage do you really need the Singapore VPs in order to achieve an auto victory.  Once you have air superiority over the Home Islands, strategic bombing will very quickly rack up the VPs.  At this stage, grabbing the Singapore VPs makes sense if they can be gobbled up very quickly and do not interfere with the forward momentum of your Asian offensive which could move otherwise onto Palembang, or Thailand, or Indo-China etc.  After all, Singapore is now largely a strategic backwater (I assume that it is lacking in supplies and aircraft etc and thus unable to sustain operations against your forces).

Thirdly, presumably you are of the view that completely eliminating all enemy resistance at Khota Bahru will be quite a lengthy process.  If you could quickly eliminate the enemy pocket, then that would be my preferred option as it would then give you strategic flexibility.  However by reducing your forces to only a 2:1 level, it seems that you would be achieving the worst of both worlds at Khota Bahru (and the possible risk identified in the first paragraph).  You should either eliminate the pocket quickly using land combats, or maintain the absolute minimal Allied force and rely upon air force ground attack and artillery bombardments to steadily whittle down the pocket (and thereby accrue VPs by killing enemy army items) whilst incurring little Allied losses (and attendant lose of Allied VPs).

Alfred

(in reply to vettim89)
Post #: 1019
He did it again - 1/16/2010 8:44:34 PM   
vettim89


Posts: 3615
Joined: 7/14/2007
From: Toledo, Ohio
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Alfred

vettim89,

Regarding your request for opinions on the contemplated redeployment of LCUs from Khota Bahru.

Firstly, the screen shot you attached in post #1016 shows a dark red Japanese garrison at both Johore Bahru and Singapore.  Presumably this means that very large enemy garrisons are located at those two bases.  It seems to me that little would be gained by reducing your forces at Khota Bahru to only a 2:1 advantage if in doing so you fail to release sufficient forces to enable you to assemble an overwhelming force to quickly capture Johore and Singapore.  Those enemy garrisons are not going anywhere and if you get stuck there (as well as Khota Bahru) you are exchaning strategic flexibility for static besieging.

Secondly, I assume that you are interested in Singapore for its VPs.  Whilst sizeable, at this stage do you really need the Singapore VPs in order to achieve an auto victory.  Once you have air superiority over the Home Islands, strategic bombing will very quickly rack up the VPs.  At this stage, grabbing the Singapore VPs makes sense if they can be gobbled up very quickly and do not interfere with the forward momentum of your Asian offensive which could move otherwise onto Palembang, or Thailand, or Indo-China etc.  After all, Singapore is now largely a strategic backwater (I assume that it is lacking in supplies and aircraft etc and thus unable to sustain operations against your forces).

Thirdly, presumably you are of the view that completely eliminating all enemy resistance at Khota Bahru will be quite a lengthy process.  If you could quickly eliminate the enemy pocket, then that would be my preferred option as it would then give you strategic flexibility.  However by reducing your forces to only a 2:1 level, it seems that you would be achieving the worst of both worlds at Khota Bahru (and the possible risk identified in the first paragraph).  You should either eliminate the pocket quickly using land combats, or maintain the absolute minimal Allied force and rely upon air force ground attack and artillery bombardments to steadily whittle down the pocket (and thereby accrue VPs by killing enemy army items) whilst incurring little Allied losses (and attendant lose of Allied VPs).

Alfred



Thank you for your input as always Alfred. The IJA stack up north is basically out of supply and highly disrupted. My attacks have been coming off with ratios in the mid to high teens to 1 (last one was 18 to1). Still I generally inflict equal or fewer casualties than I take. My base AS advantage is roughly 5000 to 1000. My units are not highly disrupted but their fatigue and morale are not good. They have spent roughly 18 months in the jungle now since leaving Rangoon in late 1943. The basis for considering a cahnge is that the reduction of this pocket will take a long time regardless of how much I devote to the task. My thinking was to fall into siege mode with a roughly 2 to 1 base AS advantage with constant artilery and air bombardment being used to grind the stack down. Attrition would be my primary mode of eliminating the Japanese units. If I move roughly 3000 AS south to meet up with the 2100 AS at Jahore Bahru I should be able to at least clear that hex. Larry has been clever and is rotating ID's in and out of Singapore so that the troops meeting the Allies always have low fatigue and high morale. He has never had more than 750 AS there; so the 3000 coming south would be more than enough to displace the Japanese.

Considering the retreating Japanese would then suffer 20% casualties and have 80 disruption, the defenders of Singapore would be seriously weakened. The real advantage of going for Singers now is not for VP but for the precious non-malarial hex status. Once suffering the effects of the Shock Attack associated from entering the hex, my units will be able to recover their strength much more quickly. Once Singapore is taken I could then reverse the process sending a significant force back north that would then be fully rested and reconstituted thus posing a much larger threat to the trapped units at Kota Bharu. I reduced all heavy industry and resource centers in the entire Malay penisula more than a year ago. My assumption is that there is just not much supply left for the Japanese. I, on the other hand have moved over 500 k of supplies into the battle zone. At present Singers has 18 units numbering 93 k. This force will obviously be much fresher than the one at Kota Bharu but is less than 60% the size. My best guess going by recon numbers is also that a significant portion of that 93 k is support troops

The hesitation is that the 140 k troops at Kota bahru represent a sizable VP cache to be harvested.

25 January 1945

My esteemed opponent got me again with a SCTF. A small convoy with two CB units arrived at Petro to be met by an IJN SCTF led by CL Oi. I lose two transports and 2/3 of one CB unit. I will break op security here and tell everybody what I am up to. About three weeks ago I move a small BF into Petro to see if by having a US unit there I could change commands of the base. DING!!!! Yes I can. So I am slowing moving ENG units into the base to build up the AB to level 5. Once that is done, P-51D's can reach every base on Sakhalin Island. Also B-24/Privateers can then interdict the SLOC into Okha and Larry's huge stack of units there will be doomed. I have about half a dozen CB units in the Aleutians that are not doing anything. If I can get them into Petro alone with some AV support, life becomes very hard for the Japanese on Sakhalin. That's the plan man. BTW, PT's inbound to Petro along with an AGP




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< Message edited by vettim89 -- 1/16/2010 8:49:41 PM >


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