Joseignacio
Posts: 2449
Joined: 5/8/2009 From: Madrid, Spain Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: Froonp ... ... Nice picture, where does it come from ? I would like to cite the only real attempt ever made at conquering Gibraltar from the Brits, which was made between 1779 and 1783 by Spain and France. Wikipedia (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Siege_of_Gibraltar) has it that it pitted tens of thousands Spanish and French troops against the defending garrison of 5,000-7,000 mens (the book even cites an assaut with 100,000 troops), and that 4 years of siege and assault never allowed to take it. The Osprey book about this battle (Campaign #172 - Gibraltar 1779-1783 - The Great Siege) even show an attack by floating artillery batteries which was repelled. WW2 weapons may be far more efficient than 18th Century guns and ships, but Stukas are not better than bronze guns for destroying limestone rock and affecting the troops that are dug-in in the tunnels and the honeycombed caves inside the mountain. My opinion is that Gibraltar would not have been the piece of cake it is to take in WiF FE. Gibraltar is too easy to take as Germany. Using the 2d10 CRT : - The odd ratio you will achieve will be somewhere between +1 and +2, counting the OSB, DSB, fortifications, OC, etc... Rarely you will be below, or above. - You will flip the whole garrison one moment or another (whith hordes of 5 strength Stukas), gaining +5. - You will paradrop 1-2 units on the rock, gaining +1 or +2 - You will use a HQ that will give you a HQ support of about +3. So, you will end up making an assault with odds of +9 to +12. The Rock is taken on a result of 20, so even with the worst odds (+9), you take it with a roll (2d10) of 11+, which means 55% of success. With odds of +12, you take it on a 8+, which means 79% of success. If you manage to put the Brits oos, which is highly probable too, you'll rocket to odd ratios that give you the rock on a silver plate. You can attack a minimum of once per turn, sometimes more by reorganizing the disrupted attackers with an HQ or an OC, so tell me what are the odds for a 55-79% of success assault to fail 3+ times in a row ? I've even seen a German player who failed the first attack with losses and disrupted status that did not hesitate to kill the HQ supporting HQ just to allow for another HQ to take his place and allow a second assault in the next impulse. It comes from Wikipedia, and they explain in the spanish page on Gibraltar, that it is a digital image from NASA. I think it is too easy in WIF, as for the balance of the game. If the german player wants, he can protect Morocco and use the same troops to attack Gibraltar from both sides. Using a chit, in several consecutive attacks (HQ nearby to restore) or even in one attack if the british (as usual) only leaves one unit inside, or there are several units but there is a "retreat" result. If the german player selects a good moment, he can even unsupply the units and bomb them with a couple of stukas. As for in the reality, it's true that howitzers cannot harm those deep under the stone, but can isolate them inside like no way the old times artillery could. It is true that the Rock showed untakeable before but with the means of those times. Simply, the garrison would become cavemen until the surrender because of lack of water and food. Or they could dynamite the openings, ... The natural or artificial lobstacles that in times were unsurpassable, like many castles in the middle ages, were of no help with the invention of the cannon. The same happens with Gibraltar, their only defense (like it was in the past) would have been at WWII the British Fleet, but I don't think it would have been enough provided that to the Spanish territorial advantage was added the luftwaffe support, not to speak if the Italian Mediterranean fleet helped...
< Message edited by Joseignacio -- 10/7/2009 2:40:59 PM >
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