Q-Ball
Posts: 7336
Joined: 6/25/2002 From: Chicago, Illinois Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: bklooste IMHO it depends... Warships would have alerted the allies but not merchant ships ( or converted ones) since Japan was one of the largest merchant marines , even 20 of these could go with no issues to Singapore or Batavia . I would even say NOT sending merchant ships would arouse more suspicions. I personally think a deep move into the DEI by Japan is gamey, and I do think that any Japanese merchant movements would have aroused suspicion. First, the Pacific in early December was quite empty of routine merchant traffic, because war seemed imminent. Second, upon a sighting report, Dutch authorities would have simply had to ask the question: "If those are routine ships, are they delivering things to us? Our Allies?". There was nowhere for them to go. It would have immediately aroused suspicion, especially travelling in a group, as civilian merchants travel alone. When Japnaese merchant ships were sighted in the Gulf of Siam Dec 7th (day before Pearl Harbor local time), though the destination was up in the air, it was assumed they were military convoys. Nope, I don't think the Dutch would be fooled at all. And even if there was a chance, would the Japanese planners allow a war warning to be triggered early if their deception didn't work? Nope. Mike Solli: I am glad to see you landing early on Port Moresby. There is no reason not to, and many reasons not to delay. PM is one of those spots whose value to Japan is to deny it to the Allies. Where are you going after Singkawang? I advocate getting onto Java FAST. Even if you just drop 2 Bdes to hold a beachhead. How about landing some construction troops at Billiton? You won't need much infantry support, and they can knock up an airbase pretty quick. Billiton can support landings on Java and Southern Sumatra.
< Message edited by Q-Ball -- 1/18/2010 3:06:19 PM >
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