Q-Ball
Posts: 7336
Joined: 6/25/2002 From: Chicago, Illinois Status: offline
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MIKE: Yes, you can't really count on size-1 or 2 towns. If you get a good die roll it's gravy, but that's it. It can be a hassle finding the larger town though. 12/11/41: 2nd Turn of Blizzard: This turn wasn't too terrible, except for a MAJOR brain fart on my part (I forgot to move a couple units!). They will get destroyed, but oh well....lesson learned. Overall, the number of attacks was less than I expected. Attack Counter: 26-3 This turn; not a ton of attacks, obviously they almost all worked though I will keep a total counter as well; it's 26-3 at this point! In my game vs. Tarhunnas, I started in the 70s and 80s, and got to a 100 a few turns. Tarhunnas had good forts, too. Key differences: 1) Shorter German lines in this one, and 2) My Red Army was 300,000 stronger at this point, which is almost exactly the difference in in POWs in the two games. We made 2 counterattacks this turn, in both case Tank Brigade stacks that stuck their necks out, and we routed. Tank Brigades are pretty easy targets, even in Blizzard. OOOPS! I forgot to move 2 divisions in the Crimea; I guess I moved the map, and forgot to go down there. As a result, 2 divisions are going to be destroyed right off the bat. OUCH! This was just a dumb mistake on my part. B-G graciously offered to re-do turn, but I can live with the mistake. It's 2 divisions, not the end of the world. Soviet Army: First, turn, we can already see a couple points of push. The main effort seems to be between Moscow and Voronezh, with strong secondary efforts around Torzhok, and the Donbas. We identified a SHOCK army south of Tula, and there are alot of guys there. I think this is the main push. We are dispatching reinforcements, but I am going to run out of forts there at the end of the month. January is going to be tough. In February, I can open a gap and let him run west if he wants to in a bulge, provided I hold the flanks. 4 Reserve Divisions are on their way to 4th Army, which will bear the brunt. There are two notably quiet sectors. One is north of the Donbas; no attacks. The other is in front of the Valdai Hills, near the Finns. From both these areas, I am pulling a couple extra divisions to reinforce the center. I am also pulling the Panzer Corps from AGN to send to the center. Run or Hold? This is the key question for the Germans in Blizzard. Forts are dear. Obviously you don't want units cut-off, but otherwise you have to be smart on whether you run or hold. I would say my strategy has had a fair amount of running so far. I am not running in front of Moscow, because although I started Blizzard with 3 quality rows of forts, I have nothing behind me. Once the forts near Moscow are gone, I will be falling back on Smolensk. Further south, I have lines prepared in the rear, but those won't be enough. IMO, it is impossible for the Germans to have 13 turns worth of forts avaiable. Not only is it almost impossible to construct all those forts, you would need 100s of forts zones just to keep them from degrading. I built approx. 300 size-2 forts as it was, and that took a major halt, and effort with Shovels. Once the forts run out, I plan to retreat. I may give up 20 hexes along the front this Blizzard, despite preparations. It is very difficult to build more than 2-3 rows of forts as Germans, without halting on turn 10. If you remember, I also took more empty ground in the center during Snow, for the express purpose of creating a buffer. That buffer is now gone, but served it's purpose. I hope by the time I am out in the open, and I will end up out in the open, I will get CV bumps. January figures to be very very tough, but February I should be OK, and thinking about REVENGE........... Losses: So far, losses are about 75,000 for me during Blizzard, and 100,000 for him. Attrition must be taking a toll.
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