obvert
Posts: 14050
Joined: 1/17/2011 From: PDX (and now) London, UK Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: Canoerebel Here's the Japanese carrier OOB CV (10 or possibly 11): Akagi, Kaga, Hiryu, Soryu, Shukaku, Zuikaku, Junyo, Hiyou, Ryukaku, Taikaku (if expedited just a bit) and Renkaku (due in October) CVL (5): Ryujo, Shoho, Zuiho, Ryuko, Nisshin CVE (6 or maybe 8): Hosho, Taiyo, Unyo, Chuyo, Suijan (I can't read my own handwriting), Kuzuyu (and possibly Kaiyo and Shiyo, due in November and December) Too, there could be CS conversions to CVL? So a powerful lineup. As for escorts, John's hurting for DDs too. But a dearth of CAs and BBs is probably his real Achilles heel. He can put the two BCs to that use and probably has a CA or two to spare, but that's pretty slim if the carriers are attacked in strength by Death Star strike aircraft. I don't think I'd mind a Death Star vs. Half KB clash at this point if John is really short on capital ships. My impression is that with enhanced AA, carrier strikes are kind of a one-shot affair with heavy losses. That fact that there will be 600 or 700 merchants and support ships present will exacerbate that problem. I'm not seeking a battle necessarily, but if one took place now, in open waters with Death Start vs. Half KB, it probably wouldn't be a one-sided affair either way. But I'm just talking aloud to gather thoughts. Much more thinking will go into this. Appearances of enemy ships (especially cruisers and carries) in Sumatra over the next week will significantly influence my thinking. It's good to go through this, even if it's a bit daunting. It's the intel side that the Allies were so good at keeping tabs on, and understanding where to achieve a local temporary superiority in order to move forward. Mainly, assume that whatever losses you've given the IJN will hurt eventually, but it's too early for those to matter now. There are enough big escorts by your calculations since the CL he gets are much better than usual Japanese CL, and the AA on all ships is enhanced by having upgrades to the highest quality Japanese gun platform, the 10cm Type 98 DP gun, and if I read the notes correctly, even a Japanese Bofors-like system? He also gets more good modern DDs, the big Akizuki class which are the best CV escorts the Japanese made. So. It all depends on what you know about where they all are when you want to go.
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"Success is the ability to go from one failure to another with no loss of enthusiasm." - Winston Churchill
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