Red Prince
Posts: 3686
Joined: 4/8/2011
From: Bangor, Maine, USA
Status: offline
|
The 4 attacks this impulse:
And the results:
Attack on USSR [57, 58]: Blitz, Roll = 5+3 = 8 = -/1R (INF Division destroyed, attackers disorganized, defenders Retreat to the SE)
Attack on USSR [44, 56]: Blitz, Fractional Odds .661 (No), Roll = 8+2 = 10 = */1B (Not Converted, 5-4 INF destroyed, Breakthrough)
Attack on USSR [42, 54]: Assault, Fractional Odds .042 (Yes), Roll = 3+1 = 4 = -/1 (attackers disorganized)
Attack on Novgorod: Assault, Fractional Odds .711 (Yes), Roll = 4+1 = 5 = */2S
I really wanted that attack in the south to succeed. It had an 80% chance to get across the river, and a 50% chance to stay organized. HQ Support here failed on a roll of '9' so the Soviets got the best of things as far as that goes. The hard thing about this attack is that all of the units involved are good units . . . almost the best I've got, in fact, but there were only 2 possible rolls that would kill one of them off. Fortunately for the Germans, the roll was high enough to avoid that. Unfortunately, it was a single digit short of keeping the attackers organized. I probably should have found someone other than HQ-I von Bock to take his place, but I was hoping for the HQ Support. If that worked out, this roll would have resulted in a */B result. Oh, well.
I retreated the survivors to the southeast in the hopes that the USSR would let me get more units over the river line to attack this stack again . . . or the one northeast of it. Even if they block that empty hex to the east, it's going to mean weakening the line somewhere else, and that's fine by me. I think that with 4 units moving up into those hexes that can cross the river right now that it might be time for the Soviets to break cover and run for their lives, anyway.
Near Smolensk, there was almost as good a chance to do well . . . a 70% chance at victory, and a 40% chance to stay organized. This one was a better roll, and the attack paid off big. A strong Soviet stack goes up in smoke . . . though the 6-4 INF and the ART will return as reinforcements. Where they return, though, will depend on how long this turn lasts, I think. This was a Breakthrough result, so I decided to move the ARM Division into Smolensk. It was the only unit that could make it there, and while the Russians can surely kill him they want to, it might mean putting more units at risk and/or messing with their retreat plans. He's bait. Now let's see if the Russians can figure out how to have their cake and eat it too.
Farthur to the northwest, in the swamp, the Soviets had a choice to make: try to disorganize the enemy, or try to stay alive. In the end, the option to disorganize the enemy was the deciding factor. The best this INF could hope for was a 40% chance of suvival on a 3:1 Blitz, but if the Fractional Odds roll favored the Germans, the Assault table still gave the Russians a 60% chance to disorganize the 6 attackers. So, it went off as an Assault . . . and it worked like a charm . . . 1 dead Russian, but 6 disorganized Germans. Fair trade, especially with the Fractional Odds roll favoring Germany.
The last attack, on Novgorod, was a foregone conclusion. The Assault CRT gave a 20%-40% chance of disorganizing the Germans, depending on the Fractional Odds roll. The roll was close, and would have made the Germans suffer a lot more if it had gone the other way. No such luck. It looks like the Germans have a good chance to connect up with Mannerheim very soon.
-----
Overall, this was a good impulse for Germany. There were some risky attacks, but none of them was very likely to fail. The question was how much of the German force could be kept alive and kicking. The answer was "a lot of it, but not as much as they'd like". However, I think the Dnieper might be broken, and the Northern Front is nearing collapse. None of the German troops were lost, 4 enemies were destroyed, 2 were Shattered, and 2 more retreated in a disorganized manner. It's impulse #8 now, and there are likely only 1 or 2 Axis impulses left, so this suits me just fine.
 Attachment (1)
_____________________________
Always listen to experts. They'll tell you what can't be done and why. Then do it!
-Lazarus Long, RAH
|
Printable Version
RE: MWiF Global War Hot-Seat (AAR) - 
I let a lot of stuff go by without comment because you can only learn by playing. On the other hand, when there is an opportunity to teach - I'm your man!
New Messages
No New Messages
Hot Topic w/ New Messages
Hot Topic w/o New Messages
Locked w/ New Messages
Locked w/o New Messages
Post New Thread